Jump to content


Photo

The Bachelorette


This topic has been archived. This means that you cannot reply to this topic.
170 replies to this topic

#166 Guest_BEARDRECH_*

Guest_BEARDRECH_*
  • Guests

Posted 21 February 2003 - 03:20 AM

OK, let's say inflation takes root in the good old US of A. Do we really think that the 24% idle manufacturing capacity is just going to stay idle? or is it going to be put to work to compete-down any strength in pricing? Kind of like when you get your rear-wheel drive stuck in the snow. Every time you think you got the sucker free you slide back into the muck.

Seriously, wasn't that big jump almost entirely attributable to oil prices? This is good for the economy?

mjkst27,

Here is the report in its entirety. You are correct that most of the increase was due to energy prices, but there were certainly other factors contributing to the rise which looked downright inflationary.

Producer Price Index News Release text

When you talk about unused capacity, you arent talking about inflation in commodity prices. If it cost $100 to buy before and now it costs $110, while your input costs rise from $80 to $90 you arent making any more than the $20 profit. Also, if the demand is not there to increase what is currently being produced at these prices, you certainly wouldnt ratchet up production when input prices are higher.

sirs
i have the perfect solution to problem of underutilization of manufacturing facilities;simply write me a letter with self adressed envelope amd ill mail you my plan--
yours truly Smoot & Hawley

#167 BAREister

BAREister

    Clinical Professor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 8,469 posts

Posted 21 February 2003 - 03:58 AM

Y'all SEE??? The BARE TOLD yew he hASS Two Screws Loose!!!

"But the nightmare deflationary collapse scenario is off the table for now. "

HRFF predicts, flatly, that these words will come back to haunt Mr TwoScrewsLoose aka MH, perhaps, sooner, rather than later.

No, Mr TwoScews. Tain't off the table at all. Can't write it off quite so glibly, quite so soon, quite YET.

Why the jury's still out!

You'd make a LOUSY lawyer, Mr TwoScrews, putting on a case and moving FUR a directed verdict on the basis of eviDUNCE like THAT!!!

Tain't met your burden of proof, old? fellow.


Don't worry!!! IF HRFF makes it to the NYC gathering, he'll buy you a drink or two or three which will make eating your own words that much easier.
"The sphinx set riddles for people which they could not solve and the sphinx devoured them." Russian poet Ilia Ehrenberg reflecting years later upon the debacle of the Bolshevik Revolution and civil war

"In any case, experience shows people are unlikely to change their ways without a cataclysm of existential proportions" Meinhard Meigel, German economist and demography expert on his prophecy of a Wagnerian abyss of social and economic chaos

"We believe that here is no easy way out of this mess, and that the chance of a benign outcome, while hopefully possible, is quite low." Comstock Partners 3-17-2005

"Not without a shudder may the human hand reach into the mysterious urn of destiny." Junk email promoting the sale of Valium, Viagra, Soma and Cialis. Of course, we AMERICANS need not WORRY about such CLAPTRAP!!!

"The trouble about myths, or lies, is that those who foster them are stuck with them." Edward Crankshaw

"I don't buy the idea that a crash will come without warning. There are always warnings. All crashes have certain common technical preconditions." Doc (snorjt)

"YOU look IMPORTANT. Are you important, or just....WEIRD?"
"Bob I am" at a political gathering, to HRFF, 9-29-04

"Are YOU C.I.A.???"
"No, I'm not "CIA"."
"Well, you sure LOOK LIKE you're C.I.A.!!!"

Lead singer of the rock band KISS to HRFF at a luggage carousel at SeaTac airport circa 1996

"Unlike you, I use words people can understand." Doc

"America at the moment, with its faith-based currency, faith-based economy and faith-based government, might be a heaven for those who love faith, but it's a hell for those of us that respect evidence." The Daily (W?)Reckoning, circa 9-17-04

"What should be clear at this point is that even huge fiscal stimulus and unprecedented financial excess are incapable of fostering a sound and self-sustaining economic expansion. The paramount issue, today and going forward, is the deeply maladjusted U.S. economy and its increasing unresponsiveness to even enormous yet misdirected financial stimulus. Both the Financial Sphere and Economic Sphere are severely maladjusted." Doug Noland's Credit Bubble Bulletin, Aug 24 '04

