Jump to content

Bears are in Trouble 1/5/23

Rate this topic


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 28
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Top Posters In This Topic

Top Posters In This Topic

19 minutes ago, fxfox said:

Yes, right. But wasn‘t that almost always bearish for stocks?

Oy. 

No, debt ceiling forces the cessation of net debt issuance. It's bullish for both stocks and bonds. 

Default is another story. Conventional wisdom is that it would be bearish. I can see their point, but I think it would be wildly bullish for stocks.

Treasuries, not so much. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 minutes ago, DrStool said:

Oy. 

No, debt ceiling forces the cessation of net debt issuance. It's bullish for both stocks and bonds. 

Default is another story. Conventional wisdom is that it would be bearish. I can see their point, but I think it would be wildly bullish for stocks.

Treasuries, not so much. 

Ah ok, thanks. I only thought about those times in the past when we ran into the debt ceiling and the market didn‘t like that. Once the ceiling was lifted the market took off.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

6 minutes ago, fxfox said:

Ah ok, thanks. I only thought about those times in the past when we ran into the debt ceiling and the market didn‘t like that. Once the ceiling was lifted the market took off.

Really? Show me an example. 

I always thought that if you remove supply from the market, it's bullish. And when you put massive amounts of supply on the market, and the Fed isn't there to buy it, that's bearish. I guess I learn something new every day. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, fxfox said:

Ah ok, thanks. I only thought about those times in the past when we ran into the debt ceiling and the market didn‘t like that. Once the ceiling was lifted the market took off.

It just goes to show you. Don't necessarily trust an eye witness.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 minutes ago, DrStool said:

Really? Show me an example. 

I always thought that if you remove supply from the market, it's bullish. And when you put massive amounts of supply on the market, and the Fed isn't there to buy it, that's bearish. I guess I learn something new every day. 

When there was a blockade in the House and there were epic discussion if the ceiling gets lifted or not the market was nervous and didn‘t go straight up.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

7 hours ago, fxfox said:

When there was a blockade in the House and there were epic discussion if the ceiling gets lifted or not the market was nervous and didn‘t go straight up.

Show your work. 

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...
 Share

  • Tell a friend

    Love Stool Pigeons Wire Message Board? Tell a friend!
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • ×
    • Create New...