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#46 Cassiopeia

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:11 PM

Swenlin's latest:

http://www.decisionp...90227_lows.html

DOW/S&P with 3 handles in 2010...gulp...i don't think we go anywhere near that low but never say never... :ph34r:


SPX 300! Gulp, maybe my 195 ain't so crazy.

He is looking at roughly an 80% decline that parallels 1929 (90%).

What would C be trading at then...er..would C even still be trading :rolleyes:
"lots of grunting,rutting and snout filled phlegm in the pits as pigmen crowd into the action furiously passing huge methane bombs and tearing the flesh off the bones of hapless bears,ideologues and those too slow to make it to their monitors. " - bubbadropping

#47 lineup32

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:13 PM

Let's wrap up the week.

The guberment worked really really hard and produced a bill banning pet chimps

Troop withdrawal begins in Iraq

Even Pretcher got tired of the selling and gave the mother of all signals

Bernanke denies they are really nationalizing banks, but hey we will play a game called 'Stress Test' instead

Did I miss anything?


ST SAN FRANCISCO -- Caifornia's unemployment rate hit 10.1 percent in January, the highest level in 26 years, as more than 1.8 milllion state residents looked for work last month without success.
Images
Hundreds of people wait in line to get into a job fair in...Job seekers wait in line to enter a job fair in San Mateo.People wait in line for job-seeking advice in San Mateo. View Larger Images

A state Employment Development Department report issued Friday said California employers eliminated 79,300 payroll jobs in January. Since January 2008, the state has lost 494,000 payroll jobs as California's losses in this economic downturn continue to exceed the nation's

http://www.sfgate.co...?...2.DTL&tsp=1

#48 psyche doctor

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:17 PM

I noticed that we had 117 users on IDS at one point today. Prior intermediate lows were around 130 users. In March 2003 it was between 220 and 250. There are fewer people in the market now. More have been wiped out. My guess is that at the next low we should see something like 130-150 and at THE low, I'd expect to be over 200 again.

At the top in July and October ought seven, we were actually running below 30 at some points during the day.


I seen the number of abusers creep up during the day. It would be interesting to plot this info on a daily chart and compare it with the spx, complemented with moving averges and linear regression channels etc. Also interesting, today , there are over 7000 people who have registered with the board, which would have to be considerably higher than was in 2003, but it seems that the average abusers on a daily basis has remained somewhat the same - the masses are a peculiar bunch. However, on an individual basis, that Shorty is a real strange bird.
I watched a snail crawl along the edge of a straight razor. That's my dream; that's my nightmare. Crawling, slithering, along the edge of a straight razor... and surviving

#49 Jimi

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:19 PM


"Here kitty-kitty-kitty-kitty!"
Sure glad all my albums went GOLD.
"Ferdy-bee-bee-dee-ferbs."
Subscribe & Earn Karma Miles with Every Visit!
Rule #5 Professional Exemption.
Blind Follower, Just Think Positive Hyperinflation, I Get Paid 500 Quadrillion Dollars/Hour at 1000% Interest/Hour Compounding Forever Each Mouse Click Religion.
"I too observe 'flation.'"
I love you, TASR!
YOU MAKE KITTY SCARED
Tops Take Time
Postulate A Free Lunch Economy
Anyone, now, who is not genuinely afraid is a moran.
[T]housands of empty stucco crapboxes vacated after being circle-jerk sham-traded among corrupt borkers, uppraisers and loan officers from 100K up to 800K, then "nopay-walkaway" (with dirty loan cash in pockets)
Guess again, girlfriend.
Or, $2.7 million every effing day since the effing pinball machine.
Permabear Hysterian

#50 phatbubble

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:20 PM

What was the Elliot count around late March 1931? Or maybe December 1930?

Here's one, I think from Marketclues. Somebody posted it here six years ago.

By this count, the decline from the 29 top had a short A & B, and a longgg C.

By contrast this A has already lopped off half the market cap, so the C can't be that much longer than A in nominal terms.

I'm looking for C to bottom in summer 2010. Curious about Prtzl's timeframe for same - he's more accomplished here, I'm sort of a junkyard Ewoofer and use it as a supplement.

Attached Thumbnails

  • 1929dow_marketclues.gif

Quod Severis Metes

Your life is the sum of a remainder of an unbalanced equation inherent to the programming of the Matrix. You are the eventuality of an internal anomaly, which despite my sincerest efforts, I have been unable to eliminate from what is otherwise a harmony of mathematical precision. While it remains a burden assiduously avoided, it is not unexpected, and thus not beyond a measure of control. Which has led you, inexorably, here.
You haven't answered my question.
Quite right. Interesting. That was quicker than the others.

