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#16 BartTheBear

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:36 PM

If this is really stupid, sorry.

Don't hedgehogs use options? And wouldn't taking off puts and putting on calls be a wash? It's still a mystery to me where the liquidity for this rally has come from.

They also short. The tell was so many issues were not available to short this week.

Some people think the entire rally from 95-2000 was short covering.

#17 wndysrf

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:38 PM

Nothing really bearish here, except a possible breakdown in the drug sector.

http://stockcharts.com/candleglance?$...24;A|h20,7
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#18 The End

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:39 PM

H-P authorizes $1 billion for stock buybacks (HPQ) by Rex Crum

SAN FRANCISCO (CBS.MW) -- Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) said Friday it had authorized $1 billion to be used to buy back company stock at future dates. H-P said it intends to used the authorization to continue with normally planned share repurchases and other buybacks as needed. H-P shares rose 18 cents to close at $21.15

this is really bad news for bears

No it isn't.
It just shows Carley should have been named Curly.
NONE of what I type, should be taken as financial advice.

And when you loose control, you'll reap the harvest that you've sown
And as the fear grows, the bad blood slows and turns to stone
And it's too late to loose the weight you used to need to throw around
So have a good drown, as you go down, alone
Dragged down by the stone.


--Waters

#19 BartTheBear

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:40 PM

Nothing really bearish here, except a possible breakdown in the drug sector.

http://stockcharts.com/candleglance?$...24;A|h20,7

I'd add OSX to that perhaps. All the other charts look classically bullish.

#20 PileDriver

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:41 PM

Still long with no intentions of getting out soon.

Up 7 days in a row now.

Who cares why :lol:

Nothing looks bearish once you take the blinders off :P

#21 RockLedge

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:44 PM

:angry: I took the bait on CDE and cashed the shares out.

I'm going to regret it, I just know it. Standard headfake procedure into the close.

Monday it'll be over $4.00, for sure.

(sigh)

Thanks stoolies for all of the laughs on IDS today. Too funny!

#22 Ned38

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:48 PM

Where do I get the next 10 baggers?

#23 The End

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:48 PM

Pile,


Feel that? that is me pinching you. It is comming buddy. Be careful. Use what is left of this rally to sell your longs. Do we get to Gruff's 1070. Maybe, but not if we break 1018 first.
NONE of what I type, should be taken as financial advice.

And when you loose control, you'll reap the harvest that you've sown
And as the fear grows, the bad blood slows and turns to stone
And it's too late to loose the weight you used to need to throw around
So have a good drown, as you go down, alone
Dragged down by the stone.


--Waters

#24 Metamucil

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:59 PM

And now? :rolleyes:


"I know the human being and fish can coexist peacefully"____George W. Bush, 7/29/2000

#25 scottcardiff

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 04:59 PM

For a glance at what is going to happen eventually to every single one of PD's long picks, look no further than FWHT today.

Then go to Schaeffers website and look at the outstanding put/call ratio on FWHT. Very low. Many more calls than puts, hence everybody's in the pool, hence, no one left to buy, hence BOOM

Look at GILD. Low put/call ratio. Can't tick up at all.

Then look at the semi's. very high outstanding put/call ratios. Almost impossible to get a downtick.

Look at the hysteria put buying on the internuts, YHOO, EBAY, AMZN. No downticks ever!!

#26 Downtick

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 05:01 PM

Still long with no intentions of getting out soon.

Up 7 days in a row now.

Who cares why :lol:

Nothing looks bearish once you take the blinders off :P

Pile's a broken record, but that tune he is singing is making him rich! :D

Congrats Pile.

#27 The End

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 05:03 PM

With the FIRM thought of NOTHING I TYPE SHOULD be used as FINANCIAL ADVICE. LEXR looks like a great short.

http://bigcharts.mar...r&freq=1&time=8

Don't follow me. I know nothin', I tell ya.

Scott,

Some stoolies can testify, I recommended shorting FWHT last night.

Day late, doo-lar short. Oh well.
NONE of what I type, should be taken as financial advice.

And when you loose control, you'll reap the harvest that you've sown
And as the fear grows, the bad blood slows and turns to stone
And it's too late to loose the weight you used to need to throw around
So have a good drown, as you go down, alone
Dragged down by the stone.


--Waters

#28 Downtick

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 05:03 PM

Pile, what's it gonna take to shut you up, man? :lol:

Name your price.

#29 The End

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 05:05 PM

Still long with no intentions of getting out soon.

Up 7 days in a row now.

Who cares why  :lol:

Nothing looks bearish once you take the blinders off  :P

Pile's a broken record, but that tune he is singing is making him rich! :D

Congrats Pile.

Pile's is my buddy.

I am just giving him something to think about. He has been very right here. I just hope he doesn't give up those gains.
NONE of what I type, should be taken as financial advice.

And when you loose control, you'll reap the harvest that you've sown
And as the fear grows, the bad blood slows and turns to stone
And it's too late to loose the weight you used to need to throw around
So have a good drown, as you go down, alone
Dragged down by the stone.


--Waters

#30 Captain's Log

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Posted 19 September 2003 - 05:09 PM

The End : I hear you old chap.

Below is excerpt from sept 18th alert from www.Mktcycles.com site. It highlight charts of stocks, commodities and financials that are +2 or -2 sigma wrt to their trend. He uses Hurst as a method.

Pay attention to what he saying about the S&P. I don't go much on the october linkage as "santa clause" rally didn't happen on time nor did the "sell in may & go away" happen either. However, I do pay attention to the sigma level on his chart.

-------------------------------------

Standard & Poor's Index: You'd have to say that the most dangerous part of the year for the US Stock Market is the month of October. The crash of 1929, the crash of 1987, and many other "mini" crashes have occurred during October. Now take a look at the WEEKLY charts for the Standard & Poor's 500 Index:

Sigma Bands
Signal Bands
Cyclical Decompositions
Curvilinear Envelopes

As you can see the red momentum line on the weekly Sigma Band chart continues to stay above its own +4 Sigma level. Notice also that as the S&P 500 Index has reached its +3 Sigma level the red momentum line is simply moving sideways at its own +4 Sigma level. Also, on the daily Sigma Bands the red momentum line continues to stay slightly below the black momentum line, indicating a slight downward bias in the S&P. All these factors combined are indicating a possible Stock Market drop and if the weekly charts are any indication, the Standard & Poor's could drop on the order of 100 points, if not more! Be very careful about going long on any stocks in this Market. Our daily charts for the S&P 500 are at:

---------------------


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Edited by DrStool, 19 September 2003 - 05:50 PM.






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