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Posted

But is it a road to nowhere. The ES 24 hour S&P futures hourly chart has formed a triangle since yesterday. It's the epitome of indecision, but when the break out, the move is usually explosive, if not always long lived. Hourly cycle oscillators are pointing down from a pattern that's normally a sign of impending doom. 

If they take out 5765, the next step down is just 5750, then below that 5740 and 5730. The question is, if this breaks, do they step down in order or do they slice through like a knife through butter? On the other hand, if they clear 5797, this high base pattern that they're coming out of has a conventional measured move target of 5860. 

The TA minimally favors the downside here, but what do I know, I'm on a bus in the middle of the Croatian hinterland. Swing Trade Screen Picks – Lots of Sell Signals Again

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Meanwhile, the catastrophic move in the 10 year Treasury yield is poised to get worse. So much for that Fed rate cut, huh? We’re Now Week to Week for this Bull 

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For moron the markets see:

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Posted

My friends, the good news is, Milton wasn't the Big One. 

The bad news is, Milton wasn't the Big One.

 

Posted

CBB

Investment-grade spreads (to Treasuries) ended the week at 81 bps, one basis point above the low from June 30, 2021. More to the point, it is also within a basis point of the low all the way back to March 15, 2005, a period notable for being at the heart of mortgage finance Bubble excess.

 Financial conditions seemingly couldn’t have been easier, with investment-grade corporate spreads in early 2005 the narrowest since the summer of 1998 exuberance (pre-Russia/LTCM collapses).

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