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When the Bear Market Will End

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IT WAS THE BEST  OF TIMES....IT WAS THE WORST OF TIMES

For shorts certainly the best of times..........

Enjoy it while it lasts....

This year has been a shorters paradise in a very obvious way.

Even the bear market rallys have been rather pathetic.

My certainty on market direction this year (down) was over 95%.

It only equals the period late 2007 early 2008 for that "certainty" feeling.

 

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THE LACK OF ATTACKS ON SHORTS

Yes I notice the campaign against short sellers is far more muted this time around compared to 2007/08.

I think it is because the Wall Street money is all in the RRP so they hav'nt got their capital on the line.

And a lot more of the hedge funds/bank trading departments are probably trading short this year instead of long in 2008.

Plus the banks are a lot less exposed/leveraged this time around. 

Plus the FED's obvious QT.......means they are getting the blame for the decline.

If you have watched Cramer (he is basically the zeitgiest and avatar of the markets average intelligence level) lately you will have noted he has gone "Full FED Psycologist".

This is a sign that the average intelligence level of the market is increasing albeit from the low base caused by all the virus money printing. 

He is also a Sceamdex component.  

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