Jump to content


Photo

And the band played on


This topic has been archived. This means that you cannot reply to this topic.
110 replies to this topic

#61 Goldmember

Goldmember

    Professor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 7,042 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 01:42 PM

Gad it's nice to be home after being away for a couple of weeks...good time though. Catching up with family and putting my magic touch on my brother's lovely new house in the most up-scale subdivision in his area.

Stay tuned for an exciting news announcement from yours truly in the near future. I may be re-locating, or not...and events are conspiring in such a way that I've decided to expand my horizons and proceed with a new venture, utilizing my skills and experience in the technical analysis field of the entire finagler spectrum. All of it...if it publicly trades I'll have technicolor analysis of it. If it so much a wiggles I'll be all over it like skidmarks on Fruit of the Loom. Stocks, bonds, commodes, you name it. The Big Picture...what a showwww. Bigger, better and oh so precise. :P :lol: :D B) :rolleyes:

Thank God [and Al Gore :lol: :rolleyes: ]...for the internuts.

Such a commitment of effort, money and time invested will result in the venture being on a subscrition basis, however, though I'll still be around...sort of. Many possibilities and details to iron out...

...as I said, stay tuned to this, and perhaps other, broadcasting network[s].

Feedback is always welcome...

If you've liked my charts and prognostications in the past, you'll LOVE my new charts, which I'm fine tuning as we speak and oh my...they are niiiiiiiice....and this new venture, though still in the conceptual and planning stages.

It's time... B)

Da Boyz ...had best be worried... :lol: :D
Anthony caused pearls to be dissolved in wine to drink the health of Cleopatra; Sir Richard Whittington was as foolishly magnificent in an entertainment to King Henry V; and Sir Thomas Gresham drank a diamond, dissolved in wine, to the health of Queen Elizabeth, when she opened the Royal Exchange; but the breakfast of this roguish Dutchman was as splendid as either. He had an advantage, too, over his wasteful predecessors: their gems did not improve the taste or the wholesomeness of their wine, while his tulip was quite delicious with his red herring.here

#62 juggler

juggler

    Stock Proctology Intern

  • Members
  • Pip
  • 481 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 01:44 PM

10,334 :ph34r:


I think 11050 seems to be a better target - there will be ups and down but that where I think we are headed.
Minor "stops" at 10200, and 10470 along the way.

#63 Slappy

Slappy

    Doctor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,491 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 01:47 PM

At some point in ones life, any activity could be considered "criminal" just because there will be something you do that is violated. Oh look, I just released some emissions into the air...

I violated cap and trade with a cow fart.


... and we're getting snow in mid-October


Posted Image

#64 DrStool

DrStool

    Chief of Stock Proctology

  • Admin
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 83,393 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 01:56 PM

October 22, D-Day – Professional Edition Fed Report


by Lee Adler, Sunday, October 18, 2009, in Money and The Fed, Professional Edition | Permalink |Comments (0) Edit The Treasury’s cash management bill paydowns are due to end this week. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.

If your portfolio has you feeling irregular, for fast, long lasting relief, take a subscribatory. And support your local Stool!

#65 juggler

juggler

    Stock Proctology Intern

  • Members
  • Pip
  • 481 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 01:58 PM

... and we're getting snow in mid-October


That just a side-effect of global warming lol: :lol: <_<
The other side-effect will show up in your pocket book ...

#66 Slappy

Slappy

    Doctor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,491 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 03:19 PM

At some point in the past week someone here mentioned that Mauldin was an advocate of a "Muddle Through" future. This weekend's letter seems to indicate he's giving up hope of that scenario.



......

Last week I expressed my concern that we as a country are taking actions that
could indeed “Kill the Goose” of our free-market economy. I rightly got letters asking me
how I could maintain Muddle Through in the face of that letter. I have given it a lot of
thought and research. How likely are we to muddle through in the face of $1.5 trillion and
larger deficits? Today we take another look at Muddle Through. It should be interesting.

....

Oh boy.........



#67 TenaciousG

TenaciousG

    Master of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 1,732 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 03:22 PM

Some anecdotal news: Neighbor with a "very" small IT consulting business now being audited for State sales tax. Also, read in this Sunday's paper that the city is now hounding local vet clinics for data on pets who have received rabies shots so they may cross check those who have not paid for registering their pet.

Not that this is new but is sure is more signs of desperation from state and local taxing authorities looking for $$
Cynically optimistic

#68 Jimi

Jimi

    Dean of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 11,187 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 03:45 PM

Some anecdotal news: Neighbor with a "very" small IT consulting business now being audited for State sales tax. Also, read in this Sunday's paper that the city is now hounding local vet clinics for data on pets who have received rabies shots so they may cross check those who have not paid for registering their pet.

