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fxfox

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Everything posted by fxfox

  1. Can‘t that negative impact of those Coupons gonna be offset to some extend by monthly inflows which occur st the same time?
  2. If it gets too tough FED will change policy faster than you csn ssy:“Au revoir“. Easy peasy.
  3. Regarding Nvidia: Lately there were many articles on ordinary German newspapers with headlines like: “missed Nvidia? Here are 5 stocks with similar oppportunities“ “Nvidia and the AI revolution“ and so on. Nvidia is ALL OVER the place. I am NOT talking about stuff like stock msrket newspapers or such. I am talking about tabloids and common mass media newspapers, comparable with the NYT or the Wash Post. I think last time I saw something like that was in March 2000.
  4. I‘m s bit confused: Wasn‘t Bill issuance besrish for stocks and Coupon payments bullsih? So the Coupons on June 28 and July 1 should support stocks, no?
  5. Relentless selling of Bitcoin continues. Interesting. Seems there is not enough liqui to buy ALL asset classes at the same time, like when we are AWASH with liqui.
  6. Ah ok, I thought they announced their sprecial meassures mid-March. Seems it was early March 2020.
  7. A valid thought I think. Maybe my memory is wrong, but I think in the past it was more like that the reaction of the market came at the very same day. That changed somewhat to a reaction which comes a few days in advance I think. Depends on how heavy the liqui pump or drainage really is I would say. An instant reaction was in March 2020 cause the pump was so absolutely gigantic. In 2008 it was a bit different: If I remember correctly the FED and other CB's began to pump right in October, but the banking crisis was systemic and it took a while till the pump "cured the system" so to say.
  8. That Coupon on July 1st is quite the Whopper! But usually they wanna create that warm and fuzzy feeling for the 4th of July... Bitcoin looks a bit toppish on the weekly... Given that it is q liquidity asset and not a risk-off asset (at least it seems to be so but there are other voices who believe it is a risk-off asset), it could be that it signals a coming shortage of liquidity.
  9. Negative Divergences since January? So what would have been the practical implications for trading and taking positions? Folks would now say "be cautious", but what does that mean? Reduce position size? Enter now new positions at all? Well, if you would have done that, you would have let many coins laying on the table... I still think that after all technical analysis is the most important of all. A pick up in liquidity or a drainage of it will be reflected in the charts. Sure it helps if you know that there is enough liquidity to support upswings, but we have seen it often in the past that liquidity was late or early, means there was a mismatch between prices and where the pricees should be given the state of liquidity. What do you do then? Nothing? Or rely on liquidity OR charts? This is not meant as a critique Doc, I admire the stuff you do. I only wanted to point out that I had sometimes a hard time to implement the liquidity stuff in my trading, like a setup which looked bullish, but at the same time I knew that liquidity was not that bullish, so I didn't do anything.
  10. Doc‘s liquidity stuff is good and helps. Subscribe.
  11. Follow ze money. Buy strength, avoid weakness.
  12. Buttcoin shows relative strengh. Coinbase seems to start another upleg on the weekly.
  13. Make no mistake, this was not just short covering, this was the thrust of the beginning of another upleg
  14. The market just had to digest the May 31st Coupon Whopper for a few days. That‘s it and that‘s all.
  15. Salesforce low was exactly at the EMA 200 weekly
  16. We are safe now. Move a long, nothimg to see here.
  17. they sell the AI storage stuff like Dell, SMCI, Vertif… If they‘d start selling Aint No Vida hard now… floodgates.
  18. Yes. As far as I know, there is no specific hour for a settelment. For example: If one bank makes an FX Spot deal with a other bank settlement is „T*2“ means „in 2 business days“, maybe the details say that settlement has to be during NY business hours or something like that, butc it does not say „we send the money at 12 a.m.“ or something.
  19. He meant the settlement of that Coupon Double Pounder with Cheese today i guess.
  20. GAP up 15% in ze afterlife. Guess they will gap up tomorrow.
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