Jump to content

Does Size Matter?


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 221
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Who knows where IBM will trade?

 

Fundmentals don't matter.

 

The only thing that matters is how many HedgeHogs are gaming the stock on the short side.

 

Given the giant 6 month tight trading range, the move one way or the other will be explosive.

 

That all depends if the HedgeHogs are short or long the stock.

 

Too many gamers in this market.

 

So I expect things to continue bounce wildly this way and that.

 

Contrary to others' opinions about a 2002- style selloff, I doubt that will happen.

 

The market will continue to jack up and sell down, destroying longs and shorts alike.

 

The market will fall only when everybody is out of money and liquidity is gone.

 

That could take many years.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

How'd IBM do it? .....

 

IBM spent approximately $106 million on share repurchases in the second quarter. There were 1.73 billion basic common shares outstanding at June 30, 2003. The average number of diluted common shares outstanding in the quarter was 1.76 billion compared with 1.73 billion shares in the same period of 2002.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Ever look at a chart and in 20/20 hindsight say:

 

"Jeez, that top bottom was so damn obvious, how did I ever miss it?"

 

Why:

1) In real-time emotions cloud judgement.

2) Disbelief - it always starts out deceptively slowly, never how you expect it to.

 

Patience.

 

This has been heading down ever since mid June

 

http://stockcharts.com/charts/indices/McSumNYSE.html

 

The "top" is in, it may be a messy top but its in nonetheless :lol:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

USD finished an abc-up, and left a nice hanging man at the top today.

 

I pencilled in two ABCs actually. One bigger than the other.

 

This could be the time to get the golds near the bottom.

 

By the way... stay clear of the SA miners for the time being.

 

For more insights and commentary, drop by the Gold chat room.

post-7-1058389230.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Tell a friend

    Love Stool Pigeons Wire Message Board? Tell a friend!
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • ×
    • Create New...