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SiP

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SiP last won the day on May 25 2023

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Master of Stock Proctology

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  1. Best series of monthly close for dji since 2020 and spx since 2018. Dji is about to hit 40.000!
  2. The Nasdaq100 index has not fallen more than 2% for the last 106 trading sessions. This is the fifth longest such run since the GFC.
  3. Investors on Wall Street appear to have gone "dry" through the statistically difficult months of February and March. Admittedly, March is not over yet, but this entire two-month period does not count as a particularly successful one on the equity markets. Meanwhile, this period this year has been quite lucky for equity holders. And if we look at the market from the perspective of presidential cycles then statistically the first half of the year, in a US presidential election year, should be weaker than the second half, with the trend taking a flat form. Meanwhile, the start of 2024 is decidedly positive and stands out statistically against other similar periods. So, will the remainder of the first half of the year 'break away' from statistics even more, or will it be a move towards confirming the statistical pattern?
  4. It's not dotcom bubble. From spx or nasdaq to gold ratio perspective we are half way there which means spx would need to hit almost 11k to say we are in the same level of bubble.
  5. Sell signal on weekly https://thepatternsite.com/CPIUpdate.html
  6. Doc, Congrats on trade. 27% is a nice gain for 1 month.
  7. so QT taper comming soon appropriate to slow the pace of runoff fairly soon". This is all about avoiding disruption to money markets, but is still a de facto (marginal) easing of monetary policy relative to baseline.
  8. All the financial loosening that is taking place is making rate cuts go away because loosening drives markets and increases inflation.
  9. 2024 is a discussion about inflation - whether it will fall to target or yet remain elevated, e.g. 3-4%. Because if it is the latter, there will be one cut or two and the market will finally feel the problem of higher rates. The longer this goes on, the greater the chance that it will break down.
  10. Got it, ai again https://www.marketwatch.com/story/apple-in-talks-with-google-to-use-gemini-ai-tool-in-new-iphone-report-says-abe02b87
  11. What a Bonner, any ideas why we have this rally again? I was pretty sure we would start dropin further
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