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#331 Metamucil

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 09:38 PM

A very simple MACD crossover system would have made oneself rich, but who followed :( :(
Oh my aching head..

Depends on your timeframe. The monthly chart shows 28.50 support broken and the sto is going down, while the MACD tops out. I look at this as the 'control' level...for now.




The weekly does show further support around 27.35. The whole pattern is bearish, but must be adapted to time frame, as always.




The daily shows a 13dMA below the 50dMA, but a rising 200dMA and perhaps a right shoulder in the making. Another up candle and a good long scalp can be had.



But to where is this financial ball of fire now headed? A new secular high? It's always possible...... :o


"I know the human being and fish can coexist peacefully"____George W. Bush, 7/29/2000

#332 Fukui-san

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 09:41 PM

machinehead wrote:

"The current situation, where the out months are discounted, is unusual. (Thanks to The End for pointing that out.) But is it a buy signal? Implicitly, the discount tells you that the S&P's dividend yield is relatively high compared to short-term interest rates, which is a possible indication that stocks offer relative value compared to T-bills."


Thanks for the rest of your excellent analysis, which I didn't re-copy here but did copy the above by way of asking the following:

In commodity futures, a market going inverse is almost always bullish. Indicates a shortage of the commodity, requiring users to pay up for nearby contracts to cover current requirements. Do you see any correlation to the current S&P inversion?

Machinehead. Thanks for the explanation.
A Shrug of the Shoulders.

We generally give to our ideas about the unknown the color of our notions about what we do know: If we call death a sleep it's because it has the appearance of sleep; if we call death a new life, it's because it seems different from life. We build our beliefs and hopes out of these small misunderstandings with reality and live off husks of bread we call cakes, the way poor children play at being happy.
But that's how all life is; at least that's how the particular way of life generally known as civilization is. Civilization consists in giving an innapropriate name to something and then dreaming what results from that. And in fact the false name and the true dream do create a new reality. The object really does become other, because we have made it so. We manufacture realities.

An excerpt from "The Book of Disquiet," written by Fernando Pessoa in the 1920's, first published in 1982 by Atica in Lisbon.

#333 depends

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 09:53 PM

One of Pile's favorites - pretty much summs it up

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#334 brian4

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:08 PM

Slowly the S& Pee is eroding and Japan has built a beautiful double top! Remember Fridays rally was a " we got Saadam rally" well they ain't got him-have they?? Don't be AFRAID of the Big Baad Wolf! Trade Safe!

#335 strikerm3

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:15 PM

Good chance we catch Saddam this week having caught all those bodyguards friday and both the sons dead. As much as the US spends over there daily they should just make the award 10xs more...perfect recipe for a huge blowoff top lasting all week. Futures strong, we shall see in the morning. If they catch Saddam this week I think new highs are a given......trade safe.....I could change my mind by the morning!

#336 The End

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:31 PM

The fact that gold is trading just down a little is encouraging, in that we went up last week partly due to the potential strike. When that did not materialise, gold should sell off more than it has. i perceive this action bullish towards gold. (for the time being)
NONE of what I type, should be taken as financial advice.

And when you loose control, you'll reap the harvest that you've sown
And as the fear grows, the bad blood slows and turns to stone
And it's too late to loose the weight you used to need to throw around
So have a good drown, as you go down, alone
Dragged down by the stone.


--Waters

#337 Goldmember

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:34 PM

oooh...this is fun! Just hooked up a second 19" monitor. Operation successful.

......charts, charts, charts!!!

......oh my! B) :P
Anthony caused pearls to be dissolved in wine to drink the health of Cleopatra; Sir Richard Whittington was as foolishly magnificent in an entertainment to King Henry V; and Sir Thomas Gresham drank a diamond, dissolved in wine, to the health of Queen Elizabeth, when she opened the Royal Exchange; but the breakfast of this roguish Dutchman was as splendid as either. He had an advantage, too, over his wasteful predecessors: their gems did not improve the taste or the wholesomeness of their wine, while his tulip was quite delicious with his red herring.here

#338 brian4

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:34 PM

Stryker-I would suggest that So-Dumbs capture is already baked in-now IF they don't get him-then what?? This puppy is on Borrowed Time-all that counts is 1015.33 and 9352 close above those numbers and i might think your way. Trade Safe!

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:35 PM

July 28 (Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank is eliminating its holdings of debt issued by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the two biggest U.S. providers of mortgage financing, and recommended that its national central banks do the same, according to a person who has seen the ECB's recommendation


http://quote.bloombe...SE6M&refer=home

Hummmmm!!!

#340 strikerm3

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:44 PM

The fact that gold is trading just down a little is encouraging, in that we went up last week partly due to the potential strike. When that did not materialise, gold should sell off more than it has. i perceive this action bullish towards gold. (for the time being)

Been checking out coins. Who would want the more expensive US silver coin over the .9999 purest in the world Canadian....pay for durability? Interesting.
Then I saw this!????
Note that American Silver Eagles can be used to fund IRA investments.

