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Why Expect a Top 7/19/23

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It's like all this guessing about when the next recession will be. Why bother. It's a joke. We don't know when the next recession will be and neither do that. We don't know when and where the top will be either. We can guess, but what's the point. Trade the charts. They have been overwhelmingly flashing buy signals all year, and more so lately.

Even when I get a few picks on the short side, they don't work, or only a handful work. Meanwhile, the bulk of the signals remain on the buy side. And they've been working. June was the best month I've had for swing trade picks.

I got off to a very rough start in July, but that has completely turned around over the past 10 days. We're off the the races. The beginning of the month was just the dealers shaking the trees and loading up. 

RIght now, I'm on a train between Luebeck and Schwerin Germany. I really liked Luebeck. Must return some day. In fact, I'm feeling very much at home in Germany. I like the country. I keep seeing my name everywhere. 

image.jpeg

Meanwhile, on the hourly chart of the ES 24 hour S&P futures, we're due for a 3 day cycle high here, but only a half day pullback. The 5 day cycle is still pointing toward a projection of 4575-4590. And being so close to 4600, the magnetic action of round numbers could come into play.  That would all ideally be due on Friday. 

10pwcu

Meanwhile, I need to change trains in a few minutes. I'll be back. 

For moron the markets, see:

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My itinerary is set, unfortunately. I really like Schwerin also. All these towns are in Pomerania. I was in Swinoujscie for 5 days.  And I love Gdansk. Plan to return there next summer for extended stay. This is my last high frequency itinerary. 

Gradually heading west from here. Leipzig, Nuremberg, Rothenberg ob der Tauber, Heidelberg, Mulhouse, Strasbourg, Bonn, Antwerp, Ghent, Lille, and then the small towns of Normandy, etc. 

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5 day cycle projection now 4595. 

Ridiculous chart. 

10p-ph

Think that's ridiculous. Check this out. 5 hour bars. 

10p-uy

Tomorrow, tomorrow, me love you long time, tomorrow, it's only a day away. 

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1 hour ago, SiP said:

Tesla and Netflix are reporting today.

 

Apple just mentioned about AI and got 2%.

Yesterday ot was Microsoft and got 8%.

Tulip AI mania.

I'm old enough to remember when whispering the word "blockchain" was good for a big bump in one's stock price. 

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Does anyone here use the Trading View App? If so, why is there no functionality where I can see the constituents of an index, like NDX? Or is there somewhere in the App? I would simply like to scroll thru all the NDX members with my saved chart setup, effs me up that it seems that is not possible 😤😔😢

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Im using Polish brokers like XTB, BOS and they dont have this also.

You could use free polish website in english which has it - its called stooq.com.

Im thinking about movie to Interactive Brokers due to more number of ETFs.

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2 minutes ago, SiP said:

Im using Polish brokers like XTB, BOS and they dont have this also.

You could use free polish website in english which has it - its called stooq.com.

Im thinking about movie to Interactive Brokers due to more number of ETFs.

Thanks SIP 🙂

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here is direct link to apple

https://stooq.com/q/a2/?s=aapl.us&i=d&t=c&a=lg&z=219&ft=20190520&l=0&d=1&ch=0&f=1&lt=57&r=3&o=0

 

 

if you go to stooq.com, in the upper left fill in the stock ticker. On the stock page, on the left, click Chart in html5.

Then the chart will load, you have all tools like sts, ma, macd etc. Then again on the left you could change the ticker.

 

But you have to click it manually. You cant drill down the nasdaq.

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Its Wallstreet game. They lower the forecast, keep informing about the range and that how thy normally beat the consensus. They beat the forecast 80% of the time.

 

I don't think there will be any disaster in the results. The bears will probably be thinking about the September/October period. The key is what the Fed will do with interest rates in the first half of 2024. If they keep them high, they will eventually cause the economy to collapse. Most private equity and CRE funds are trying to pretend that their AUM has not lost value. Many of them can pretend and claim this is true because there are no transactions.

 

The Q is - who will blink first.

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