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Did Crapvision Yank Arch? Not the First One


DrStool

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Posted

stoolies...you're trying to say that CNBS had no idea what Arch might talk about until 5 minutes before he was scheduled to come on air? Then they thought it over for a few minutes and at T-minus 2 minutes decided to get their top brains on it and figure a way to squirrel out of it?

 

come on

 

I'm all for being bearish, but even the CNBS idiots are reasonably competent broadcasters who wish not to look stupid.

 

I'm taking them at face value. There was a technical problem. Back to therapy.

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Posted

It's good to wait for the facts on Arch but as Doc says, this has happened before. Why they would schedule then cancel someone escapes me when the simplist thing to do is not to schedule any bears at all. Something they are obviously quite good at doing; or is that not doing, whatever.

 

As far as Callaway or anyone in the media or press "looking into this", forgetaboutit. The media or press does not criticize itself, period. Not in this age of concentrated ownership. What is called journalism today, as practiced in the major media, is subject to NO self examination. Howard Kurts, the Washington Post/CNN journalism watchdog is a pathetic lapdog. He did a piece on Crapvision a while back and said that it was maybe, just maybe, a bit too much of a cheerleader in the past, but all is better now. Routiely guests on his show recite the current lie/spin point and then pronounce the press healthy, except perhaps for that pesky liberal bias.

 

The financial news like all other news is scripted and staying on script is rule one for anyone who gets face time in front of a camera. It's how they got there to begin with. It's how guests get on too, come to think of it. Stay on message, stay reliably on script and then get your mug on TV. Get some face time and get a raise and lots of important friends and invitations to better parties, and maybe a better job. All powerful ego reinforcements. With that set of rewards all the players assume they are right.

Posted

The last good bearish report I heard on Crapvision was Jim Rogers a week before the August highs. Crapvision heard he was bullish and bought the panic and gave him a half hour special with Tyler.

 

Well, they open the show with Tyler and Jim says right off: "yes I'm bullish, Ibought the panic on July 24 because that is what you do! Always buy the panic! I am bullish for now but that might change as early as next week. I do think it's just another bear market rally and I will turn bearish when I see it as the best course of action. "

 

The next 25 minutes were a stoolies dream! Reasonable, logical explanations for all his prognostications, especially for commodities. He wouldn't give verbal backing to gold publicly but commodities were the thing to be in for sure. I would suppose that would have to relate to the boring commodities as not being as much an enemy to paper money as gold and thus less manipulated. Presently his attitude on that may be different. I don't know.

 

I do however see an extreme desire to play in futures and commodities for gaming as stock volatility eventually dries up as it flat lines. That will be when the action is down in the pits at the CME, NYME, COMEX. That leverage is tempting but I need to game up more money to expand my horizons to those venues. The broad range of available action is astounding. I am currently comparing XAU options to COMEX gold for a regular cycle play. Risk to reward comparisons for each. Leverage is what I am looking for. Much more education for me to undertake first but thanks to everyone here at Stoolville, especially Doc, this has been one accelerated program at Stool U. My hat is off to all here.

Posted
This one should be sampled and turned into a stoolie hip-hop tune. How about Stoolie radio?

 

Ha! Good idea. I may mess around with it tonight a little... If I come up with anything, I'll post it in the next day or so.

Posted

Gentlemen, lettuce SNOT "LEAP" to conclusions ass'twere ?

re Arch, yet, sans an answer FURom Mr CrawFURd hisself, FURst. :blink:

 

Rogers' commodities fund, allegedly the only one of its kind in existence? :mellow: was up by 8% alone this month ass of the UDDER day to a nearly 40% annual gain. It hASS been moving up inexorably, all year. :wink2:

 

Time to buy? :o

 

If these insinuations re The Idiot Channel are true, well, then The BARE may have to revert to calling it The Idiot Channel again. Maybe he will anyway, and blame it on premature Alzheimers. :P (HRFF is now OLD ENUFF sob!!! :cry: :cry: to where he can PlAWSibly get away with that general EXCUSE :lol: :P :lol: :P )

 

It's 3:19 AM in Seattle. Nothing like 9 or 10 daze on the East coast to screw up one's sleep cycle, wot? :blink:

 

Allegedly, per a post on a BORED recently, here on Stool? perhaps, someone claimed Arch wuz predicting a horrible decline commencing some time in January. But that is HEARSAY UPON HEARSAY which is NOTORIOUSLY UNRELIABLE.

 

Now, Arch was making similar noises in August about September and was RIGHT.

 

And Arch went long in his snoozeletter FUR his subscribers a few daze? beFUR the Oct 10 rally began and predicted a rise into the end of the year IF HRFF recalls correctly, and was right.

 

Draw your own conclusions...

 

And stop DOO-DOOdling, dammit!

Posted
Allegedly, per a post on a BORED recently, here on Stool? perhaps, someone claimed Arch wuz predicting a horrible decline commencing some time in January. But that is HEARSAY UPON HEARSAY which is NOTORIOUSLY UNRELIABLE.

not hearsay. fact. now quasi-famous quote is that he expects a "terrible, terrible first quarter". arch said (in 5 dec ike interview) that he plans to go 200% short after whatever bounce we do or don't see in early january.

 

so....what's the gene inger info?