#341 strikerm3

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:49 PM

Stryker-I would suggest that So-Dumbs capture is already baked in-now IF they don't get him-then what??  This puppy is on Borrowed Time-all that counts is 1015.33 and 9352 close above those numbers and i might think your way.  Trade Safe!

I know. Picking a top is everyones lottery ticket dream! B)
Cut me some slack I just ordered 2 1oz gold maples and 20 silvers.. worked my butt off last week to earn them. Thought about them all week when working :D


also....this isnt what we want to see for the start of a crash is it? I just noticed this
:huh:
http://www.ameritrad...x.com/amtd.html

Look at the %sells. :mellow: contrary investing? MSFT,INTC,ORCL and CSCO are usually never this spread apart here. 9 to 1 sells on INTC etc.... Looks like they will rally from here since so many % sellers.Thats a big offset. JDSU will probably just continue its decent to hell.........

#342 coboy

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:50 PM

Depends on your timeframe. The monthly chart shows 28.50 support broken and the sto is going down, while the MACD tops out. I look at this as the 'control' level...for now.

Time frame of course is everything.. I trade options, all I need is a 5 % move and GE seems very predictable with the MACD in daily chart.. Also, you didn't take into account the volume, which was very high friday.. I'm going in tomorrow..

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#343 BAREister

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:52 PM

Nirvana, attained. 1000 S&P in futures at this moment.


whazzat?

"Nirvana" is a ROCK GROUP?????????


u DON'T say!!!
"The sphinx set riddles for people which they could not solve and the sphinx devoured them." Russian poet Ilia Ehrenberg reflecting years later upon the debacle of the Bolshevik Revolution and civil war

"In any case, experience shows people are unlikely to change their ways without a cataclysm of existential proportions" Meinhard Meigel, German economist and demography expert on his prophecy of a Wagnerian abyss of social and economic chaos

"We believe that here is no easy way out of this mess, and that the chance of a benign outcome, while hopefully possible, is quite low." Comstock Partners 3-17-2005

"Not without a shudder may the human hand reach into the mysterious urn of destiny." Junk email promoting the sale of Valium, Viagra, Soma and Cialis. Of course, we AMERICANS need not WORRY about such CLAPTRAP!!!

"The trouble about myths, or lies, is that those who foster them are stuck with them." Edward Crankshaw

"I don't buy the idea that a crash will come without warning. There are always warnings. All crashes have certain common technical preconditions." Doc (snorjt)

"YOU look IMPORTANT. Are you important, or just....WEIRD?"
"Bob I am" at a political gathering, to HRFF, 9-29-04

"Are YOU C.I.A.???"
"No, I'm not "CIA"."
"Well, you sure LOOK LIKE you're C.I.A.!!!"

Lead singer of the rock band KISS to HRFF at a luggage carousel at SeaTac airport circa 1996

"Unlike you, I use words people can understand." Doc

"America at the moment, with its faith-based currency, faith-based economy and faith-based government, might be a heaven for those who love faith, but it's a hell for those of us that respect evidence." The Daily (W?)Reckoning, circa 9-17-04

"What should be clear at this point is that even huge fiscal stimulus and unprecedented financial excess are incapable of fostering a sound and self-sustaining economic expansion. The paramount issue, today and going forward, is the deeply maladjusted U.S. economy and its increasing unresponsiveness to even enormous yet misdirected financial stimulus. Both the Financial Sphere and Economic Sphere are severely maladjusted." Doug Noland's Credit Bubble Bulletin, Aug 24 '04

"U.S. dollar purchasing power relies almost entirely on the difference between interest rates in Japan and the higher rates in the United States." Warren Pollock, Prudent Bear essay circa 9-04

"What about your replacements? the Children. What do we tell them when the whole thing caves in?" HyperTiger

#344

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:57 PM

July 28 (Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank is eliminating its holdings of debt issued by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the two biggest U.S. providers of mortgage financing, and recommended that its national central banks do the same, according to a person who has seen the ECB's recommendation


http://quote.bloombe...SE6M&refer=home

Hummmmm!!!

So just how do all those holders of agency debt get out of the door at the same time? The article made a point of mentioning the "unnamed person" several times. The story could be a hoax -- or maybe not. :blink:

#345 Guest_The CoinGuy_*

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Posted 27 July 2003 - 10:58 PM

July 28 (Bloomberg) -- The European Central Bank is eliminating its holdings of debt issued by Freddie Mac and Fannie Mae, the two biggest U.S. providers of mortgage financing, and recommended that its national central banks do the same, according to a person who has seen the ECB's recommendation


http://quote.bloombe...SE6M&refer=home

Hummmmm!!!

... :o ...Huge, in my book.

TCG

Edit: Anyone have those links to Roger's First and Second hour?





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