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IDS World Markets Fri 17th August 07


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There's still a lot of information out there about repurchase agreements aka repos.

 

Yes, the Fed does repos, but their corner of the repo market is INFINITESIMAL. If your mmf is holding repos DO NOT think for one second that these are obligations of the Fed. Any financial institution or entity, financial, non financial, or otherwise can do a repo. MMFs do trillions of repos. They aren't guaranteed by anyone. If your mmf lists a substantial amount of repos on its balance sheet, GET OUT NOW, that is if you still can. Wire the funds to as many FDIC insured accounts as you have up to the insurable limit, and the rest send to Treasury Direct and buy 4 week T bills, regardless of the fact that the rate sucks. This too shall pass.

 

I am not kidding.

600767[/snapback]

 

 

Doc- Despite Tokyo and the DAX weakness, US futures are looking perky here (just had a huge pop). I am unwater on my S&P short which is a worry. Whats your prognosis for today?

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There's still a lot of information out there about repurchase agreements aka repos.

 

Yes, the Fed does repos, but their corner of the repo market is INFINITESIMAL. If your mmf is holding repos DO NOT think for one second that these are obligations of the Fed. Any financial institution or entity, financial, non financial, or otherwise can do a repo. MMFs do trillions of repos. They aren't guaranteed by anyone. If your mmf lists a substantial amount of repos on its balance sheet, GET OUT NOW, that is if you still can. Wire the funds to as many FDIC insured accounts as you have up to the insurable limit, and the rest send to Treasury Direct and buy 4 week T bills, regardless of the fact that the rate sucks. This too shall pass.

 

I am not kidding.

600767[/snapback]

 

 

Doc- Despite Tokyo and the DAX weakness, US futures are looking perky here (just had a huge pop). I am unwater on my S&P short which is a worry. Whats your prognosis for today?

600775[/snapback]

 

 

Oh just saw the news from the Fed explaining the huge pop. But Doc, are you sticking with your prediction for a big sell off on the news?

 

Guess we will find out soon. Holding my nerve on the short for now.

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THE FED DID NOT CUT THE FED FUNDS TARGET!

 

The discount window is a little used facility for banks who can't get financing in the regular market.

 

If you're a bank, and your depositors are making a run at you, what the hell difference does it make whether you pay 6.25% or 5.75% when you just don't have the cash to pay them.

 

Meaningless gesture by the Fed with the intent of manipulating the market. In about 30 minutes a few smart cookies in the mainstream will be out there explaining this. And the smart cookies at the institutional trading desks know this very very well. They are getting out now while the getting is good.

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