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The Shape Of Things To Come?


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#46 Sphinxter

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:21 AM

Al has a problem.

Rates have to be raised but TPTB have decreed that DOW 10K is a MUST.

DOW can't survive a rate increase right now.

What to do? What to do?

#47 DrStool

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:24 AM

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#48 Bearbones

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:24 AM

Thirty year TIPS spread to nominal treasuries at an all time high yet the bond market seems not to care. Richard Russel says it is not inflation driving gold but the excessive growth in liabilities in the financial system. Admittedly, a strange world where a government promise to repay in cheaper dollars is not a worry. Yet that is what we are witnessing.

#49 DrStool

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:25 AM

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#50 machinehead

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:26 AM

Capacity ute: 75.0%.

This is still 7 percentage points beneath the low-eighties level that the Fed is targeting. Ergo the talking heads spouting "indefinite low rates" psychobabble.

The Fedheads inhabit an esoteric, academic world of 'output gaps' and 'Taylor rules.' They are dead set on pegging those capacity ute and employment numbers at 'full output' levels.

As usual, they will gin up a terrific head of inflation. Then like a panicked newbie driver, they will slam on the brakes and bring the economy to a juddering, smoking halt in the middle of the information highway ... with an 18-wheeler dollar crisis bearing down on it from behind.
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#51 Lock Limit Down

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:27 AM

Pre market boner in IBM. da boyz are going to save the averages. Way too much bad news for them. B)

News is noise for the most part but excuse me, gold, bonds, equities, and the dollar are taking the inflation news with amazing complacency. Its surreal. Is the fix in AGAIN?
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"If the American people ever allow private banks to control the issue of their money, first by inflation and then by deflation, the banks and corporations that will grow up around them (around the banks), will deprive the people of their property until their children will wake up homeless on the continent their fathers conquered." --- Thomas Jefferson

#52 soup

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:28 AM

wndy: All I can surmise is things are more out of control then even we think. They are scared to death of something. What worries them so?
""Pretty bubbleheads preen daily on our financial networks, playing the shill to Wall Street and Washington in order to lure unsuspecting Americans into buying insanely overvalued stocks. The great market exchanges, once prudent arenas of investment where the engine of capitalism traded value for value, have become sham casinos staggering under decades of massive Fed created debt and lurching into oblivion on the greater fool theory. Yet our high level bureaucrats, led by Alan Greenspan, exhort all Americans to consume still more of their seed corn and seek still more fools." N. Hultberg

#53 growler

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:28 AM

Thirty year TIPS spread to nominal treasuries at an all time high yet the bond market seems not to care. Richard Russel says it is not inflation driving gold but the excessive growth in liabilities in the financial system. Admittedly, a strange world where a government promise to repay in cheaper dollars is not a worry. Yet that is what we are witnessing.

Just one more example of jobs that we have exported to Aisa - bond vigilantes

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:29 AM

wndy: All I can surmise is things are more out of control then even we think. They are scared to death of something. What worries them so?

The truth, perhaps? B)

#55 Slothrop

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:29 AM

Dollar positive now.

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:30 AM

News is noise for the most part but excuse me, gold, bonds, equities, and the dollar are taking the inflation news with amazing complacency. Its surreal. Is the fix in AGAIN?

When isn't the fix in? :unsure:

#57 wndysrf

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:30 AM

Capacity ute: 75.0%.

This is still 7 percentage points beneath the low-eighties level that the Fed is targeting. Ergo the talking heads spouting "indefinite low rates" psychobabble.

The Fedheads inhabit an esoteric, academic world of 'output gaps' and 'Taylor rules.' They are dead set on pegging those capacity ute and employment numbers at 'full output' levels.

As usual, they will gin up a terrific head of inflation. Then like a panicked newbie driver, they will slam on the brakes and bring the economy to a juddering, smoking halt in the middle of the information highway ... with an 18-wheeler dollar crisis bearing down on it from behind.

Round the clock Fed Bullhorning, Jamming, and Printing.

Fighting perhaps the biggest and strongest run in the CRB in this decade.

The more they jam down the energy futures and precious metals, the more spectacular the ultimate breakout.......
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#58 soup

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:31 AM

something has to give. This is too surreal, bizare, and downright strange. Bonds rally on a breakout in the crb? vix with a 16 handle? stocks and bonds in nosebleed territory and the dollar is getting whacked?
""Pretty bubbleheads preen daily on our financial networks, playing the shill to Wall Street and Washington in order to lure unsuspecting Americans into buying insanely overvalued stocks. The great market exchanges, once prudent arenas of investment where the engine of capitalism traded value for value, have become sham casinos staggering under decades of massive Fed created debt and lurching into oblivion on the greater fool theory. Yet our high level bureaucrats, led by Alan Greenspan, exhort all Americans to consume still more of their seed corn and seek still more fools." N. Hultberg

#59 Takachi

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:31 AM

One of these days we're going to wake up and the rest of the world will have gotten off the bus overnight.

Years of economic adjustments will have been inflicted within hours.

#60 The brown one

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Posted 14 November 2003 - 10:31 AM

Just a thot,but bettcha Al got a tip-off yesterday about the inflation numbers.
At that moment the bond price was at its
monthly low and he knew if he didn't do sumtin' smartish that
rates would break out to the upside when the inflation numbers came out today.

Obviously at the wild cornered animal stage now!





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