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Monthly Digger - March 2010


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Posted

Watching the arrows:

Comparing Apples to Oranges? Does Bearish Sentiment Matter? Do Tight Gold Supplies Matter?

Nope, the chart is just measuring momentum by the moving averages.

Posted

True or not I'm not going to link to this headline "Pound Could Collapse Within Weeks" but attacks on countries and their currencies are in full swing probably by hedge funds via swap bets and the only way to make a killing is by panicking the herds. Eventually ends up in the US lap because we have the reserve currency.

 

I'm still looking for a bottoming low in April with spot gold only because I would not expect to see a September low in any year during seasonal strength but rather an accentuated low during seasonal weakness. Usual range trading until then with breakdown below $1040 or breakout above $1150 areas. I could be wrong.

Posted

2year cycle calling for highs in the 1st 4-5months of the year

chart patterns indicating a move

mars goes direct march 10th

maybe this time is different? and the miners will be wallowed in a range!

i went very long this week. on margin, not a smart move.

good to see others bullish

these super moons are deadly, we have one more in march

the whole flim flam fiat currency sham is hitting the fan.

its a process

dharma

Posted

Nope, the chart is just measuring momentum by the moving averages.

 

Just in my opinion think that charts eventually reflect the underlying fundamentals and although the patterns and momentum as measured by the moving averages are very similar, increased investment demand derived from diminishing confidence in paper currencies coupled with Bearish sentiment suggest a bottom was made on Feb 5th instead of another trip down to support.

 

Apples being the May '08 "measured momentum by moving averages" + Bullish Gold Stocks Sentiment + Pre-2008 Credit Crisis 2.7% GOFO rate (adequate supplies of Gold) and

Oranges, the similar Feb '10 "measured momentum by moving averages" + the opposite Bearish Gold Stocks Sentiment + opposite Post-2008 Credit Crisis 0.23% GOFO rate (very tight supplies of Gold)

 

Charmin, nice chart pattern call by the way!

Posted

http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article17525.html

 

We're on the cusp of a huge move, imo.

 

Chiefy, I like your opinion. Just as long as we don't break support, we could just consolidate here for a week or two building cause for a massive breakout traveling up into the May/June time frame.

 

Hui/Gold Ratio chart remains one of my favorites. And I agree that historically, the Gold Stocks continue to be very undervalued/over-sold even after the magnificent gains we experienced since the 10/08 Freakout Panic Bottom.

 

The BGMI chart Adam Brochert uses shows just how undervalued they remain. Referring to the chart he posted, we're reminded that in October, 2009 Gold Stocks were the most undervalued relative to Gold in the last 50 years. And relative to Currency Fiat, they're even more undervalued/over-sold.

 

Additionally, the Juniors are undervalued relative to the Majors allowing us the opportunity to acquire shares leveraged for significant gains.

 

Let's just wind the coiled spring a little tighter without breaking any important support levels and let her fly. The next week or two will tell volumes . . . March 16th FOMC.

Posted

2year cycle calling for highs in the 1st 4-5months of the year

chart patterns indicating a move

mars goes direct march 10th

maybe this time is different? and the miners will be wallowed in a range!

i went very long this week. on margin, not a smart move.

good to see others bullish

these super moons are deadly, we have one more in march

the whole flim flam fiat currency sham is hitting the fan.

its a process

dharma

 

Sounds about right on the timing, and I wouldn't be surprised for another week of wallowing either.

 

Here's a chart bolstering the case for those of us holding long for some upcoming fireworks displays.

 

PS. Dharma, nice that we dodged the Tsunami bullet. But sad for the suffering in Chile.

post-2021-12673330052139.gif

Posted

Sounds about right on the timing, and I wouldn't be surprised for another week of wallowing either.

 

Here's a chart bolstering the case for those of us holding long for some upcoming fireworks displays.

 

PS. Dharma, nice that we dodged the Tsunami bullet. But sad for the suffering in Chile.

we live on this blue planet hurtling through space , which provides all needs for 6 billion human beings. and yet we take little care to not leave a mark. the earth is sick and it will do what it has to, to get well and alot of people are going to disappear.

ps. gm i wasnt looking foward to the tsunami, so i went to hannalei. it was glorious.

sad for chile!

dharma

Posted

I am still on course for a relative march high

which is not incompatible with an april low

 

I will be strickly shortterm trading with 100% physical and buying on dips (no selling) and 80% miners as a base ; selling and buying the rest to keep awake . NO MARGIN and ample of emergency cash

Posted

gm just want to say i do listen. i did read your post 2 times and bought the dip at the opex sell-of on thursdy morning as you said it would happen. felt better after it started goin up later an friday made my day. also like what you posted about oil. sounds like china growth is still strong even thogh theres many saying it is going to crash now. but as a person was saying that gold will start to go down as intrest rates rise because it competes and intrest rates are going up because to much debt is piling up. will you sell when intrest rates rise as many gold experts say will happen? tnx chuck

Posted

Just in my opinion think that charts eventually reflect the underlying fundamentals and although the patterns and momentum as measured by the moving averages are very similar, increased investment demand derived from diminishing confidence in paper currencies coupled with Bearish sentiment suggest a bottom was made on Feb 5th instead of another trip down to support.

 

Apples being the May '08 "measured momentum by moving averages" + Bullish Gold Stocks Sentiment + Pre-2008 Credit Crisis 2.7% GOFO rate (adequate supplies of Gold) and

Oranges, the similar Feb '10 "measured momentum by moving averages" + the opposite Bearish Gold Stocks Sentiment + opposite Post-2008 Credit Crisis 0.23% GOFO rate (very tight supplies of Gold)

 

Charmin, nice chart pattern call by the way!

 

I enjoy juicy fruit, that's why I wouldn't dare suggest anything by the chart since I don't know if I'll be eating any good fruit. Come to think of it I typically feel better when I eat fruit. By the way, I did notice the three moving averages are very close to each other right now. Hmmmm.

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