Not that this is new but is sure is more signs of desperation from state and local taxing authorities looking for $$

Interesting anecdotes.
Sure glad all my albums went GOLD.
"Ferdy-bee-bee-dee-ferbs."
Subscribe & Earn Karma Miles with Every Visit!
Rule #5 Professional Exemption.
Blind Follower, Just Think Positive Hyperinflation, I Get Paid 500 Quadrillion Dollars/Hour at 1000% Interest/Hour Compounding Forever Each Mouse Click Religion.
"I too observe 'flation.'"
I love you, TASR!
YOU MAKE KITTY SCARED
Tops Take Time
Postulate A Free Lunch Economy
Anyone, now, who is not genuinely afraid is a moran.
[T]housands of empty stucco crapboxes vacated after being circle-jerk sham-traded among corrupt borkers, uppraisers and loan officers from 100K up to 800K, then "nopay-walkaway" (with dirty loan cash in pockets)
Guess again, girlfriend.
Or, $2.7 million every effing day since the effing pinball machine.
Permabear Hysterian

#69 quanta

quanta

    Master of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 1,150 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 03:54 PM

FT Interviews Benoit Mandelbrot

Extremely interesting interview with Dr. M regarding his early and continuing criticism of the Efficent Market Theory.

He compares the current situation to Ptolmy and Copernicus. The Market is NOT a random walk, similar to Brownian motion, but something else, which needs better tools for analysis and forecast.
In two parts which continue automagically...
Don't look too close...
The current Weatha
In mathematics you don't understand things. You just get used to them. Johann von Neumann
We're all frinkin' doomed The Mogambo Guru
In the long run, we're all dead John Maynard Keynes
If voting changed anything, they'd make it illegal Emma Goldman
Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana G. Marx

#70 jickiss

jickiss

    Doctor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,716 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 03:59 PM

jickiss is back!



jickiss is back!

and,

for sure, the Short and the Very Short term could see gold drop, or Earl, or the doolar pop up a bit....why not?

da Boyz can Spread Trade with so called "Free Money"

but there will be NO Random Walk in the Price of Gold.

Thimk weekly

take a look.......1, 2, and now Three!

Attached Thumbnails

  • 10_16_2009__Gold_Big_Picture__is_here_up_up_upppp.PNG

"Every Bubble ends in fear and panic. This one will too." --Machinehead, March 29, 2005

On September 06, 2006, TRE closed at $6.50.
On September 19, 2006, CDE closed at $46.30 (adjusted for reverse split)
.


On Oct. 17, '06, Goldman (GS) closed at $183.07 (jickiss Sell) whilst Newmont (NEM) closed at $43.24 (jickiss Buy).

"Politics in America has become a playground of fictions. The politicians tell the public what the public wants to hear. Whether the question is social security, education, budget deficits or national security, the public wants to believe that things aren�t so bad." --Written by J.R. Nyquist, December 8, 2006.

"Private sector employees will never retire, they will work literally to death, dying sick broke and busted with absolutely no hope whatsoever." -- Shorty, on March 15, 2009.

"Luck is the most precious commodity in the world." Brisbane Bear, October 25, 2007.

"Luck favors the prepared mind." Mr. James Dines, back in the 80s, in "The Dines Letter."

"With Luck, anything is Possible, but without Luck, virtually nothing Good ever happens." --- The jickiss Mantra, sad but True.

#71 phatbubble

phatbubble

    Associate Professor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4,331 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 04:55 PM

Jick you're using a standard 12,26,9 MACD.

Should we be worried?
Quod Severis Metes

Your life is the sum of a remainder of an unbalanced equation inherent to the programming of the Matrix. You are the eventuality of an internal anomaly, which despite my sincerest efforts, I have been unable to eliminate from what is otherwise a harmony of mathematical precision. While it remains a burden assiduously avoided, it is not unexpected, and thus not beyond a measure of control. Which has led you, inexorably, here.
You haven't answered my question.
Quite right. Interesting. That was quicker than the others.

#72 Trader Joe

Trader Joe

    Phd, Douchebagology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 13,570 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 05:15 PM

Some anecdotal news: Neighbor with a "very" small IT consulting business now being audited for State sales tax. Also, read in this Sunday's paper that the city is now hounding local vet clinics for data on pets who have received rabies shots so they may cross check those who have not paid for registering their pet.

Not that this is new but is sure is more signs of desperation from state and local taxing authorities looking for $$


Great accomplishment....overpaid, fat benefit, large-ass pension pubic service folks actually forced to do their yob....what'll they think of next?

#73 Trader Joe

Trader Joe

    Phd, Douchebagology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 13,570 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 05:19 PM

FT Interviews Benoit Mandelbrot

Extremely interesting interview with Dr. M regarding his early and continuing criticism of the Efficent Market Theory.

He compares the current situation to Ptolmy and Copernicus. The Market is NOT a random walk, similar to Brownian motion, but something else, which needs better tools for analysis and forecast.
In two parts which continue automagically...