"U.S. dollar purchasing power relies almost entirely on the difference between interest rates in Japan and the higher rates in the United States." Warren Pollock, Prudent Bear essay circa 9-04

"What about your replacements? the Children. What do we tell them when the whole thing caves in?" HyperTiger

#168 Jimbo

Jimbo

    Doctor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 2,156 posts

Posted 21 February 2003 - 04:54 AM

TRISTA AND THE FIREMAN

Mark - Trista just picked the Fireman to make herself look good. She will quietly dump him after the show.

CREAMER

Still bullish on the street his latest article is the usual dont miss the bottom broken record.

The bear case still rules.
timoleon

#169 phatbubble

phatbubble

    Associate Professor of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 4,331 posts

Posted 21 February 2003 - 05:13 AM

GTN,

You will know when the new bull is really close by three things.

1.  Capitulation--Large volume to the down size
2.  Divident Yield-High around 5%
3.  P/E-7 to 15

Just keep an eye for these three things

Oilman

what oilman said. until that happens, the big bull moves will cover the majority of their ground in about 6 trading days (see sep 01, jul 02, oct 02).

you never know, some company on the Nasty could make a surprise announcement that they've perfected that Perpetual Motion Machine with the falling cat and the falling piece of buttered toast strapped back-to-back....otherwise, i wouldn't go 200% IT long at gunpoint. look for 90-90 downside days; for more, see paul desmond's "identifying bear market bottoms and new bull markets", which won the 2002 charles h. dow award (to get a copy go to this page at lowry's reports and enter your email address - they'll send a username/pwd/URL to access it. there are probably pdfs of it floating around elsewhere too).
Quod Severis Metes

Your life is the sum of a remainder of an unbalanced equation inherent to the programming of the Matrix. You are the eventuality of an internal anomaly, which despite my sincerest efforts, I have been unable to eliminate from what is otherwise a harmony of mathematical precision. While it remains a burden assiduously avoided, it is not unexpected, and thus not beyond a measure of control. Which has led you, inexorably, here.
You haven't answered my question.
Quite right. Interesting. That was quicker than the others.

#170

  • Guests
  • 0 posts

Posted 21 February 2003 - 05:46 AM

Sorry if that is too political Doc, I just thought it was interesting enough to share.

It just confirms how despicable Murdoch is and that The Sun
gets its history facts from listening to Jay Leno's monologues.

#171 machinehead

machinehead

    Dean of Stock Proctology

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 13,180 posts

Posted 21 February 2003 - 08:59 AM

Y'all SEE??? The BARE TOLD yew he hASS Two Screws Loose!!!

"But the nightmare deflationary collapse scenario is off the table for now. "

HRFF predicts, flatly, that these words will come back to haunt Mr TwoScrewsLoose aka MH, perhaps, sooner, rather than later.

Well, Counsellor BAREasster, you can make those words haunt me even more by becoming a party to the bet that yobob and I are cooking up now. You have till March 31 to get on board.

It's a potential vehicle (not a car, since you wouldn't be seen behind the wheel of one) for you to recover your stinging losses from our last bet ... something about the price of gold, wasn't it? :wink2:
"GOLD -- it's not just for misers anymore."

"Dollahs -- fire-starters for the K-wave winter." - Drano

"Three humps and a dump." - anotherone, 21 SEP 2004

"No gold was harmed in the making of this movie." - Bizarro Greenspan

[i]"Da Track. Da place where Morons bet on Animals Controlled by Criminals."
- our jickiss





Stock market portfolio giving you the runs? See Dr. Stool.

Take a subscribatory!
Download 
The Anals of Stock Proctology now!



The Daily Stool - Stock Market Message Board
Stool's Gold- Gold and Precious Metals Forum
Look Out Below Message Board

Support your local Stool Board.


The Al E. Greenspeuman designer line at Stoolmart. Get yours today! Click here now!
Get Mugged!


Dr. Stool's
Book Search

Enter title, author, or keyword
Just books
All Products





Old Stool Depository

Live Steaming Pile Chart