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B4 The Bell, Thursday September 2


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#16 HiHat

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:04 AM

Linda Rasckhe..........compression meter is in "lock and load" position.

What it means is a trending move is going to erupt...........

Now, with what Wollenchuk........bleated yesterday about FED priming
and with commander cody speaking tonight, one would think the marching
orders are for ...up...whatever cost.

If this was looking like gap up this morning , I would say....it craps....
but it looks like flat open..............if it runs up.........and depending on
what tape is reading.............I think there good chance, of a substantial
move............DOWN.............................................................................

#17 Lock Limit Down

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:04 AM

With Shrub speaking tonight I see the chances of a substantial decline somewhere between zero and none.
but as most know I have been wrong many times before!

All eyes on power. The market must cooperate.
and of course then there is the feed...
Posted Image
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." --- Thomas Jefferson

#18 maximummark

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:13 AM

This from urbansurvival:

Of course, we expect a big run up in the Dow today or tomorrow, because we received this interesting post from a knowledgeable Fed watcher:

"There will be a seismic event tomorrow based only on the presence of over $100 Billion in intra-day repo pool funds. I'm betting the event will launch the DOW.

The Federal Reserve today added $4.25B in temps today, September 1rst 2004, an action that caused the repo pool to stay very high at $57.012B. There are two MAJOR events in today's brief commentary:

First, the Fed has an enormous expiration of $24.5Billion set for tomorrow (today - GU) that nicely coincides with the peak of the Republican Convention and my long expected launch date for a DOW recovery. The massive expiration means that the Fed will issue a similar amount of repos in the AM, leaving around $50B in intra-day repos added to the EXISTING repo pool of $57Billion Thus we may see an intra-day total of over $100Billion available for primary dealer actions. I will let you decide if this mountain of money is just a coincidence.


Can any Fed watchers confirm this level?

http://urbansurvival.com/week.htm

#19

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:13 AM

DJ * US Jobless Claims +19K To 362K Aug 28 Week

Economists expected 339 000k

Can't wait for tomorrow.

That's a fairly large (5% - 10%) deviation from what "our" brilliant economists were expecting, to the bad side, yet barely any reaction at all occurred in currency and metals prices.

Did anybody see any reaction in the spoos, even a temporary one?

Everybody may be waiting for non-farm, and also I believe unemployment % -- tomorrow's announcement(s) from the Ministry of Plenty.

#20 machinehead

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:17 AM

Oct.'04 CRUDE OIL, ACCESS
44.61
+0.61

Another heroic leap.

Nothing has changed since a month ago. It's still the case that fo'ty-fo-dollah oil will slowly and painfully sodomise the economy.

Recession by oogaboogah, as it were ... :mellow:
"GOLD -- it's not just for misers anymore."

"Dollahs -- fire-starters for the K-wave winter." - Drano

"Three humps and a dump." - anotherone, 21 SEP 2004

"No gold was harmed in the making of this movie." - Bizarro Greenspan

[i]"Da Track. Da place where Morons bet on Animals Controlled by Criminals."
- our jickiss

#21 orvack

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:18 AM

Is the Comex closed ? Nothing has moved for 30 minutes.

#22 brian4

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:23 AM

I said last night that today would be a one way day and it will as it opens it will close implode or explode?? Based on the Astro's I think the former-BIG window at the bell for 1 hour, Helmets on, Buckle up! September is/has always been the worst month of the year for the Markets come Hell or Highwater. Now I have been away on vacation and it looks like while I was gone things got outta hand. I was asked last nite if Mark was banned from this thread-Huh? No Mark is welcome where that came from I have no idea?? Last nights emotional outbursts were just plain stupid and won't be tolerated as HB as has already noted. Lock N Load! ;)

#23 Hiding Bear

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:25 AM

This from urbansurvival:

Of course, we expect a big run up in the Dow today or tomorrow, because we received this interesting post from a knowledgeable Fed watcher:

"There will be a seismic event tomorrow based only on the presence of over $100 Billion in intra-day repo pool funds. I'm betting the event will launch the DOW.