Big fan of the Mandlebrot

Love the math and the resultant pretty pictures

Posted Image

#74 jickiss

jickiss

    Doctor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,716 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 05:37 PM

jickiss is back!



jickiss is back!


and


Dear phat:

for sure, nothing goes un-noticed here.....all them that read and post here are super able, for sure. this big issue has been two-fold:

(1) Time

(2) The Box Formation that has contained and restrained the spooz, gold, and Earl.

The Size of the Box is significant, and this has confused the bulls, who though by now that, (for instance) gold might be $1,250 and GG (for instance) would be $80 or whatever. (To try to be Clear, without details, Gold and GG are still restrained within these Boxes).

These gold bulls thought that the Spoozer would be way down by now, as the Gold bulls believe in counter-cycle gold and silver behaviour, ultimately...

The funny mentals, (as Doc has termed them) do not matter. your jickiss thimks that this is true, except at the critical turn, that now approaches.

ok, jick, you may ask, when is this critcal turn, and are there Guides?

the thimking of your jickiss is that the critical turn is right here and very soon, and the best reflections are the Point and Figger GG chart posted above, and the 1,2,3 gold chart, posted above, but after the GG chart.

It seems, however, that an argument might be made that the wheels fall off in JULY 2010. This horizon is longer than your jickiss can stand, but since your jickiss does not matter in the grand scheme, so be it.

If Gann said to first thimk Weekly, the failure to so do has hurt a lot of traders since the INDU turned up, with F and the various Bonks leading.

If there is a sign, then it must be the PRICE OF THE US Trashury LONG BOND. Here is the sign.
If there is a chart posted by your jickiss, with the Standard default macd's, well it is only posted to re-assure all them that laugh at the tools: 2,3,2---4,6,5---5,40,11---3,16,6---7,39,39 (from Doc)---37,39,38 (also from Doc)---20,96,39---and 10,46,19. In short, once the power of the mass mind moves Gold, nothing can stop it.

the minor point is that if the jickiss contorted gold chart works, it will soon be printing north of $1,200.

your jickiss would really like to have your sense of whether the Big Awful can happen soon (Before the First week of January, 2010) or if, (especially using ASTRO cycles) we have to wait until July 2010 before the Big Awful happens.

None of this is easy,
but again, for the record,
Anyone who is not Genuinely Afraid now is surely a Moran.

best regards to you!

jickiss!!!!!!!

Edited by jickiss, 18 October 2009 - 05:43 PM.

"Every Bubble ends in fear and panic. This one will too." --Machinehead, March 29, 2005

On September 06, 2006, TRE closed at $6.50.
On September 19, 2006, CDE closed at $46.30 (adjusted for reverse split)
.


On Oct. 17, '06, Goldman (GS) closed at $183.07 (jickiss Sell) whilst Newmont (NEM) closed at $43.24 (jickiss Buy).

"Politics in America has become a playground of fictions. The politicians tell the public what the public wants to hear. Whether the question is social security, education, budget deficits or national security, the public wants to believe that things aren�t so bad." --Written by J.R. Nyquist, December 8, 2006.

"Private sector employees will never retire, they will work literally to death, dying sick broke and busted with absolutely no hope whatsoever." -- Shorty, on March 15, 2009.

"Luck is the most precious commodity in the world." Brisbane Bear, October 25, 2007.

"Luck favors the prepared mind." Mr. James Dines, back in the 80s, in "The Dines Letter."

"With Luck, anything is Possible, but without Luck, virtually nothing Good ever happens." --- The jickiss Mantra, sad but True.

#75 quanta

quanta

    Master of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 1,150 posts

Posted 18 October 2009 - 06:06 PM

"What are the banks doing with these massive excess reserves"?
Asked Doc in the Fed report...

Well maybe they are holding the cash as collateral for the $1.7 TRILLION of Interest Rate Swaps they have written.

Five large commercial banks represent 88% of net current credit exposure.

Wait till this bubble pops...

From the OCC Second Qauter 2009 report:

Posted Image


Posted Image

Posted Image

Posted Image
Don't look too close...
The current Weatha
In mathematics you don't understand things. You just get used to them. Johann von Neumann
We're all frinkin' doomed The Mogambo Guru
In the long run, we're all dead John Maynard Keynes
If voting changed anything, they'd make it illegal Emma Goldman
Time flies like an arrow; fruit flies like a banana G. Marx





Stock market portfolio giving you the runs? See Dr. Stool.

Take a subscribatory!
Download 
The Anals of Stock Proctology now!



The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board
Stool's Gold- Gold and Precious Metals Forum
Look Out Below Message Board

Support your local Stool Board.


The Al E. Greenspeuman designer line at Stoolmart. Get yours today! Click here now!
Get Mugged!


Dr. Stool's
Book Search

Enter title, author, or keyword
Just books
All Products





Old Stool Depository

Live Steaming Pile Chart