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B4 the Bell Fryday, July 23, 2004


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#31 Bearbones

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 09:52 AM

"Squawkbox" this AM:

** Mr. Kernan sounded a wee bit testy that the latest pronouncements of Microsoft have not generated more investor interest. He ascribed this to somewhat excessive investor gloominess, a mentality that insists on "seeing the glass as half empty, instead of half full."

** Corporations have got lots of cash laying around. Inspired by Microsoft, they may start shoveling large amounts of it back to stockholders, triggering renewed bullish excitement.

The only way to view the Microsoft move, IMO, is that the company (which is really a tech mutual fund) cannot grow your money at an acceptable rate internally. Academic research shows that cash rich companies are poor users of cash and tend to throw it at their least profitable enterprises.

Meanwhile, the other, more interesting, story is that Exxon-Mobil is also buying back shares. Here, I believe, is an oil giant telling us that the prospects from exploration are not good enough for a mega-cap company. Oil prices may not be high enough.

#32 The Mad Hungarian

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 09:52 AM

While it is becoming increasingly rare, there are still a few folks who ply their trade on Wall Street who have not "sold their souls" to the Matrix yet.
Listened to a conference call conducted by Louise Yamada, head technician at Smith Barney. She's very bearish, especially regarding NASDAQ and tech stocks, sees potential for 1600 on NASDAQ Comp by October. Risk of 1025 on S&P over same time frame. She apparently utilizes cycle analysis in her "tool box" , she said the 80 week and 40 week cycles (forgive me, I'm a neophyte with respect to cycles, so they may be totally different ones than Doc's) are "weak and heading hard down through October".

Hope she's right! :D

#33 brian4

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 09:54 AM

stop 1096

#34 GregFokker

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 09:58 AM

Big 7B net drain from the Fed. And Moskow was out this AM torquing about stepping up the pace of rate hikes. What are they thinking?

...A declining spenglerian carnival of Colossaalism united with Inflation where the numbers one through 10 are forever banished as worthless arithmetical detritus from a bygone age... - Beardrech

Naturally we believe the govt numbers... and Boobus Americanus sleepwalks off the edge of the energy-crisis cliff clutching his shares of "Crisco", Yoohoo and GooGah munching on his Yum Yums and Ho Hos. Future historians will have a hell of a time figuring out what the hell Americanus neanderthalus was thinking and exactly what brought on his sudden demise... - Henny Penny

Well, good night everyone. I gotta go lube up for tomorrow's regular end-of-week Gold Slapdown and Stock Index Bear Punishment Rally Weekend Greenprint. ...Probably another Shock-and-Awe Gap-Up-Open and Wire-to-Wire Meltup Runaway Bull Charge Mo-Mo Spike to Fresh New All-Time Lifetime Highs, culminating in a 4:15 yelping scalded dog runoff with panic short-covering and legal not-held bad double fills due to fast market conditions, plus quote system freeze-ups and trading platform lock-outs along the way. *yawn* typical gov't Friday. - Shorty


#35 Bearbones

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:04 AM

While it is becoming increasingly rare, there are still a few folks who ply their trade on Wall Street who have not "sold their souls" to the Matrix yet.
Listened to a conference call conducted by Louise Yamada, head technician at Smith Barney. She's very bearish, especially regarding NASDAQ and tech stocks, sees potential for 1600 on NASDAQ Comp by October. Risk of 1025 on S&P over same time frame. She apparently utilizes cycle analysis in her "tool box" , she said the 80 week and 40 week cycles (forgive me, I'm a neophyte with respect to cycles, so they may be totally different ones than Doc's) are "weak and heading hard down through October".

Hope she's right! :D

I have followed Yamada's work for years and have great respect for her. Another good technician with integrity is Peter Lee at UBS. His longer term call is for a secular trading range, higher commodity prices, lower dollar, and, (believe it or not), lower interest rates.

#36 brian4

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:05 AM

stop 1095- Da Bullz are having a religious experience! ;)

#37 zensmoke

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:06 AM

QQV 21.69
VXN 23.08
VIX 16.21
VXO 16.71

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:06 AM

Big 7B net drain from the Fed. And Moskow was out this AM torquing about stepping up the pace of rate hikes. What are they thinking?

Note the similarities........

Navy: USS John F. Kennedy Collide With Dhow in Gulf

http://ap.tbo.com/ap...GBRZYB50XD.html

Summary: dhow looses!

#39 Lock Limit Down

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:12 AM

:D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D :D



Naz new intraday lows for the year

HHH LEADING
D
O
W
N

It has been a loooong wait
Posted Image
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." --- Thomas Jefferson

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:15 AM

Peak volumnes down trending on spoo.

#41 Lock Limit Down

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:18 AM

Someone has stepped in
Always MUST remember
POWER is at stake
Posted Image
"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." --- Thomas Jefferson

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:20 AM

Uptic...buys overpower sells.

#43 Drano

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:21 AM

As usual, semiconductors are being used to push things up. Massive recovery in XLNX and obscure chip equipment maker BRKS.
Of course I'm caustic!

#44 brian4

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:21 AM

Window closed and a BEAUT it was-the Pig crawls on alone for a bit-those leap cube puts I keep reccomending keep climbing-hope you got some! ;)

#45 The brown one

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Posted 23 July 2004 - 10:26 AM

The following was reprinted from the book "Capitalism, the Unknown Ideal" by Ayn Rand in 1967 which also included several articles by Alan Greenspan, the present Chairman of the US Federal Reserve.

By ALAN GREENSPAN

The abandonment of the gold standard made it possible for the welfare statists to use the banking system as a means to an unlimited expansion of credit. They have created paper reserves in the form of government bonds which-through a complex series of steps-the banks accept in place of tangible assets and treat as if they were an actual deposit, i.e., as the equivalent of what was formerly a deposit of gold. The holder of a government bond or of a bank deposit created by paper reserves believes that he has a valid claim on a real asset. But the fact is that there are now more claims outstanding than real assets.

The law of supply and demand is not to be conned. As the supply of money (of claims) increases relative to the supply of tangible assets in the economy, prices must eventually rise. Thus the earnings saved by the productive members of the society lose value in terms of goods. When the economy's books are finally balanced, one finds that loss in value represents the goods purchased by the government for welfare or other purposes with the money proceeds of the government bonds financed by bank credit expansion.

In the absence of the gold standard, there is no way to protect savings from confiscation through inflation. There is no safe store of value. If there were, the government would have to make its holding illegal, as was done in the case of gold. If everyone decided, for example, to convert all his bank deposits to silver or copper or any other good, and thereafter declined to accept checks as payment for goods, bank deposits would lose their purchasing power and government-created bank credit would be worthless as a claim on goods. The financial policy of the welfare state requires that there be no way for the owners of wealth to protect themselves.

This is the shabby secret of the welfare statists' tirades against gold. Deficit spending is simply a scheme for the "hidden" confiscation of wealth. Gold stands in the way of this insidious process. It stands as a protector of property rights. If one grasps this, one has no difficulty in understanding the statists' antagonism toward the gold standard.

http://www.jsmineset.com/

In which year did Al have his lobotomy? :rolleyes:





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