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#31 DrStool

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 02:59 PM

fx-

No we get the up phase. It just is either extremely short, or the slope never turns positive, or only a little if it does. The oscillators move up, but the market doesn't move much.

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#32 mjkst27

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:02 PM

Anyway, it looks like he is suggesting a SP high of 1100 sometime in 2H03.

...kinda makes sense if you buy his chart's story that the SP was Dover Sole at something like 6-sigma deviation below trend back in July. On a longer term view, I can see how this would portend a trip back to overbought (versus trend) within say 12-24 months of that statistically-significant of a low. Again, it all comes down to how that long term trendline is being calculated, IMO.

(**edited**)

#33 fxfox

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:03 PM

fx-

No we get the up phase. It just is either extremely short, or the slope never turns positive, or only a little if it does. The oscillators move up, but the market doesn't move much.

tanks doc!
'patriot' is formed with 'patria' and 'idiot'

#34 Takachi

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:03 PM

Doc, isn't that the left translation of the cycle that Ike asked you about in the last interview. That is, in the presence of a downtrending larger cycle, the viewed cycle will have a shorter and swuppier curve than otherwise.

Thus a short 10/13 on the next turn

#35 DrStool

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:05 PM

I'm really uncomfortable critiqueing other people's technical analysis. I like marketcycles for their cycle decomposition work, but I don't use it for anything else. Those projections look like they were done a month ago. Who knows where they are now?

The only time I look at anyone else's work is when I'm asked to do so. Makes me uncomfortable. You understand that almost all anal cysts want to be bullish and have that bias built into their work.

Doc is just the opposite.

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#36

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:06 PM

CBOE Intra-day Put/Call

1:00 PM CST

Equity 0.69
Index 0.89
Overall 0.72

Attached Images

  • index.12260100.gif


#37 cyclist

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:08 PM

27

I tried the mktcycles subscription for a while. No recommendations. Scaling on the charts hard to read, no tick marks (for dates on the x-axis) I ended up cancelling. I couldnt make them work for me. Have you subscribed long? Do you get value from them?

#38 DrStool

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:08 PM

I think the term translation is stupid. Why don't they just say shift or skew. Translation sounds like a language barrier thing.

SHort cycles will be skewed toward a short upleg and long downleg by the downslope of longer cycles.

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#39 DrStool

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:09 PM

All Clear

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#40 cyclist

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:10 PM

I like the market action now. shorted sph3 at 897 and change. good for a couple of grand and a couple of yucks. Hope it drops like a stone from here!!!!

#41 anotherone

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:10 PM

Agree with SG on his SPY anal-Isis.

Just sold off a bunch of mining stocks and I'm looking to reposition.

I like the OLOG chart. Offshore Logistics. Am I dreaming or is that a buy?

Looks like it was a buy around $18 to me. Probably still has some up to go.
"Calista Flockhart's top is not near as significant as Maria's bottom."
--"Zapata" George Blake 8/5/2003

#42 mjkst27

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:11 PM

OK, I see.

He's got his sigma bands tilted up slightly. Mine are tilted sideways to down. Their cycles are computer derived. No judgement. Mine are Stool derived. Seen through the Stool prism.

ah yes.....the "as bullish as Doc gets is 'cautious'" prism....anyways their site (www.mktcycles.com) is $100 a month...Doc only 1/16 the price...wha toboggan!

#43 Bird D Durr

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:12 PM

Quick, Mortimer...............

We better get Wilson and tell him to SELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL.......................

Randolph.................this is all your fault , you and your environment......................

Where the hell is Wilson.......................we better SELLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL.......................

(It's on TV right now..................how appropriate.......sure beats crapvision.....)

#44 DrStool

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:12 PM

Question of the day.

What time did Doc forecast the 5 hour cycle low and what was the cmap?

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#45 anotherone

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Posted 26 December 2002 - 03:13 PM

I am sitting on 1 AMZN Jan 20 put contract. After BGP and BKS tanked, I figured AMZN was likely to follow. BKS may be close to bottoming. B)
"Calista Flockhart's top is not near as significant as Maria's bottom."
--"Zapata" George Blake 8/5/2003





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