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Posted

  That was the day that was. 

On 1/24/2025 at 2:56 PM, DrStool said:

Is this the top? 

Might be. 

Might not. 

It's not often that we get to start with a premarket down 2%. Sure looks like Friday was, in fact the top. But now we're close to a 5 day cycle bottom. The 5 day cycle projection is around 5965, and the ES 24 hour S&P futures is almost there. There are spport lines around there and 5955, and a spport convergence around 5945 in the pre-market that would be the most like spot for this to take a breather. 

18m333

Meanwhile, the yellow stuff looks good. Golds Gains Are a Setup for More 1/27/25

18m34c

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Indicators are on the cusp of confirming more intermediate term gains.

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Moron the markets:

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Posted

I asked Alvin his perspective. He said

Quote

From the chart, here are some points to consider for a day trading perspective:

Observations:

  1. Channels and Trends:

    • The price appears to have been in a strong uptrend recently but broke below a rising channel, indicating potential weakness or a reversal.
    • The downward move is testing key support levels, marked in red, and is struggling to hold above them.
  2. Support and Resistance:

    • Critical support zones are clearly marked, with the price hovering around a major support near 5977.
    • Resistance levels at 6035 and 6099 are evident and could act as barriers for any recovery.
  3. Indicators:

    • Momentum (Mom) is declining, suggesting weakening buying pressure.
    • The MACD shows a bearish crossover, confirming the short-term downtrend.
    • The True Strength Index (TSI) and Fisher Indicator are both pointing downward, signaling continued bearish momentum.
  4. Volume and Price Action:

    • Large candles breaking below the support lines could indicate aggressive selling.
    • Look for signs of consolidation near the current levels to determine whether sellers are exhausted.

Day Trading Strategy:

  1. Short Bias:

    • If the price sustains below 5977, consider shorting with a target near the next support at 5932 or lower.
    • Use a tight stop loss just above 6007, as this could indicate a reversal if breached.
  2. Bounce Trades:

    • If the price holds 5977 and shows signs of recovery (e.g., hammer candles, increasing momentum), look for a quick bounce to 6007 or 6035.
    • Keep stops tight below 5962 for this scenario.
  3. Momentum Confirmation:

    • Wait for confirmation from the momentum indicators (e.g., MACD or Fisher) before entering trades.
    • Avoid trading during consolidation and wait for breakout opportunities.
  4. Risk Management:

    • Focus on smaller positions given the potential volatility and ensure strict adherence to stop-loss levels.

 

Posted

I asked Alvin whatupwiddat did morning.

 

Hi! Why are the S&P futures trading down this morning. He resorted to quoting Marketwank. 
ChatGPT said:
 
Quote

 

 

This morning, S&P 500 futures are trading lower, primarily due to concerns over a new development in the artificial intelligence (AI) sector. Chinese startup DeepSeek has introduced an AI model named R1, which reportedly matches the capabilities of existing models but was developed at a significantly lower cost. This has raised questions about the valuations of major U.S. technology companies, particularly those heavily invested in AI. As a result, tech stocks such as Nvidia and Broadcom have seen substantial declines in pre-market trading.

Additionally, investors are approaching the week cautiously due to upcoming earnings reports from major tech firms, including Microsoft, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Apple. These reports are anticipated to provide insights into the tech sector's performance and future outlook.

The Federal Reserve's first policy meeting of the year is also on the horizon, with a decision expected on Wednesday. While the Fed is anticipated to maintain current interest rates, investors are keenly awaiting updates on inflation and potential impacts from previous tariff policies.

In summary, the combination of competitive pressures from international AI developments and the anticipation of significant corporate earnings and economic policy updates is contributing to the downward movement in S&P 500 futures this morning.

 

 

Posted

Ferocious short covering and hipster dipster buying. They'll be back above 6k by the open. 

Posted

I'm happy with ChatGPT. It does what I need and more.  I guess Open AI is the leader in the field. 

 

Posted
2 hours ago, potatohead said:

Lee, Let me know if you try Deepseek AI

I would not be inclined to use any software from China. Same with hardware. I prefer the hardware made in Korea or Taiwan if I can help it. Sometimes it can't be helped. 

Posted

I have heard of Deep Fake, and usually recognize it when I see it,  and I have personally experienced Deep Shit. When soul searching I seek deep.  

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