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IDS World Markets Fri 7th September 07


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As predicted:

 

U.S. employment fell for the first time in four years last month on steep drops in construction and manufacturing payrolls, suggesting that the housing recession is starting to grip the broader economy.

 

The report will likely put pressure on Federal Reserve officials to aggressively cut interest rates, starting with its policy meeting on Sept. 18.

Wall Spin Journal

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The big question is what happens when they cut? :unsure:

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I stand by my prediction that the Dow will immediately drop 1000 points.

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The timing of da fed meeting fits nicely with the crash fractal.... :ph34r:

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The Fed+21 are running out of time if they want to jack the market pre-open this Friday.

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I think next week is scam week. They'll probably pull one of those Burnanky Blindsides late in the week to put the screws to some of the ITM putz holders. There's still a lot of them out there.

 

I'm looking to get out of my putz today just so there aren't any surprizes.

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Scamweek is in two weeks.

 

Sentimentrader.com notes that the last seven times the SPX dumped 0.75% or more on the open on a Jobs Friday, it made a first half-hour low no lower than 0.15% below the gap-down open and rallied into EOD, usually retracing the entire decline or more.

 

So if past is prologue, the SPX wouldn't go below 1454-1555ish today.

 

On another sentiment note, our bear-baitin' blogger friend Bill Rempel, who said he wouldn't be selling anytime soon, panicked and sold all his positions on the open this morning.

 

So from a technical/sentiment standpoint, perhaps not the time to expect a big straight-down day today.

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I'm on the mailing list for CBCommercial Richard Ellis Net Leased Properties for sale. Usually I get one or two a week. Lately they've been coming every day. And some are large portfolios, not just single properties. The cap rates are still ridiculous in my view.

 

Would you buy a property leased to a local Volvo dealership with a 7% cap? This is a special purpose property fer cryin out loud. Not like you could easily replace the tenant if the business goes kaput. An auto dealership! 7%.

 

Give me a friggin break.

 

But when you compare it to the Walgreens and other stuff at 5.50, I guess it's just a symptom of the whole world gone crazy.

 

But it seems that there's a trend toward more sellers lately, so we'll see.

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