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#16 richmtn

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Posted 12 December 2002 - 01:19 AM

Charts courtesy of www.contraryinvestor.com


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Very cool chart. :grin: :wink2: :grin:
Machinhead if you read this would you care to comment.

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The one on top is the CRB.

#17 sweefraapp

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Posted 12 December 2002 - 01:51 AM

Just eye balling that last chart, it looks like which ever one is on top does more of the reconciling and has larger moves than the one on the bottom.

#18 richmtn

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Posted 12 December 2002 - 02:11 AM

Now I think I see why MH has been all over this for a long time.

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Posted 12 December 2002 - 08:03 AM

Another strange sentement indicator I'm using. This one shows the ratio of the  S&P to the put call ratio. The moving average and the ratio have once again turned down. This is bearish. This indicator rose during the bull and has fallen throughout the bear. We are back on track.  :)


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Rich, this chart isn't really saying anything useful. Since, with a very few exceptions, the monthly $CPC is a number slightly below 1 (and with little volatility), dividing the $SPX by it has little impact on the look of the chart:

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Regards,
Vesselin

#20 richmtn

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Posted 12 December 2002 - 08:14 AM

DOH!!!

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Thanks Dr. B. No wonder it looked so good.
Stop by anytime to straighten me out. That's how we learn. DOH!!!


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#21 richmtn

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Posted 12 December 2002 - 08:29 AM

Bloomberg


Top Financial News
Thu, 12 Dec 2002, 7:18am EST

French Manufacturing Has Biggest Drop in a Year; Economy Adds Fewer Jobs
French industrial production fell the most in a year in October and employers added fewer jobs than previously estimated as the economy struggles to grow. More...

European Car Sales Slip as Consumers Shun BMW, Mercedes, Luxury Automakers
Western European car sales fell 6.2 percent in November as consumers shunned German luxury brands such as BMW and Mercedes-Benz for a second consecutive month amid stagnating economic growth and rising unemployment. More...

Stocks Fall in Europe, Paced by DaimlerChrysler, Fiat and Other Carmakers
European stocks fell, led by carmakers such as DaimlerChrysler AG and Fiat SpA as a report showed auto sales in the region declined last month. Alcatel SA dropped the most in France after the government said industrial output unexpectedly slid in October. More...

Vivendi's Paris Headquarters Raided by Police in Accounting Investigation
Vivendi Universal SA's Paris headquarters were raided by police investigating the accounts of the world's No. 2 media company. More...

Dollar Slips vs Yen, Euro on Concern U.S. Current-Account Deficit Widened
The dollar fell against the yen and the euro for the fourth day in five before a report that economists expect will show the U.S. current-account deficit widened to a record. More...

Costco Profit Grows at Slowest Pace in 9 Months as Consumers Curb Spending
Costco Wholesale Corp., the largest U.S. warehouse-club chain, said fiscal first- quarter profit grew at the slowest pace in nine months as shoppers curbed spending. More...

U.S. Stocks Decline in Europe as Wal-Mart, Boeing and Lockheed Shares Drop
U.S. stocks fell in Europe before a report expected to show that retail sales excluding cars rose last month at less than a third of October's pace. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, declined. More...

Deutsche Bank Set to Top Ranks of European Corporate Bond Sales for 2002
Deutsche Bank AG is poised to top the ranks of managers of European corporate bond sales this year after Europe's biggest bank helped borrowers issue $34 billion of debt. More...

Cable & Wireless Cash Pile May Run Out Within a Year, Investors Estimate
Cable & Wireless Plc may exhaust its 3.8 billion pounds ($6 billion) of cash within a year after the phone and Internet provider repays debt, revamps its biggest unit and is forced to set aside money, investors said. More...

Wall Street Strategists Failed to Foresee Third Year of Declining Stocks Bwahahahaha rich
Prudential Securities Inc.'s chief investment strategist, Ed Yardeni, expects the Standard & Poor's 500 Index to end the year at 900, near yesterday's close. A year ago, his firm and his forecast were different. More...

