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Bull Market


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#1 Guest_bull_*

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Posted 15 November 2002 - 03:21 PM

market is low time to buy. :rolleyes: :angry: :P :huh: :mellow: ;)

#2 Guest_Guest_*

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Posted 15 November 2002 - 05:12 PM

Seems to be a bull market in message boards! Any stock offerings to take advantage of?

#3 PileDriver

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Posted 25 November 2002 - 11:16 PM

the market, especially tech stocks offer "compelling value". Just complelling, just complelling all over the place. BUY, BUY, so I can SHORT, SHORT !!! :P

#4 MOON

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Posted 26 November 2002 - 12:09 AM

Hey stoolies. First post on the new board.....want to see what I look like. :D

#5 Hypertiger

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Posted 26 November 2002 - 01:41 PM

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"We are completely dependant on the commercial banks. Someone has to borrow every dollar we have in circulation, cash or credit. If the banks create ample synthetic money (at the request of the consumer) we are prosperous; if not, we starve. We are absolutely without a permanent money system.... It is the most important subject intelligent persons can investigate and reflect upon. It is so important that our present civilization may collapse unless it becomes widely understood and the defects remedied very soon." --Robert H. Hemphill, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank,1938...

#6

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Posted 29 November 2002 - 09:58 AM

Hey stoolies,

Go long now and YOU WILL be the last one to get on the bandwagon before the market makes a 180 degree-turn and heads south again. Option volatility indexes like the VIX are flashing signs of extreme complacency. That's the type of signal that often precedes market sell-offs. Kevin Duffy of Bearing Asset Management says that a recent Investors Intelligence poll shows that the percentage of bearish advisors has reached 24.7%, the lowest reading since the 23.2% of March 2000 the infamous date that marked the very top of the 1990s epic bull market. How about that?

#7 Drano

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Posted 29 November 2002 - 06:30 PM

The idea of an Investors INTELLIGENCE poll is funny in and of itself :D
Of course I'm caustic!

#8 Guest_AssMaster_*

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Posted 30 November 2002 - 03:13 PM

Well, now we have bear capitulation by Steve Leuthold, who is - I believe - manager of the Grizzly Short fund. And in Barron's no less. Is that a sign of the top or what?

Barron's "A New Bull Market"

Why a money manager with a deep sense of history has now turned
positive
An Interview With Steve Leuthold -- In a profession full of ranters
and ravers, he has long been the voice of reason in the investment
world. By arming himself with reams of historical market data,
examining the relationships between asset classes and carefully
tracking economic trends, Leuthold is able to present a take on the
markets that's difficult to match for its thoroughness and ability
to detect shifts in investment themes. He and his colleagues at
Leuthold Group, the research arm of institutional trading house
Weeden & Co. of Greenwich, Conn., publish their findings monthly in
the heavily subscribed Green Book, so called for the shade of its
cover but also, we imagine, for the assist it gives its readers in
making more of the green stuff.


"We have never seen a period like this where in the first year of an
economic expansion the market has just continued to go down as it
did until Oct. 9."


Somehow, beyond the facts and figures, the sense of humanity that
runs deep in Leuthold comes through in his work. What distinguishes
him, too, from the rest of the Wall Street crowd, is his insistence
on working on Main Street: Minneapolis in the winter and Maine's
Casco Bay in the summer.

Leuthold is extremely bullish now, although not as super bullish as
he was in 1982, at the start of the great run that ended two years
ago. To learn what he sees that the double-dippers don't, please
read on.

--Sandra Ward


I would post the full text, but don't want to offend Doc's intellectual property sensibilities. But he basically thinks financials and big caps are overvalued, and that telecomm has not fully completed it's debacle, but that small/mid cap growth is at pretty good valuations.

See the full article and interview in Barrons. Prepare to Fade Away. :P

#9 Guest_hemroid2_*

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Posted 01 December 2002 - 09:56 PM

the whole government manipulation thing adds a new element to things...wtf...do some firms get the sweatheart inside deals for the government orderflow...similarly do they know when to not expect the jam? is this efficient? Are people getting rich on inside information? gues it doesnt matter to me...just the idea makes me want to puke

#10 PileDriver

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Posted 01 December 2002 - 10:20 PM

Perhaps Leuthold feels comfortable trading with the majority opinion but I sure as hell don't.

http://www.vtoreport...t/sentiment.htm

Sell Mortimer, SELL!





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