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B4 The Belll Frieday October 22


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In case you missed it

 

UPDATE 1-US Treasury's Snow says supports strong dollar

Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:52 PM ET

(Adds background, Snow quote)

TAMPA, Fla, Oct 20 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow on Wednesday repeated U.S. support for a strong dollar but declined to comment on a recent drop in the dollar's value against those of other major currencies.

 

"We support a strong dollar," he said.

http://www.reuters.com/financeNewsArticle....storyID=6558219

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Dollar Heads to Worst Week in 6 on Trade Gap, Lower Investment

Oct. 22 (Bloomberg) -- The dollar headed to its biggest weekly drop in six against the euro after Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Janet Yellen said a widening trade deficit is a risk for U.S. economic growth.

 

The gap between exports and imports, which at $54 billion in August was the second biggest on record, poses ``significant issues'' for the economy, Yellen said in a speech in San Francisco. Declines for the dollar added to a drop on Oct. 18, when a government report showed foreign investors in August bought the fewest U.S. financial assets in 10 months.

 

Yellen's remarks ``reflect the unease that the Fed feels in dealing with the ever-widening current-account deficit,'' said Alex Patelis, senior currency strategist at Merrill Lynch & Co. in London, referring to the broadest measure of trade. The gap ``is really the driver of this whole move'' in the dollar.

 

Against the euro, the dollar weakened to $1.2630 at 11:05 a.m. in New York, from $1.2615 late yesterday, and dropped as low as $1.2659, the weakest since Feb. 25, according to electronic foreign-exchange trading system EBS. The U.S. currency traded at 107.49 yen, from 107.47, heading for its biggest weekly drop in five months.

 

The dollar fell 1.3 percent this week against the euro and tumbled 1.6 percent versus the yen after the Treasury Department said foreign investors bought a net $59 billion of U.S. stocks, corporate bonds, Treasuries and other financial assets in August, the least since October last year.

 

``It's a dislike of the dollar,'' said David Durrant, chief currency strategist in New York for Bank Julius Baer & Co., which manages $95 billion. Foreign asset managers ``don't want to own the dollar risk associated with a U.S. asset.''

http://quote.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=1...kpHA&refer=asia

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In case you missed it

 

UPDATE 1-US Treasury's Snow says supports strong dollar

Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:52 PM ET

(Adds background, Snow quote)

TAMPA, Fla, Oct 20 (Reuters) - U.S. Treasury Secretary John Snow on Wednesday repeated U.S. support for a strong dollar but declined to comment on a recent drop in the dollar's value against those of other major currencies.

 

"We support a strong dollar," he said.

http://www.reuters.com/financeNewsArticle....storyID=6558219

With what? A jock strap?

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A left over topic that was addressed yesterday and which I cannot link because of

a block, check this alternative site and pick your topic related to DEPLETED

URANIUM contamination.

 

http://www.iacenter.org/depleted/du.htm

 

DEPLETED URANIUM

EDUCATION PROJECT updated: 4 September, 2004

Hypertiger predicted before the Iraq War II started that there would be massive contamination by DU in Iraq. :mellow:

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Housing "softpatch" migrating north to Detroit

 

http://www.detnews.com/2004/realestate/041.../a01-312437.htm

"Real estate agents say homes priced above $300,000 are more challenging to sell, given the reluctance of families to take on added debt amid sluggish economic conditions."

 

I'm surprised the Matrix let that get into print. :grin:

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A left over topic that was addressed yesterday and which I cannot link because of

a block, check this alternative site and pick your topic related to DEPLETED

URANIUM contamination.

 

http://www.iacenter.org/depleted/du.htm

 

DEPLETED URANIUM     

EDUCATION PROJECT        updated: 4 September, 2004

Hypertiger predicted before the Iraq War II started that there would be massive contamination by DU in Iraq. :mellow:

Hyper wasn't wrong. Massive it is with extremely dire consequences for living organisms.

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10/22/2004

 

The Feds actions today indicate they have still not come to the POR on the money supply slide.

 

The Fed took away about $6B or so in repos, which is a little surprising ? and bodes poorly for the market over the next day or so. AG is still not worried much about oil, the economy, or GSEs ? as we hear every day from Fed members. This seems to be part of the positive ?words? policy espoused recently by the Fed. However wishing only works in the land of Peter Pan and Captain Hook.

 

My feeling is that the Fed is still going back to the higher end of recent range ? from the bottom reached recently - that would target around a 6% growth rate in the monetary base. This will probably continue until the end of the month. Thereafter, in early November, the Fed may tighten things up a little to make way for the expected ? point rate increase that looks very likely now.

 

Note: See Doc?s Feed Report for charts and a comprehensive explanation of where the Fed is now.

 

As you may see from the attachments, the Fed had about a 4% monetary base growth rate in the first five months of 2005, accelerated to about 6% at the same time it started moving up interest rates. I expect an 8% growth rate to be implemented in the next 2 to 6 weeks. The problem is that this time the Fed will not be fighting head winds but a hurricane, and it may get blown aside before it realizes how powerful the storm is.

 

Falling money supply and liquidity will exert a significant negative effect on the market the next few weeks.

 

Monetary Base

http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd/page3.pdf

 

M2 Money Supply

http://research.stlouisfed.org/publications/usfd/page6.pdf

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