Posted

"technical problems form arizona"

 

another example for "they have no shame!" :lol: :lol:

 

btw, maria furzaroma looks like an alcohol addict recently :lol:

 

and evey time i turn on this muppetts show, they say "maria is off for the day", "tyler is off for the day", i mean cant they just say: "sorry folks, we cant pay two of them" :lol:

Posted

Proctovision threw me a loop this morning on Wake Up {you just got a margin} Call. 2:58 A.M Pacific Liz lets out a sound bite:

 

"The hooligans are swarming into Times Square!"

 

Good sound bite in tribute to Machinehead who has forecast that one day the mob will tear down the giant Nasdaq sign in Times Square. Machine.........you out there? Hope you had a nice holiday season. I missed your posting over the holidays. Gold and commodities, baby! We need ya, man!

 

I am researching more and more brokers and procedures and pit actions, the shark bastards, as well as how to play this game with cyles as a main factor and various technical indicators. Spotting some interesting stuff too as to some predictable actions in price movements. Playing with regular options at OptionsXpress for practice in the shark pits. Some very interesting similarities in leverage possibilities. I am noticing interesting trends leading up to Futures expirations each month, usually slightly offset by stock option expiration. Divergences between the expiration dates each month produce some interesting action. This seems to apply to similar products than can be played via stock or index options and similar more to the core futures contracts.

 

We need a Cacamodities and Fucutures Forum here on the new board. Maxx Pain, Machine, Rog, and numerous others should accelerate interest. Stock brokerages are eventually going to be so yesterday when Chicago is booming again. I remember a stat somebody posted from the CME that transactions were almost double in 1995 over 1999. This should correct itself as money flows Chicagos way instead of Nascrap. Far more interesting ways to play oil, natural gas, and whatever price trend change may be due and seen beforehand.

 

Publicly listed brokers and clearing houses in Chicago may be interesting to research as well. Peace of mind and a possible stock play that may also confirm the trend in "things" as an investment.

Posted

This was my first response from Dave Callaway re the Crawford Incident last night.

 

Thanks Doc.......I saw that too.......hard to prove but might be worth a look.......certainly a call to him.....who are the other guests?  tks

 

 

-----Original Message-----

From: Dr. Stool [mailto:[email protected]]

Sent: Monday, December 30, 2002 3:36 PM

To: Callaway, David

Subject: Crapvision pulls Arch Crawford

 

 

Hey Dave-

 

Happy New Year!

 

You gotta call Arch Crawford. Crapvision was supposed to have him on at 5:45 PM. They never showed it. Claimed technical difficulties. I think the technical difficulties had to do with the fact that Arch is forecasting a "terrible, terrible" first quarter.

 

This is the third occasion that I know of that they pulled a guest because he was too bearish. I can direct you to some of the guests who can document the situation.

 

Showing how the financial news media slants the news would make a great story, huh? Of course I know you guys would never do that!

 

;-)

 

Doc

 

Then I got this note back from Dave Callaway in response to my email to him about the Crawford Incident. Below his note is part of the exchange of emails I had with him which includes additional backup info.

 

 

this is great....tks doc......we'll follow up.......happy new year........dave

 

-----Original Message-----

From: Dr. Stool [mailto:[email protected]]

Sent: Monday, December 30, 2002 4:24 PM

To: Callaway, David

Subject: Re: Crapvision pulls Arch Crawford

 

 

If you speak to Ike Iossif at Aegean Capital in LA, he can fill you in. Ike was formerly the chief market anal cyst on Channel 22 in LA, the financial news station out there for years before they sold out. Ike now runs a website called http://marketviews.tv where he interviews well known and not so well known (ahem, cough) market anal cysts. He told me that they did it to him. It also happened to a guy named Tim Wood, and two other more well known anal cysts whose name escapes me. I am trying to get ahold of Ike and get the info. You can have a reporter call him at                      . He's happy to talk to you.

 

If you need to reach me I'm at                  .

 

He also chronicled his incident at http://www.aegeancapital.com/freeservices/.../GoodHands2.htm and 3 others at http://aegeancapital.com/young/letter.htm  

 

and   http://aegeancapital.com/young/letter1.htm  Steve Young, referred to in this material is Lou Dobbs' producer.

 

Thanks,

 

Doc

Posted

GM-

 

We had a commodities forum. Nobody went there. This board will do just fine for commod. stuff. .

Posted

Ya Doc, a thread in LOB will do for the cacamodities. Interest should accelerate as time goes by in the real bull market. I'm just looking for ways to play the market with the best leverage and efficiency when an obvious entry appears. Index futures with leverage look appealing. The Nikkei 225 futures contract looks gameable at the odd time. Different ways to play gold , interest rates, oil and natural gas. Whether war in the middle east occurs or not is going to make some spectacular moves either way which would be not as leverageable in stocks. More and more for me to learn, and occasionally game the odd opportunity. Need to hopefully make more money first. The first half of 2003 looks to be opportunity heaven!!!!!!!!!! :grin:

Posted

Deb Marchini (CNN financial news anchor) is leaving CNN after being there over 17 years.

 

The official explanation is to "spend more time with her children" which is always a valid reason, but I truly wonder if she sees the shit hitting the fan soon, providing a further compelling reason to leave.

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