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We don't know and neither do they.

Chart Courtesy of 

Microsoft Stock Chart: Today's Analyst Bullstool in the Proctoscope - 

Stock Chart in the news. Dr.  Stool puts his proctoscope on a stock in the news and reads the entrails.  

Microsoft - December 15, 2000 Charts and quotes are current, but delayed. Closing price 12/15/00 $49.19 

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Long live the king, the king is dead. Every reign of monopolistic terror comes to an end. What the federal judges fail to do, the market will take care of. 


Hey, technology is not new. Technology companies have life cycles. They are born, they live, they lead the troops for awhile, they get old, and then they die. Below is a picture of a General that doesn't die. Like the old soldier, it just fades away. Every once in awhile he sits up, puts on the uniform, and looks good, but sooner or later he goes back to his sickbed. 

 

Again, here's another "one decision stock" that institutions are so loaded with, your retirement is now in jeopardy. There is no excuse for the kind of analytical stool being spewed out of the Wall Street pipeline. Buy and hold, yadda, yadda. Folks, this is not new. We have been through this before, and before that, and before that. Thirty years ago the analysts said the same things about Polaroid, Xerox, Kodak, et. al. And they were only half as overhyped as the "New Economy" stocks. Criminy, wasn't anyone in this market born before 1968. 

 

How in the world can it be news that stocks go down? Did you know that the 1920's were called the "New Era Economy?" Sound familiar? This is a bear market, a big one, and it's not going to let us forget for a long, long time. For heaven's sakes stop listening to those 31 year old guys on TV calling bottoms. They were dead wrong at the top, and they are still dead wrong. Dr. Stool, the stock market proctologist, knows bottoms, and this ain't no bottom. 

 

Where's the bottom? Say it with me now, "We don't know, and neither do they." The talking heads all seem to think they're going to ring a "capitulation bell" at the bottom. One thing's for sure, when this market hits bottom, the public will have become so disgusted with stocks, they won't even care, or be paying attention any more. That's the real meaning of capitulation.


Come visit Dr. Stool's new park bench. Observe the world, see the droppings, and add yours to the mess at Stool Pigeons on the Wire.

Stepan N. Stool PH&D

 

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This book is a must for you Stooligans out there. The bible of cyclical analysis.
The book that started Dr. Stool on the road to ruin.


 

 

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