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IDS World Markets Fri 7th January 05


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#16 Charmin

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:00 AM

I think Wndy mentioned GSF in the oil patch last night or yesterday
pretty good looking

probably making a run to the 37 prior high in 2002
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#17 machinehead

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:06 AM

Bloomberg projecting 175,000 jobs / 5.4% unemployment. Place your bets, ladies and gentlemen.

Question for fxfox: German unemployment reached a 4-year high. What's it 'feel' like in the street -- recession coming?
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#18 rog

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:25 AM

Bloomberg projecting 175,000 jobs / 5.4% unemployment. Place your bets, ladies and gentlemen.

Question for fxfox: German unemployment reached a 4-year high. What's it 'feel' like in the street -- recession coming?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>


I'll take over for $5, Monty. Fewer seasonal retail workers hired in Nov, Dec will likely skew the number up. Govt math:

Fewer hired = fewer layoffs = Job Creation

#19 seamus

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:31 AM

NFP = 157k

UR = 5.4%

#20 BeerMarket

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:34 AM

NFP = 157k

UR = 5.4%

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

stock fucutures rally??
slight upward revision to last month, about in-line overall
avg earnings up .1%

#21 seamus

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:34 AM

MKt all over the place, now looks to be selling off to unchanged with the curve slightly flatter

#22 machinehead

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:34 AM

Hourly earnings up only +0.1% ... UH OH ... that's really weak.

Problem with these in-line employment numbers is that they justify the continued "removal of accommodation at a pace that is likely to be measured."

Translation: another rate hike on Feb. 2nd.
"GOLD -- it's not just for misers anymore."

"Dollahs -- fire-starters for the K-wave winter." - Drano

"Three humps and a dump." - anotherone, 21 SEP 2004

"No gold was harmed in the making of this movie." - Bizarro Greenspan

[i]"Da Track. Da place where Morons bet on Animals Controlled by Criminals."
- our jickiss

#23 BeerMarket

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:37 AM

29K jobs came from govt hiring
participation rate down to 66%

#24 An Ant

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:37 AM

Hourly earnings up only +0.1% ... UH OH ... that's really weak.

Problem with these in-line employment numbers is that they justify the continued "removal of accommodation at a pace that is likely to be measured."

Translation: another rate hike on Feb. 2nd.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>


Isn't that already priced in ?

#25 DrStool

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:41 AM

rog- message in your PM. :)

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#26 DrStool

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:42 AM

A Doleful Tale
More Woe On The Way?

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#27 BeerMarket

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:42 AM

so they really think it's a good idea for stocks to gap higher at the open? let's see what they got.

#28 The brown one

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:52 AM

Frame this chart! Never seen an intraday do this .UFB
A Market?NOT

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#29 machinehead

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:52 AM

Hourly earnings up only +0.1% ... UH OH ... that's really weak.

Problem with these in-line employment numbers is that they justify the continued "removal of accommodation at a pace that is likely to be measured."

Translation: another rate hike on Feb. 2nd.

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>


Isn't that already priced in ?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Yes. There's no surprise in this data (such as a DROP in jobs) to make them back off from the rate hike program.

So, as usual, the Fed is likely to overshoot. They will tighten until something breaks.
"GOLD -- it's not just for misers anymore."

"Dollahs -- fire-starters for the K-wave winter." - Drano

"Three humps and a dump." - anotherone, 21 SEP 2004

"No gold was harmed in the making of this movie." - Bizarro Greenspan

[i]"Da Track. Da place where Morons bet on Animals Controlled by Criminals."
- our jickiss

#30 wndysrf

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Posted 07 January 2005 - 09:59 AM

HedgeFund Chasing Hockey Stick Alert:

This one is up 23% pre-market. Over 4 million shares traded yesterday.Posted Image
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