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When Will the Stock Market Crash?
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#2
Rationalize 
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 09:33 AM
Sorry to say it, but it's tempting to be long for the next little while - then very short.
Time is what sorts out all the crap traders.
Farting-Alpha Capital LLC -- arbitraging opaque sheet & charging the spread globally.
... The pontifications above are nowhere near financial advice ...
Farting-Alpha Capital LLC -- arbitraging opaque sheet & charging the spread globally.
... The pontifications above are nowhere near financial advice ...
#3
Sudaca
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 09:41 AM
I think thgis rally is thelast leg of the bear market rally that began in Oct 2002
I think it will abort when we get either :
a) terrorist event
less than 30 posts on a thread here
I think it will abort when we get either :
a) terrorist event
less than 30 posts on a thread here
Thanks, David
#4
Jimi
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 10:27 AM
When doth hell freezeth over?
Sure glad all my albums went GOLD.
"Ferdy-bee-bee-dee-ferbs."
Subscribe & Earn Karma Miles with Every Visit!
Rule #5 Professional Exemption.
Blind Follower, Just Think Positive Hyperinflation, I Get Paid 500 Quadrillion Dollars/Hour at 1000% Interest/Hour Compounding Forever Each Mouse Click Religion.
"I too observe 'flation.'"
I love you, TASR!
YOU MAKE KITTY SCARED
Tops Take Time
Postulate A Free Lunch Economy
Anyone, now, who is not genuinely afraid is a moran.
[T]housands of empty stucco crapboxes vacated after being circle-jerk sham-traded among corrupt borkers, uppraisers and loan officers from 100K up to 800K, then "nopay-walkaway" (with dirty loan cash in pockets)
Guess again, girlfriend.
Or, $2.7 million every effing day since the effing pinball machine.
Permabear Hysterian
"Ferdy-bee-bee-dee-ferbs."
Subscribe & Earn Karma Miles with Every Visit!
Rule #5 Professional Exemption.
Blind Follower, Just Think Positive Hyperinflation, I Get Paid 500 Quadrillion Dollars/Hour at 1000% Interest/Hour Compounding Forever Each Mouse Click Religion.
"I too observe 'flation.'"
I love you, TASR!
YOU MAKE KITTY SCARED
Tops Take Time
Postulate A Free Lunch Economy
Anyone, now, who is not genuinely afraid is a moran.
[T]housands of empty stucco crapboxes vacated after being circle-jerk sham-traded among corrupt borkers, uppraisers and loan officers from 100K up to 800K, then "nopay-walkaway" (with dirty loan cash in pockets)
Guess again, girlfriend.
Or, $2.7 million every effing day since the effing pinball machine.
Permabear Hysterian
#5
Hiding Bear
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 10:36 AM
When we get Ohio's election results?
#6
lucid and confused
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 12:06 PM
After they monetize social security
#8
Mars
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 01:16 PM
I'm one of the stooligans who voted for 2029. Only because "I don't know" wasn't one of the solutions.
But I really think that it will crash when people stop buying stocks just as it always does.
The other night someone, in an attack against something I said, said that if no one was selling why did the stocks go down? The answer is simple - stocks don't go down because of selling - stocks go down because no one buys what you are trying to sell at the price where you are trying to sell it. Markets always work that way.
I hope I don't get attacked again for stating the obvious.
But I really think that it will crash when people stop buying stocks just as it always does.
The other night someone, in an attack against something I said, said that if no one was selling why did the stocks go down? The answer is simple - stocks don't go down because of selling - stocks go down because no one buys what you are trying to sell at the price where you are trying to sell it. Markets always work that way.
I hope I don't get attacked again for stating the obvious.
#9
FauxCaster
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 01:31 PM
2029, when the baby-boomers run out of home-equity to tap and have to start selling off that magic elixir of wealth known as the stocks.
"WE ARE BEING KEPT ALIVE by the Entropic movement of Dark Matter(Sino-Nippo-dollar purchasing of $UST)---as soon as there is a ringing sound,a sign of an clogged artriosclerotic wormhole on the emergency fiat-meter it will end--dynamic equilibrium,will have been achieved;better known as death" -- beardrech (Mar 15 2006, 01:17 AM)
"There's a good chance he was drunk or drugged. Only an idiot would jump into the bear cage." -- Belgrade Zoo Director Vuk Bojovic (August 20, 2007).
It's like you're dreamin' about Gorgonzola cheese when it's clearly Brie time, baby. -- Hitchhiker (S.A.M. 1998)
Mar 28 2003: July 2003 is the time I have identified as the low of the bear move...then the first leg of the bear is over ...many will be caught by surprise to see the market near it's all time high again within 3-4 years [2007] ..."depression" similar to 1932 doesn't come until 2010. -- blackbelt (Mar 28 2003, 10:05 PM)
"There's a good chance he was drunk or drugged. Only an idiot would jump into the bear cage." -- Belgrade Zoo Director Vuk Bojovic (August 20, 2007).
It's like you're dreamin' about Gorgonzola cheese when it's clearly Brie time, baby. -- Hitchhiker (S.A.M. 1998)
Mar 28 2003: July 2003 is the time I have identified as the low of the bear move...then the first leg of the bear is over ...many will be caught by surprise to see the market near it's all time high again within 3-4 years [2007] ..."depression" similar to 1932 doesn't come until 2010. -- blackbelt (Mar 28 2003, 10:05 PM)
#10
Grand Poopercycle
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 01:45 PM
what was your vote, Doctor?
#11
pleiotropik
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 03:14 PM
I voted JAN for its aesthetic value: Bush inauguration and Iraq mega-mayhem election in tandem.
#12
DrStool
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Posted 03 November 2004 - 09:33 PM
I voted for the guy who lost. 
I'm kinda thinking this is very analagous to the 72 election. Market topped in early January and went down for nearly two years.
January is a possibility.
I'm kinda thinking this is very analagous to the 72 election. Market topped in early January and went down for nearly two years.
January is a possibility.
#14
rayok
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Posted 04 November 2004 - 01:54 AM
Mars, on Nov 3 2004, 11:16 AM, said:
The other night someone, in an attack against something I said, said that if no one was selling why did the stocks go down? The answer is simple - stocks don't go down because of selling - stocks go down because no one buys what you are trying to sell at the price where you are trying to sell it. Markets always work that way.
I hope I don't get attacked again for stating the obvious.
I hope I don't get attacked again for stating the obvious.
You're right! Here's a crash with 4.5 million shares bought, at reduced prices, with no selling.
Actually, the price declines, because sellers are more motivated than buyers. You "should" consider this a lesson, rather than an "attack".
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#15
anotherone
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Posted 04 November 2004 - 03:28 AM
"Not with a bang, but a whimper?"
"Calista Flockhart's top is not near as significant as Maria's bottom."
--"Zapata" George Blake 8/5/2003
--"Zapata" George Blake 8/5/2003