On Baghdad Stock Market, Investors Have to Use Binoculars to Find Gains
Ahmad squints across the room at the Arabic markings in felt pen on the white aluminum board. Unlike most other investors on the Baghdad Stock Exchange, he doesn't have binoculars. Finally, he sees, and smiles. His shares in Gaseous Water Co. are up in today's trading. More...

EU Eastward Expansion Is Held Up by Cash Clash Between Poland and Germany
All that stands in the way of the unification of Europe is a couple billion euros. More...

Stories


Stock Market Update
12/12 06:11

U.S. Asbestos-Related Stocks Rise in Europe, Led by Halliburton, Honeywell
By Ben Richardson

London, Dec. 12 (Bloomberg) -- U.S. stocks fell in Europe before a report expected to show that retail sales excluding cars rose last month at less than a third of October's pace. Wal-Mart Stores Inc., the world's largest retailer, declined.

``The outlook for the retail sector and consumer spending is pretty lacklustre,'' said Geoff Paton, head of U.S. equities at Abbey National Asset Managers. He recently trimmed holdings of BEA Systems Inc., a maker of software for running Web-based programs, and Intel Corp., the world's largest chipmaker.

Boeing Co. and Lockheed Martin Corp. dropped after an Air Force official said they are losing money on a program to develop a booster rocket for U.S. military satellites. Bristol-Myers Squibb Co. slid after the Wall Street Journal reported that the drugmaker used questionable methods to boost profit.

Bristol-Myers, whose accounting is already under investigation by U.S. regulators, shed 12 cents to $27.03 in Germany.

The company inflated earnings by dipping into money set aside for reorganizing operations and by selling assets in amounts too small to require disclosure, the Journal reported, citing interviews with 27 unidentified former and current executives at the company.

The Labor Department will probably report today that the number of workers filing initial jobless claims increased to 380,000, up from 355,000 the previous week, based on the median of 30 economists' forecasts.

Both the jobless claims and retail sales reports are scheduled for 8:30 a.m. Washington time.

Morning Update


Economies
Thu, 12 Dec 2002, 7:18am EST

French Manufacturing Has Biggest Drop in a Year; Economy Adds Fewer Jobs
French industrial production fell the most in a year in October and employers added fewer jobs than previously estimated as the economy struggles to grow. More...

ECB Lowers Region's Economic Growth Forecast, Sees Inflation Slowing
The European Central Bank pared its forecast for economic growth in 2003 and said inflation will slow in the coming two years. More...

Foreign Direct Investment in China Rises 14.6 Percent in First 11 Months
Foreign direct investment into China increased at the slowest pace in six months in November as overseas companies held off building new plants while the Communist Party picked new leaders. More...

U.S. Retail Sales Probably Rose in November for First Time in Three Months
U.S. retail sales probably rose in November for the first time in three months as Americans bought more cars, economists said in advance of today's Commerce Department report. More...

EU Enlargement to East Comes Down to Cash Clash Between Poland and Germany
All that stands in the way of the unification of Europe is a couple billion euros. More...

China Trade Surplus Narrows as Imports Outpace Exports Following WTO Entry
China's November trade surplus narrowed by a fifth, with imports outpacing exports as the country lowered import tariffs following its accession to the World Trade Organization. More...

Bank of England Sees Risk in Rising Commercial Property, Consumer Loans
U.K. banks have taken on more risk in the past two years by increasing loans to consumers and for commercial property where lending growth has almost doubled, the Bank of England said. More...

Australia Added 60,400 Jobs in November; Jobless Rate Rises to 6.1 Percent
Australia's economy added jobs for a second month as builders and retailers hired more full-time workers to meet a building boom and a Christmas sales rush. More...

Japanese Companies Protest Proposal to Tax Those That Don't Make Money
Japanese companies with more than 100 million yen ($8 million) in capital should pay taxes even if they lose money, according to a proposal by parties in the ruling coalition. More...

South Korea Leaves Interest Rate Unchanged as Household Debt Growth Slows
South Korea's central bank left interest rates unchanged for a seventh month, saying government initiatives to slow gains in household debt and cool the property market helped prevent the economy from overheating. More...

Stories





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