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The Derivatives Tornado


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#31 BartTheBear

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:19 PM

Fleck on Puplava

Interview

#32 Goldmember

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:22 PM

Have You Hugged Your STOOL Today!

Image coming soon to a theatre near you...



oop, der it is..


Posted Image
Anthony caused pearls to be dissolved in wine to drink the health of Cleopatra; Sir Richard Whittington was as foolishly magnificent in an entertainment to King Henry V; and Sir Thomas Gresham drank a diamond, dissolved in wine, to the health of Queen Elizabeth, when she opened the Royal Exchange; but the breakfast of this roguish Dutchman was as splendid as either. He had an advantage, too, over his wasteful predecessors: their gems did not improve the taste or the wholesomeness of their wine, while his tulip was quite delicious with his red herring.here

#33 wndysrf

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:22 PM

See my sentiment link above.

Something is obviously wrong with the data.

There is no way that those numbers can be pushed to such high extremes.

The NDX Bullish % high is now 91, that's 11 points higher than December.

The New Highs/New Lows is now in Outer Space, and cannot even be charted anymore.

What is happening?

Has the blowoff finished? Or is there more coming??

Can't wait to read Noland tonight.

"Wow, what a week. Extraordinary volatile markets permeate the financial system, reflecting huge malinvestments, gross distortions, and wild speculation in all arenas."
PigMen Proprietary Trading Desk

The Weimar Run: Bullphoria!!!!

#34 Charliss

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:29 PM

IMCLE- did anyone short it?

#35 2 floaters and a sinker

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:32 PM

First we need to take out this line. 976 or so.

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#36 2 floaters and a sinker

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:33 PM

And where do you think this line is? Yup. 950 or so.

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#37

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:35 PM

I'll be watching that 950 area. I'm sure the bulls will be buying with a vengeance at that line.

That sounds about right...

I've got confluence on SPX 945-948 and the Dow 8724-8722

Watch the fibs and buy the retracement if volume lightens up.

Put your stop right under confluence.

Great risk/reward.

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#38 wndysrf

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:38 PM

Gap down and immediate reversal on the QQQ's. On volume of about 150 million, more than double the daily average.

Would you buy it??

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#39 Goldmember

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:53 PM

Gap down and immediate reversal on the QQQ's. On volume of about 150 million, more than double the daily average.

Would you buy it??

LOL! OPPOSITE WORLD...
Anthony caused pearls to be dissolved in wine to drink the health of Cleopatra; Sir Richard Whittington was as foolishly magnificent in an entertainment to King Henry V; and Sir Thomas Gresham drank a diamond, dissolved in wine, to the health of Queen Elizabeth, when she opened the Royal Exchange; but the breakfast of this roguish Dutchman was as splendid as either. He had an advantage, too, over his wasteful predecessors: their gems did not improve the taste or the wholesomeness of their wine, while his tulip was quite delicious with his red herring.here

#40 WillytheBooh

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:54 PM

Wave thoughts on the QQQs......

Regards Savas (c:)0

http://crucialforum....06_17_44_43.GIF


Willy- That image was waaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaay too wide for this page,
so I posted the link instead

Edited by DrStool, 06 June 2003 - 07:27 PM.


#41 BarBu

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:54 PM

Today's candlestick pattern is not a perfect (but close enough to be a) Dark Cloud Cover

Posted Image

according to Lit wick.com

Dark Cloud Cover: reliability: High

First day is a long white day
Second day is black with an open above the high of the previous day
Second day closes within but below the midpoint of the first day’s body

Meaning: In an uptrend the market gaps open, but loses ground to fall below the midpoint of the previous day.....a warning sign to bullish investors

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#42 Pee Brain

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 06:54 PM

I know how you feel. I did the same thing, bought the QQQ at the open 31.14 thought that was a good fill watched it go to 31.48 and didn't think that was all she had so I kept it and ended up selling 30.85. It looked to me like it was going back up and I decided to buy some June 31 calls at .70 ended up selling at .45. I got whacked today.

I can't believe how bad I traded today.

Going into today I had a game plan of buying puts as soon as it started to stall. I almost pulled the trigger on some June 31's at .65 (now1.20) and some june 32's at 1.15(Now 2.00). I am just sick.

The whole day all I could think about is those guys that manipulated this market this high weren't going to let this week end with a big bearish engolfing candle with high volume right at the long term downtrend line.

One thing that still has me bothered about calling this a top is the fact that we are still in the higher end of the bullish channel and we only closed down 18 points on the Nasdaq, 2 points down on the S&P and still closed 21 green on the DOW.

This could very well be the top but I'm still hesitant.

By the way I was watching my time and sales on the QQQ a few minutes ago (ah) and saw an order for 9 million QQQ shares go thru at 30.19 when we were trading at 30.09. I've seen this before and not sure what to make of it.

Quicktrade


hey QT,

today was a huge volatility day - possibly a reversal day for the next trend. you took a hit for a whopping quarter on the QQQ trade and you were on the WRONG side of the market on a really BAD DAY to be swimming against the tide!.... me thinks thats not all that bad. BTW, the QQQs closed near $30 - at least you didnt hold and hope.

i dont trade puts, so no comment.
Iat least we're all safe for now. thank God we're in a bowling alley.

#43 longOnUranus

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 07:04 PM

I believe Oy had said he was bullish if the weekly closed above 965, the 50% retrace level from the post- 9/11 rally. This board is too bearish, too quick. Similar to our last big "down day", which was quickly reversed. 1000 is a magnet number and will not be forgotten quickly. We have recently had several high volume days with relatively little NET price movement (big intraday swings). Smells like distribution with MM's taking out stops along the way.

I want to see another failure over 1000; I think 1050 may be more realistic before the downtrend starts. "Profit taking" does not equal fear.

#44 PileDriver

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 07:06 PM

Gap down and immediate reversal on the QQQ's.  On volume of about 150 million, more than double the daily average.

Would you buy it??

LOL! OPPOSITE WORLD...

Correction,

"George Costanza World"

:lol:

Buy high sell higher
Sell low cover lower
Average up
Throw good money after good
Sell going down (sell into weakness)
Buy going up (buy into strength)

:lol:

#45 BarBu

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Posted 06 June 2003 - 07:13 PM

I believe Oy had said he was bullish if the weekly closed above 965, the 50% retrace level from the post- 9/11 rally. This board is too bearish, too quick. Similar to our last big "down day", which was quickly reversed. 1000 is a magnet number and will not be forgotten quickly. We have recently had several high volume days with relatively little NET price movement (big intraday swings). Smells like distribution with MM's taking out stops along the way.

I want to see another failure over 1000; I think 1050 may be more realistic before the downtrend starts. "Profit taking" does not equal fear.

06/02's SOX sell off and Today's quick reversal like heart strokes, bull may attempt new assault, the failure is expected.





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