Add additional reasons for being short here

[Troy]

1. relative vix

2. vix

3. relative vxn

4. vxn

5. put/call

6. equity put/call

7. rydex

8. high/low

9.mclellan

10.cash levels in mutual funds

11. no usa manufacturing jobs left

12. usa's oil industry is dying

13. fed funds below inflation

14.nasdaq is still losing money everyday

15. pe on the S&P500 is still higher than anytime in the last 200 years

16.pension cost will be >$10 S&P500 earnings this year

17. options expense

18. bullish percent is toppy

19. investors intelligence is at a peak

20. AAII is at a peak

21. emini small trader has never been this bullish

22. market vane is toppy

23. concensus is toppy

24. emini commercials are heavily net short

25. big s&p commercials have been wrong this past year

26. oex traders are short

27. debt service households has not been this high since 1987 just before the last great crash.

28. who is going to pay back 7 trillion fed debt? taxes and profits will

29. $3 earnings in 4Q02 were worse than earnings in 1987

30. i can feel it in my relationship with this market that we are but hours away from a strong move down.

31. Seasonality May and June are the worse duo of the year

32. If the positive season was so poor how will the negative season do?

33. 4 year cycle bottom scheduled in the next couple of months according to Tim Wood

34. The greatest babyboomer greed bubble does not just end with a 50% retracement in the overall index

35. The reason why this is far worse than 1929-32 is because since it took 3 times as long to create and was 4x as powerful 2000% vs 500% it will take 3 times as long and crash 3x as hard down at least 90% but not 100%.

36. I don't find many will to say we will go down. Things are pretty rosy right now. The mood is quite cheery. Who cares about ISM, payrolls, initial claims, a falling dollar, rising gold, more debt, more refinancings. Things are great. And mutual funds are as popular as ever.

 

If you have any other ideas I would like to hear them?

[Guest]

37. You want to give more money to the criminals in control.

[strikerm3]

how about our crashing health care system

[SideshowBob]

The OEX put/call ratio is rising quickly while the equity put/call ratio has been dropping (until today). Note that when this happens, it's a sign of an impending top, although it's not useful in predicting how big a drop will follow.

 

See:

 

http://www.decisionpoint.com/affiliate/pc.html

 

P.S. Sorry for the crappy image -- I had to lower the quality a ton just to get it to post.....

[ThorAss]

38. You enjoy the daily application of electrodes to your genetalia.

 

39. You spend so much time underwater, you tell girls you're a deep sea diver.

 

40. The lack of sleep has given your voice a husky Marlon Brando tone that the chicks really dig.

 

41. You're helping to send somebody else's kids to an Ivy League college.

 

42. When you sink the blues, you now can do it with feeling.

 

43. Your drinking now has meaning.

 

44. Your account is experiencing growth. Every day the size of your position grows.

 

45. Owing to your new easily annoyed and quick to flare temperment, the dog obeys you immediately.

 

46. Your wife has stopped inviting her friends over.

 

47. The kids have stopped asking you for help with their math homework.

[richmtn]

Kodiak Mountain

[chiefywiefy]

"additional reasons for being short here"

 

I've grown tired of long slow root canals without novacain and need a substitute.

 

But seriously, at the Badass meeting I was discussing with Wahoo that we haven't seen a 1929 style decline in which everything went down togethrt including the miners. Look at the bearish wedge on the CRB index. I'm not sure now about whether the bearish wedge in the miners is still in play or not here, but everything seems to be lined up for a possible dump everything decline.

[sassafras]

Add to the list:

 

Report showing service sector jobs leaving for oversees - in droves