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Moody's downgrades UK.

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-22/u-k-loses-top-aaa-rating-from-moody-s-as-growth-outlook-weakens.html

 

They couldn't find any sober englishman to return comment...

 

But they found a guy working in Canuckistan that reassured bagholders that all this is normal and expected:

 

“Ultimately it’s a fairly minor action and shouldn’t result in a massive bond market response,” said Eric Lascelles, chief economist for RBC Asset Management in Toronto. “This is an era where developed countries are being downgraded on a regular basis.”

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Doc was right again. LTRO paydowns bearish in the first place. But since it was far less than expected --> bullish.

 

Doc called that whole shit right. Since months.

 

Congrats Doc! :)

 

Thanks for the props. Looking into the bowels of Wall Street is a dark and dirty job, but there's never any doubt about what will come out in the end. 

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Since sequester looks by my calculation to be about 1/2% of annual GDP the macro effect should be pretty mild.  Of course even the most rabid deficit scolds never propose cutting by more than 1% right away.   Meanwhile the deficit has fallen from, and these are rough numbers,  12% of GDP in 09 to 6% in 13. None of which is to say anything about the advisability or sustainability of deficits.  No sense going there but just to say the path since 08 of deficits is perfectly aligned with the needs of the system as it now exists. The huge deficits were in other words an existential necessity for the political economy. That is an old fashioned term for economics before economics became a stand alone 'science' which attempted to pretend  that government was something that was grafted onto the economy, often portrayed as a parasite, when in fact government is the ground upon which the economy stands.

 

As in,,,government is the white, the faces are the economy.

 In May the continuing resolution on spending expires however and another government shutdown will loom.  25% of GDP.

Face-Vase7.jpg

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Moody's downgrades UK.

 

http://www.bloomberg.com/news/2013-02-22/u-k-loses-top-aaa-rating-from-moody-s-as-growth-outlook-weakens.html

 

They couldn't find any sober englishman to return comment...

 

But they found a guy working in Canuckistan that reassured bagholders that all this is normal and expected:

GBP/USD weekly

 

post-510-0-34874500-1361630448_thumb.png

 

 

EUR/GBP weekly

 

post-510-0-84043900-1361630478_thumb.png

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Since sequester looks by my calculation to be about 1/2% of annual GDP the macro effect should be pretty mild.  Of course even the most rabid deficit scolds never propose cutting by more than 1% right away.   Meanwhile the deficit has fallen from, and these are rough numbers,  12% of GDP in 09 to 6% in 13. None of which is to say anything about the advisability or sustainability of deficits.  No sense going there but just to say the path since 08 of deficits is perfectly aligned with the needs of the system as it now exists. The huge deficits were in other words an existential necessity for the political economy. That is an old fashioned term for economics before economics became a stand alone 'science' which attempted to pretend  that government was something that was grafted onto the economy, often portrayed as a parasite, when in fact government is the ground upon which the economy stands.

 

As in,,,government is the white, the faces are the economy.

 In May the continuing resolution on spending expires however and another government shutdown will loom.  25% of GDP.

Face-Vase7.jpg

 

 

Faces?

 

All I see is a vase.

 

This is a great post. If you don't mind I'm going to steal it for WSE.

 

With your byline of course!

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$75B in Treasury CMBs and $67B in LTRO repayments last week took helluva chunk of cash out of markets last week. More Treasury supply Thurs.

 

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It's a sad day when people with a critical view only get airtime in what can be construed as a foreign propaganda TV channel

 

 

The analogies have a solid pile of stoolism in there somewhere :lol:

 

Keiser isn't crazy in my book. Crazy people don't overact like this guy :lol:

I'd like to hear their opinion on Russia but that's obviously off limits.

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Max also appears on an Iranian propaganda network. That's over the line in my book. BBC has him on as a guest commentator frequently. He lives in London now, but Jim Rickards just tweeted that he's moving to NY. Max is huge. His videos get millions of viewers. He's right about many things. 

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