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On Day Five, Fishes and Birds - 6/27/24

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Today is ideally the 5 day cycle high on the ES. But alas, the waves regressing toward ever smaller amplitudes as the market triangulates itself toward infinite flatness. The ES would need to end today above 5474 for an upside breakout, or 5455 for a downside breakout. Until one of those things happens, nothing will happen. 

The rise off yesterday's low has given the hourly indicators a slightly bullish tone. But without a breakout, it's meaningless. And even if 5474 is cleared, there's more resistance immediately overhead in the 5480-90 range. It doesn't argue for a big upside move today, even with the last T-bill paydown, totaling $15 billion, settling today. That's because massive coupon issuance is coming tomorrow and next week, and that should weigh heavily on things. 

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Even a downside breakout from the triangle would not argue for a big move. Spport is around 5440-45. They players will play hold that line there. 

15d432

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7 minutes ago, potatohead said:

 

I am shocked, shocked that our former President would have anything to do with someone who committed fraud. 

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Return to the scene of the crime. 

15d8gf

If 5475 holds, this thing will blast off this afternoon. If it doesn't hold...

Oh well...

 

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In my swing trade stock screens the sell side had another big edge today. Been that that for a week. It snot working. 

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$5 billion T-bill paydown scheduled for July 5. That's a little surprising since they have net issuance on July 2. Still too much cash in the till. 

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