#51 psyche doctor

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:22 PM

SPX 300! Gulp, maybe my 195 ain't so crazy.

He is looking at roughly an 80% decline that parallels 1929 (90%).

What would C be trading at then...er..would C even still be trading :rolleyes:


I think you are witnessing the last days of C. They shouldn't even be trading right now if it were not for uncle sam's intervention. These are indeed historical times.
I watched a snail crawl along the edge of a straight razor. That's my dream; that's my nightmare. Crawling, slithering, along the edge of a straight razor... and surviving

#52 phatbubble

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:23 PM

P.S. FWIW I think we may see a massive rally in 2011....from whatever level.
Quod Severis Metes

Your life is the sum of a remainder of an unbalanced equation inherent to the programming of the Matrix. You are the eventuality of an internal anomaly, which despite my sincerest efforts, I have been unable to eliminate from what is otherwise a harmony of mathematical precision. While it remains a burden assiduously avoided, it is not unexpected, and thus not beyond a measure of control. Which has led you, inexorably, here.
You haven't answered my question.
Quite right. Interesting. That was quicker than the others.

#53 Jimi

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:23 PM

Is there method to that rolling red ball madness, or is it just cool looking?

Not that there's anything inadequate about "just cool looking."
Sure glad all my albums went GOLD.
"Ferdy-bee-bee-dee-ferbs."
Subscribe & Earn Karma Miles with Every Visit!
Rule #5 Professional Exemption.
Blind Follower, Just Think Positive Hyperinflation, I Get Paid 500 Quadrillion Dollars/Hour at 1000% Interest/Hour Compounding Forever Each Mouse Click Religion.
"I too observe 'flation.'"
I love you, TASR!
YOU MAKE KITTY SCARED
Tops Take Time
Postulate A Free Lunch Economy
Anyone, now, who is not genuinely afraid is a moran.
[T]housands of empty stucco crapboxes vacated after being circle-jerk sham-traded among corrupt borkers, uppraisers and loan officers from 100K up to 800K, then "nopay-walkaway" (with dirty loan cash in pockets)
Guess again, girlfriend.
Or, $2.7 million every effing day since the effing pinball machine.
Permabear Hysterian

#54 colon poowell

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:24 PM

Appropriated from another site and modified.

BAC_new_logo.JPG

#55 phatbubble

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:33 PM

That Wiki page claims Livermore was worth $100M after the 29 crash, which he then lost within five years.

That'd be $1.2B today. That's a shitload of money to lose through ignoring your own trading rules...
Quod Severis Metes

Your life is the sum of a remainder of an unbalanced equation inherent to the programming of the Matrix. You are the eventuality of an internal anomaly, which despite my sincerest efforts, I have been unable to eliminate from what is otherwise a harmony of mathematical precision. While it remains a burden assiduously avoided, it is not unexpected, and thus not beyond a measure of control. Which has led you, inexorably, here.
You haven't answered my question.
Quite right. Interesting. That was quicker than the others.

#56 lineup32

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:45 PM

outhouse.jpg


Calif is proposing a statewide standard for septic systems. The state water board is currently having public hearings in different counties and the public outcry is strong. A key part of the new standards means somebody actually goes out and looks at your supposed septic system and checks that against county records. We have a strong illegal weed industry here not to mention the meth labs and building done without permits so sending out state inspectors to your home brings out a strong reaction from the locals!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I can just see the look on these guys when the inspector asks what with that 2000 sq ft addition with no windows and a vent over what's it for.

#57 Trader Joe

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:47 PM

Appropriated from another site and modified.

BAC_new_logo.JPG



Great one!!!

BAC to rule the world.....WORD!

#58 Trader Joe

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:52 PM

1929dow_marketclues.jpg

#59 T_Slim

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 07:53 PM

can someone post one of those longterm dow or s and p charts. my feed doesn't go back very far . . . i'm in no man's land. can't see the next price pivot zone. :wacko:

#60 K Wave Rider

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Posted 27 February 2009 - 08:09 PM

This thing is still accelerating boys and girls....and we just CLOSED below a DECADE of support...this is the type of place where crashes happen....

You cannot rule out something like this for March.....we are in the Crash Window after all...on a friggin' Monthly time frame!

Did somebody say sumthin' about bad astro?





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