The Federal Reserve today added $4.25B in temps today, September 1rst 2004, an action that caused the repo pool to stay very high at $57.012B. There are two MAJOR events in today's brief commentary:

First, the Fed has an enormous expiration of $24.5Billion set for tomorrow (today - GU) that nicely coincides with the peak of the Republican Convention and my long expected launch date for a DOW recovery. The massive expiration means that the Fed will issue a similar amount of repos in the AM, leaving around $50B in intra-day repos added to the EXISTING repo pool of $57Billion Thus we may see an intra-day total of over $100Billion available for primary dealer actions. I will let you decide if this mountain of money is just a coincidence.


Can any Fed watchers confirm this level?

http://urbansurvival.com/week.htm

I think they are adding the intra-day market of $50B, repos major banks have among themseves during the day, to the regular inter-day pool of $50B, which refers to the Feds repos with the market.

While I have been saying the Fed is accelerating its money activities for 2.5 months now, I don't see today's potential activity as being especially unusual.
In fact, I expect the Fed to reduce its repo pool slightly today - but that is just a guess. And I think the market may close slightly to moderately lower. Plus the market usually drops after an appearnace by Bush.

#24

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:25 AM

So I guess the anal cysts didn't include Charley's impact in their estimate.
Move along.

The number was above the 340,000 that Wall Street anal cysts had been expecting, BUT a Labor Department anal cyst attributed much of the gain to people seeking benefits in the aftermath of Charley, which slammed into south Florida last month.

Spikes up in jobless claims explained by the weather? That's just great. The excuses and apology get lamer and lamer by the day.

It sure is nice to see the Ministry of Truth cooperating with the Ministry of Plenty so smoothly on this. The branches of "our" government are working so well together.

#25 Bearman

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:27 AM

that upchuck guy is a permabull

True

False

about that upmove seems its oil :lol:

#26 Hiding Bear

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:28 AM

I said last night that today would be a one way day and it will as it opens it will close implode or explode?? Based on the Astro's I think the former-BIG window at the bell for 1 hour, Helmets on, Buckle up! September is/has always been the worst month of the year for the Markets come Hell or Highwater. Now I have been away on vacation and it looks like while I was gone things got outta hand. I was asked last nite if Mark was banned from this thread-Huh? No Mark is welcome where that came from I have no idea?? Last nights emotional outbursts were just plain stupid and won't be tolerated as HB as has already noted. Lock N Load! ;)

Mark is not banned and is still welcome.

Now let's make some money. I have a funny feeling :P that if B$'s decline doesn't show up today it will tommorow.

#27 Bearbones

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:33 AM

So far the FEED is $15 billion in 14 day repos

#28

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:44 AM

Is the Comex closed ?

We could only be so lucky. The action there is just dead, like in all the "markets" this morning. Wank Street has opened with a big yawn.

Nice break for Da Boyz. Release a crappy number, that our high paid and esteemed "experts" missed by a mere 10%, while nobody is trading, because everybody is either on vacation or too fixated on whether or not shrub will be able to form a complete sentence in the English language tonight.

#29 GregFokker

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:44 AM

So far the FEED is $15 billion in 14 day repos

So far. Overnights and shorter multidays usually announced around 10AM here:

http://www.ny.frb.or...m?SHOWMORE=TRUE

...A declining spenglerian carnival of Colossaalism united with Inflation where the numbers one through 10 are forever banished as worthless arithmetical detritus from a bygone age... - Beardrech

Naturally we believe the govt numbers... and Boobus Americanus sleepwalks off the edge of the energy-crisis cliff clutching his shares of "Crisco", Yoohoo and GooGah munching on his Yum Yums and Ho Hos. Future historians will have a hell of a time figuring out what the hell Americanus neanderthalus was thinking and exactly what brought on his sudden demise... - Henny Penny

Well, good night everyone. I gotta go lube up for tomorrow's regular end-of-week Gold Slapdown and Stock Index Bear Punishment Rally Weekend Greenprint. ...Probably another Shock-and-Awe Gap-Up-Open and Wire-to-Wire Meltup Runaway Bull Charge Mo-Mo Spike to Fresh New All-Time Lifetime Highs, culminating in a 4:15 yelping scalded dog runoff with panic short-covering and legal not-held bad double fills due to fast market conditions, plus quote system freeze-ups and trading platform lock-outs along the way. *yawn* typical gov't Friday. - Shorty


#30 HiHat

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Posted 02 September 2004 - 09:45 AM

Message in a Bottle...........

Big down move in here might be used to send
"somebody a message".

we're not the only ones needs to get a ...mess age.





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