DrStool Posted January 24 Report Posted January 24 Is this the top? Might be. Might not. An extremely extended hourly ES 24 hour S&P futures chart is sitting on trend spport this morning. An hourly close below 6107 would break it. That might not mean much however. There are spport lines every 10 points or so down to 6066. If the market closes above that level, the uptrend would remain intact at a lower angle. That said, hourly oscillators have slipped to the sell side, and are in negative divergences. On the other hand, they're still way up in positive turf. Too many on the one hands on the other, to my liking. Here's something interesting. In my screens this morning, covering about 1600 NYSE and Nadsac stocks trading an average of more than 1 million shares/day, and over 6 bucks, major sell setups led major buy setups 171 to 152. Intermediate buys were 118, sells 137. And short term triggers were lopsided on the sell side. 64 sells and 4 buys. Oopsie. I have refined the algorithms using AI to write code to my specs to more closely capture what I see as ideal setups. I publish a once a week sample. Maximize Your Trading Edge with Weekly Technical Chart Insights Meanwhile, Goldie is good looking. Update coming this weekend. Breakout coming? Gold Trends and Insights: Are You Ready for the Next Move? Moron the markets: Unlock Market Trends: S&P 500 and Dow Analysis for January 2025 January 21, 2025 S&P 500 Outlook: Key Levels and Cycles for January 2025 January 21, 2025 Maximize Your Trading Edge with Weekly Technical Chart Insights January 20, 2025 Top Swing Trade Picks for Subscribers- Jan 20, 2025 January 20, 2025 Gold Trends and Insights- Subscriber Report, Link CorrectedJanuary 20, 2025 Primary Dealer Stress: Big Risks Delayed, Not Denied, in the Treasury and Equity Markets January 15, 2025 Macro Liquidity Trends: Insights on Repo, Treasury Actions, and Market Dynamics January 10, 2025 Withholding Taxes Surge – Could This Signal a Market Breakout? January 7, 2025 If you are a new visitor to the Stool, please register and join in! To post your observations and charts, and snide, but good-natured, comments, click here to register. Be sure to respond to Be sure to respond to the confirmation email which is sent instantly. If not in your inbox, check your spam folder.
DrStool Posted January 24 Author Report Posted January 24 Liquidity Inflection Points: Navigating Macro Risks and Repo Trends – January 2025 Lee Adler 1 - Liquidity Trader- Money Trends January 24, 2025 Subscribers, click here to download the report. The current market environment reflects a precarious balance between liquidity expansion and underlying systemic risks. Despite the Federal Reserve’s continued quantitative tightening (QT), private money creation through lending and repo markets has kept liquidity flowing, pushing stock prices to historically stretched levels. However, the new political approach to the re-imposition of the federal debt ceiling introduces uncertainties. This report covers the data and shows you the trends to watch in order to prepare for what’s ahead. A vigilant approach to liquidity signals and fiscal developments will be critical in adapting to potential shifts in market conditions. I will continue to provide that vigilance for you in the months ahead. 📈Not a subscriber? Subscribe Today and start making informed decisions in an ever-changing market.
DrStool Posted January 24 Author Report Posted January 24 Navigate 2025 Market Risks with Liquidity Trader’s Expert Insights Lee Adler Lee's Free Thinking January 24, 2025 Stay Ahead of the Market Curve In this turbulent market environment, understanding liquidity dynamics is more crucial than ever. Liquidity Trader provides proprietary insights into the macroeconomic factors and liquidity trends driving market movements, helping you anticipate potential risks and opportunities. Key Topics Covered in Our Latest Report Stock Market Valuations: The S&P 500 remains historically extended relative to liquidity measures. What does this mean for future market performance? Debt Ceiling Dynamics: With the reimposition of the federal debt ceiling, we analyze how Treasury operations might inject or drain liquidity—and how this could impact your portfolio. Repo Market Trends: Stock Prices have closely tracked the trend of Delivery vs. Payment (DVP) repos. A break below critical trendlines could signal a turning point for equity markets. Foreign Liquidity Signals: Central bank liquidations of U.S. Treasuries are raising bearish flags. Is international support for U.S. markets weakening? The impacts will be felt. Fed’s Reverse Repo Facility: With balances dwindling record lows, what’s next for this key buffer against market volatility? What Does It All Mean for Traders? From systemic risks in the repo market to speculative leverage driving market sentiment, our in-depth analysis reveals the forces shaping the financial landscape. But timing is critical, and understanding when liquidity trends shift can make all the difference. Don’t Trade Blind—Trade with Confidence Gain exclusive access to actionable insights that can help you navigate the complex interplay of liquidity, sentiment, and leverage. Subscribe to Liquidity Trader today to access the full report and stay ahead of market developments. Your Competitive Edge Awaits Join the community of informed traders and investors who rely on Liquidity Trader for a deeper understanding of market forces. Click here to subscribe now and make smarter trading decisions.
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