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World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Bedraggled blips

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9 minutes ago, fxfox said:

So if there would be huge amounts, that means that there is huge Treasury supply which has to get sucked up by markets and therefore not enough cash would be there to buy stocks and because of that stocks go down, right?

I won't risk answering  because with Lee one can never be absolutely right.  I will  put it in a different light. If the supply is huge that means the shutdown is over or will be shortly and the Treasury knows it, and, they are not going to dip into their huge 'savings account' to cover the flood of money going out. 

Well it's complicated, bills and coupons are sort of different matters.

 

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Evidently there was a rumor that the China trade talks fell apart, or something. Kudlow anyway came out to deny it. He probably started the rumor, after getting short ES. 

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7 minutes ago, Jorma said:

I won't risk answering  because with Lee one can never be absolutely right.  I will  put it in a different light. If the supply is huge that means the shutdown is over or will be shortly and the Treasury knows it, and, they are not going to dip into their huge 'savings account' to cover the flood of money going out. 

Well it's complicated, bills and coupons are sort of different matters.

 

Thanks Jorma! Hope Doc can add some thöughts.

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Pullback over. If you didn't buy the dip, you'll be sorry.  :angry:

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9 minutes ago, Jorma said:

I won't risk answering  because with Lee one can never be absolutely right.  I will  put it in a different light. If the supply is huge that means the shutdown is over or will be shortly and the Treasury knows it, and, they are not going to dip into their huge 'savings account' to cover the flood of money going out. 

Well it's complicated, bills and coupons are sort of different matters.

 

That's exactly right. 

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My guess is that rather than come to market for $200-300 billion of T-bills all at once (or god knows how much) they'll use some of the cash first and do it gradually. Like Chinese water torture. Difference between quick death and slow death.  

 

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2 minutes ago, DrStool said:

That's exactly right. 

Just say if stocks go up or down in that case 😂

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Good night. Shuttin down for a good night's sleep.  

Bonne Nuit from Nice!  

 

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1 minute ago, DrStool said:

My guess is that rather than come to market for $200-300 billion of T-bills all at once (or god knows how much) they'll use some of the cash first and do it gradually. Like Chinese water torture. Difference between quick death and slow death.  

 

Slow death hurts more 😂 Do you really think they want that? Do they really wanna hurt the bulls?

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21 minutes ago, DrStool said:

No. Trump has zero incentive to settle. He's getting everything he wants from this. Chaos, worker suffering, and a rising stock market. 

https://suremoneyinvestor.com/2019/01/the-government-shutdown-is-still-bullish-so-heres-what-to-do/

Very good piece! If only we would have known at Christmas how this would evolve 😂

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50 minutes ago, DrStool said:

No. Trump has zero incentive to settle. He's getting everything he wants from this. Chaos, worker suffering, and a rising stock market. 

https://suremoneyinvestor.com/2019/01/the-government-shutdown-is-still-bullish-so-heres-what-to-do/

Davos man has to choose between having it all right now and having the barbarians at the gates, or  having just some more and sending the villagers back home.  Admittedly a large contingent of the barbarians will defend the gates. 

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