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Forecast 2004


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#61 Guest_jrmfl_*

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:49 AM

rally = D O A

#62 Black Prince

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:51 AM

Am hitting my monitor, seeing negative tick.
Current holdings.

#63 soup

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:51 AM

just reread hickey, fornicate them , bidding april nok puts. ( Btw what did the company have to say :o ?
""Pretty bubbleheads preen daily on our financial networks, playing the shill to Wall Street and Washington in order to lure unsuspecting Americans into buying insanely overvalued stocks. The great market exchanges, once prudent arenas of investment where the engine of capitalism traded value for value, have become sham casinos staggering under decades of massive Fed created debt and lurching into oblivion on the greater fool theory. Yet our high level bureaucrats, led by Alan Greenspan, exhort all Americans to consume still more of their seed corn and seek still more fools." N. Hultberg

#64 BeerMarket

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:52 AM

TRID can't even go up on what sounds like good news the last couple of days - today an agreement with Samsung today and a Chinese manufacturer the other day. Already short here but could be a better setup if it breaks 15:
http://stockcharts.c...C.web?c=TRID,uu[w,a]daclyyay[dc][pc62!c200!f][vc60][iUb14!La12,26,9]&pref=G

#65 Hypertiger

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:52 AM

Rates must eventually drop to sustain this construct we are trapped in/dependant on...whatever happens mortgage rates must drop at some point to new lows...

At some point the psychology will collapse...at the back of the line in the slaughter house the cows are docile...the closer to the killing room they get the more disturbed they become...It is only a matter of time until the grim realities become self evident...first is wild desperate animal stage then in the killing room that will turn into wild cornered animal stage...
"We are completely dependant on the commercial banks. Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit. If the banks create ample synthetic money (at the request of the consumer) we are prosperous; if not, we starve. We are absolutely without a permanent money system.... It is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon. It is so important that our present civilization may collapse unless it becomes widely understood and the defects remedied very soon." --Robert H. Hemphill, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank,1938...

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:53 AM

Just covered a LEN short at 90. Probably too early. The homebuilders look cooked.

#67 GregFokker

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:53 AM

It's all right here on the USD Index:

http://charts-d.quot...m3=&FontSize=10

...A declining spenglerian carnival of Colossaalism united with Inflation where the numbers one through 10 are forever banished as worthless arithmetical detritus from a bygone age... - Beardrech

Naturally we believe the govt numbers... and Boobus Americanus sleepwalks off the edge of the energy-crisis cliff clutching his shares of "Crisco", Yoohoo and GooGah munching on his Yum Yums and Ho Hos. Future historians will have a hell of a time figuring out what the hell Americanus neanderthalus was thinking and exactly what brought on his sudden demise... - Henny Penny

Well, good night everyone. I gotta go lube up for tomorrow's regular end-of-week Gold Slapdown and Stock Index Bear Punishment Rally Weekend Greenprint. ...Probably another Shock-and-Awe Gap-Up-Open and Wire-to-Wire Meltup Runaway Bull Charge Mo-Mo Spike to Fresh New All-Time Lifetime Highs, culminating in a 4:15 yelping scalded dog runoff with panic short-covering and legal not-held bad double fills due to fast market conditions, plus quote system freeze-ups and trading platform lock-outs along the way. *yawn* typical gov't Friday. - Shorty


#68 Slothrop

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:54 AM

SPX looks at red after touching 200-week ma.

#69 DrStool

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:54 AM

I want to correct something Mark said. By some measuring techniques there's a target of 1160. However, the highest current cmap for any cycle I track is 1137. That does not mean they can't go higher. But that's the current cmap target for all cycles up to 13 weeks, the high of which is due today, by the way. So we'll see.

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#70 Hiding Bear

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:54 AM

So CB money is savings?

No, but their actions effectively re-allocate money from savers to the uses they want - which is mostly buying US $s. The dollars are bought under the theory they would prevent a further drop in the value of the $.

To balance the current account, there has to be an equal amount of US$s bought.
Otherwise market forces would raise import prices high enough where US consumers would no longer buy goods. Again this is an oversimplification.

#71 Calculus

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:55 AM

I'm with you on the gold talk jrm

Maybe gold goes down in the short term, who knows?

But I've said it before, as long as people keep posting charts and news about screamer bullshit stocks going from a few dollars to $10, $20, $30 and more, then why not gold stocks making some of these moves one day?

Remember mining shares are now starting to deal in the HARD FACT that cash gold/silver is very strong AND also backed up by some FIRM economic fundamentals (for metals).

Now contrast those facts against say the Nasdaq 100 stocks. :blink:

#72 wndysrf

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:55 AM

LEN getting croaked......
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The Weimar Run: Bullphoria!!!!

#73 Guest_jrmfl_*

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:56 AM

LEN getting croaked......

look at my BZH short... off 5.03 ave is 102.44

been a long time a comin.

#74

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:57 AM

BOJ spends $28 to prop the dollar and they get a two day rally. Sweet. Nice use of resources guys.

#75 Guest_jrmfl_*

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Posted 08 January 2004 - 10:58 AM

I'm with you on the gold talk jrm

Maybe gold goes down in the short term, who knows?

But I've said it before, as long as people keep posting charts and news about screamer bullshit stocks going from a few dollars to $10, $20, $30 and more, then why not gold stocks making some of these moves one day?

Remember mining shares are now starting to deal in the HARD FACT that cash gold/silver is very strong AND also backed up by some FIRM economic fundamentals (for metals).

Now contrast those facts against say the Nasdaq 100 stocks. :blink:

i'm in good company here.

:D





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