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IDS World Markets Fri 20th February 09


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*** New Paradigm: -- 'Deglobalisation'

http://www.economist.com/world/internation...e=hptextfeature

 

'Antigua?s financial regulator has lived down to its reputation'

http://www.economist.com/finance/displaySt...e=hptextfeature

 

Love those Economist articles and I should post more of them here; well written and have great tables and graphs like this one from your link:

 

 

CIR843.gif

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Caltex Australia Net Drops 95% on Lower Oil, Output

 

Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Caltex Australia Ltd., the nation?s biggest oil refiner, said full-year profit plunged 95 percent as production fell and a drop in the price of crude oil cut the value of stockpiles.

 

Net income slid to A$34 million ($22 million) in the year ended Dec. 31, from A$646 million, Sydney-based Caltex Australia said today in a statement to the Australian stock exchange. Operating profit, which excludes changes in the value of stockpiles, dropped 58 percent to A$186 million, in line with the company?s forecast last month.

 

Caltex Australia?s production of gasoline, diesel and jet fuel slipped 10 percent last year because of unplanned closures at its two refineries near Sydney and Brisbane.

 

-----------------

 

Australian Bad Debts Spreading After 2008 ?Bloodbath,? ANZ Says

 

Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Bad debts in Australia are spreading from ?high-risk? businesses and customers to ?mainstream? clients, Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd. Chief Executive Officer Michael Smith said.

 

Bad debts are spreading from companies to the commercial sector and ?higher-risk? personal customers, Smith said. In the second half of this year and into 2010, personal customers will begin defaulting as unemployment rises, he added.

 

Australian banks? credit ratings will be reviewed by Moody?s Investors Service as the nation?s economy deteriorates more than previously forecast, the New York-based ratings company said this week.

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some humour (my translation from polish to english)

 

Truth about USA

 

 

 

This year, taxpayers in the United States will receive payment stimulating the economy. It's a very exciting new program. Let me explain it to you on the basis of short Q&A

 

Q: What payment is stimulating the economy?

A: The money that the government will send to taxpayers.

 

Q: How did the government take the money?

A: From the taxpayers.

 

Q: So the government gives me money that previously belonged to me?

A: No, the government intends to borrow from China. Your child should repay Chinese

 

Q: What is the purpose of this payment?

A: The plan is that you spend the money to buy high-definition television, and thus you will stimulate economy.

 

Q: But is this going to stimulate the Chinese economy instead of US?

A: Shut up.

... ..

 

Here are some helpful tips on how to best help the U.S. economy by spending wisely the money received from a government check.

 

If you spend your money at Wal-Mart, they all go back to China.

If you spend it on fuel, go to Hugo Ch?vez, Arabs and Al - Qaeda

If you buy a computer, the money will go to Taiwan

If you buy fruit or vegetables, then the money will go to Mexico, Honduras and Guatemala (unless you buy natural)

If you buy a car, the money will go to Japan and Korea

If you saved to buy prescription medicines, money will go to India

If you buy heroin, the money will go to the Taliban in Afghanistan

If you give it to charity, the money will go to Nigeria

 

And none of the above options do not help the U.S. economy. We need to hold the money in the U.S.. We can do this by going to the baseball game, using the services of prostitutes, the purchase of beer (home only), or do the tattoo, because only such business remaining to us in America.

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w?s=^AORD

 

 

A down day and we're still lurking near support on the daily chart. All Ords finished -1.3% with Gold still leading the downers, -5.5% followed by Financials -2.4% and IT -1.8%. At the green end were Consumer Staples +1.2% and Telecomms +0.1%.

 

In the miners, BHP closed with a gain, +1.2% but the others were smacked around: RIO -2.9%, Newcrest -8%, Newmont -2.9% and Lihir -3.7%.

 

Oils failed to ignite: Woodside -0.5%, Santos +1% and Caltex -8.3%.

 

A mixed bag in Asia: China +1.5% Honkers -2.5%, India -2.5% and Nikkers -1.9%.

 

 

Over to UK/Europe:

 

Footsie

 

image;size=239x110

 

DAX

 

image;size=239x110

 

CAC 40

 

image;size=239x110

 

 

http://finance.yahoo.com/

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8:58 France Index PMI for industry February 32.3 points. * Forecast 38.2 points.

8:58 France Index PMI for services February 40.1 points. * Forecast 42.8 points.

9:28 Germany Index PMI for industry February 32.2 points. * Forecast 32.5 points.

9:28 Germany Index PMI for services February 41.6 points. * Forecast 45 points.

9:58 Euroland Index PMI for industry February 33.6 points. * Forecast 35 points.

9:58 Euroland Index PMI for services February 38.9 points. * Forecast 42.4 points.

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UK national debt set to surpass ?2 trillion

The national debt is likely to be catapulted through the ?2 trillion mark following the Treasury's decision to stand behind Britain's troubled banks' debts.

Office for National Statistics confirmed that it now considers both Lloyds Banking Group and Royal Bank of Scotland to be public sector companies.
The ONS expects to have to add between ?1 trillion and ?1.5 trillion to the UK's public sector net debt, taking the total national debt to an unprecedented ?2.2 trillion – just under 150pc of gross domestic product. This would be the worst debt total since the 1950s, when Britain was in the process of paying back its war debts.

 

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/finance...-2-trillion.htm

 

 

 

Crisis Fears Overblown In Eastern Europe

Banks are poised to lose a lot of money in the once-fast growing region, but don't expect them to bail just yet.

http://www.forbes.com/2009/02/20/eastern-e...eed=rss_markets

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U.S., European Bond Sales ‘Crowd Out’ Emerging Debt, RBC Says

 

Feb. 20 (Bloomberg) -- Rising European and U.S. government bond sales will lead to a “crowding out” of debt of developing nations, making it harder for them to roll over maturing foreign obligations, RBC Capital Markets said.

 

“The Group of Seven governments’ financing requirements are set to explode, tripling in the U.S. and Western Europe from $1 trillion last year to over $3 trillion in 2009,” Nick Chamie, global head of emerging markets research in Toronto wrote in a report yesterday. “Combined with a massive pipeline of U.S. and European corporate new debt issues, there will be little left over for emerging markets.”

 

Twenty-four of the world’s 26 most-active emerging-market currencies fell against the dollar this year. The Polish zloty and Hungarian forint were the biggest losers, falling more than 20 percent. The South Korean won fell 16 percent and reached its lowest in three months this week.

 

Korean banks have $24.5 billion of foreign debt maturing in 2009, of which $10.4 billion will fall due this month and next, Bank of Korea said yesterday. The one-year cross-currency swap rate, a gauge of the availability of dollars, slumped to a record minus 2 percent yesterday.

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=206...&refer=bond

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