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Winning The Hearts and Minds…of the Wildebeest…


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#16 FeedFool

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:09 PM

I always ask people to do their own research otherwise I may not be here or have time to post any changes that might happen. Sell off may happen it might be small. Look what happened today drop wasn’t sufficient let’s see what kind of drop Monday will bring.

Here is what I am looking at; it may change so keep your eye on it.


Thank you for the wonderful opening AG!!
I was counting on a disappointment from INTEL and a weak jobs report. Oh well, at least I got half of what I wanted.

I continue to feel, without a shred of doubt that, apart from the occasional sell-offs that separate money from weak hands, that bonds remain in a secular bull market. I do not think that the bond bull will end until after the next recession.

I'll be looking for FEED's sell-off to begin next week. I know that FEED has it right and am heavily relying on his prognosis. I have postioned myself self appropriately.

No pressure though, FEED:)

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

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#17 Grand Poopercycle

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:10 PM

Good tirade, AGgie.
Took my mind back 25 years, to atmospherics of'New York'(Lou Reed) and
'Rust never Sleeps'. Precisely why, who knows. :huh:

"Stick a fork in 'em, he's done." :o

"Welfare mothers/make better lovers" B)


and still, 'tops/take/time'. ;)

#18 Sudaca

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:13 PM

Ag Is In Da House
Surely A Sign Of Good Things
Great Opening, Ag
Thanks, David

#19 Sudaca

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:17 PM

Holy Sh1t, The Buck :blink:
Worst Bounce Prediction Ever
Some Trades Really Suck
Thanks, David

#20 GTNWORSE

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:33 PM

This is a quote from Steve Todd of Todd Maket Forecast:
"We will also show a very interesting chart of the 150 day moving average of the CBOE put call ratio. As you know, contrary opinion says that people tend to get bearish at market bottoms and right now this indicator says that traders are the most negative since late 1994 just before the start of a massive upmove. Our advice? Don’t short this
market".

Would someone please explain to me what this guy is seeing that I cannot?

#21

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:39 PM

November 15 Wyndy mentioned VTSS as a Matrix sponsored play.... up 9% today.

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#22 Guest_bullseatshitndie_*

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:41 PM

This is a quote from Steve Todd of Todd Maket Forecast:
"We will also show a very interesting chart of the 150 day moving average of the CBOE put call ratio. As you know, contrary opinion says that people tend to get bearish at market bottoms and right now this indicator says that traders are the most negative since late 1994 just before the start of a massive upmove. Our advice? Don’t short this
market".

Would someone please explain to me what this guy is seeing that I cannot?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>



this guy is a PERMABULL and spins everything to the bullish bent. he's as bad as barfing.cum
if my memory is correct, this guy was calling a bottom every other day during the big bear move down.

http://www.decisionp...m/TAC/TODD.html

#23 rott

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:42 PM

http://www.chaos-onomics.com/#program

#24 depends

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:45 PM

bullseatshitndie,
I think he knows the TV ancors haven't a clue and he
makes up stories to get on their show. Then he gets
a lot of subscribers ...

#25 Sudaca

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:45 PM

This is a quote from Steve Todd of Todd Maket Forecast:
"We will also show a very interesting chart of the 150 day moving average of the CBOE put call ratio. As you know, contrary opinion says that people tend to get bearish at market bottoms and right now this indicator says that traders are the most negative since late 1994 just before the start of a massive upmove. Our advice? Don’t short this
market".

Would someone please explain to me what this guy is seeing that I cannot?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>


Interesting. I hadn't looked at it that way ever. It's not entirely crazy. The 30 week (approx 150 day) moving average of the Put/Call Ratio is very high. I can't see the data points for 1994, but I can imagine where they were. I would like to see other extreme readings from longer back to see how well this indicator works, but I don't have the data.

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Thanks, David

#26 dozer

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 06:58 PM

Ags.... out-STANDING essay! :D

many tanks.

#27 Lock Limit Down

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 07:20 PM

This is a quote from Steve Todd of Todd Maket Forecast:
"We will also show a very interesting chart of the 150 day moving average of the CBOE put call ratio. As you know, contrary opinion says that people tend to get bearish at market bottoms and right now this indicator says that traders are the most negative since late 1994 just before the start of a massive upmove. Our advice? Don’t short this
market".

Would someone please explain to me what this guy is seeing that I cannot?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>



Same as what Mr market timer Tim Ord was claiming yesterday...


"Well, a friend of mine called Tim Ord's hotline right before the close.

Ord predicted that the S & P and the Nasdaq would gap up to new 2-year highs within days

Tim Ord is ordsome!! :)

4th best market timer on the broad market and No 1 on the gold market"...


IMHO Market gurus get too much respect. Doing your own DD has for the most part lost its appeal.
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"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." --- Thomas Jefferson

#28

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 07:23 PM

thanks Ag, that was funny

"Fleabay 300!" :lol:

#29 dozer

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 07:25 PM

re; put/call ratio.

actually, this makes some sense, doesn't it? not that it's bullish, but that it -is- higher than we might think....

TE pointed out the other night that the commercials have gone heavily short the Spoos.....and one presumes they'd take the same position on many individual issues....

does this make sense?

#30 Jimi

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Posted 03 December 2004 - 07:26 PM

Or any other piece of overpriced IBD mo mo paper that can’t be compared to any type of metric due to the fact none exists?

<{POST_SNAPBACK}>

Word, Ags. Word.
Sure glad all my albums went GOLD.
"Ferdy-bee-bee-dee-ferbs."
Subscribe & Earn Karma Miles with Every Visit!
Rule #5 Professional Exemption.
Blind Follower, Just Think Positive Hyperinflation, I Get Paid 500 Quadrillion Dollars/Hour at 1000% Interest/Hour Compounding Forever Each Mouse Click Religion.
"I too observe 'flation.'"
I love you, TASR!
YOU MAKE KITTY SCARED
Tops Take Time
Postulate A Free Lunch Economy
Anyone, now, who is not genuinely afraid is a moran.
[T]housands of empty stucco crapboxes vacated after being circle-jerk sham-traded among corrupt borkers, uppraisers and loan officers from 100K up to 800K, then "nopay-walkaway" (with dirty loan cash in pockets)
Guess again, girlfriend.
Or, $2.7 million every effing day since the effing pinball machine.
Permabear Hysterian





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