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Another Launchpad Setup 8/19/24

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The ES needs to be below 5562 at the NY open, and 5575 at the close to break the current iteration of the uptrend. That's just to break the proximate trend, not to signal a top, let alone a downside reversal. First things first. 

Failing that, it would seem that the market's next upside target would be 5600.

Just eyeballing this chart, the setup looks bullish as hell. There's not much going on in the way of cycles. Just trend up, pause, trend up, pause. It's enough to put a trader to sleep. I guess that's what they want. Then kaboom, right? 

"Kaboom" would initially require at least a break of 5545. 

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Meanwhile, however, BTC our excess liquidity indicator, suggests, well, maybe. On an hourly basis, it does show cycling, waning animal spirits, and the implication that excess liquidity is also on the wane. But just in the last hour, it indicated a bottom .image.png

Finally, the hourly chart of the 10 year yield suggests preparation for a launch. Liquidity Now Hinges on Mood

 

image.png

For moron the markets, see: 

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Yes, but it is a measure of excess liquidity. Because that's where some of it goes. It's 24 hours a day, 7 days a week. It's for hard core addicts and gamblers. I think it will serve to keep an eye on it. 

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