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Edit:  buskow, I just realized that you mentioned a break in -July-, but the part of that cycle corresponding to the current top is all in -June-.  In other words, any 'break' in July is in a part of the cycle that we haven't even reached yet.  So I'm not sure what correlation you were trying to draw.

 

Sorry, that was a 'quick eyeball' on the chart, and my bad. The actual break date was 25 JUN, the 13th day following the thrust to the top. Equivalent to 3 DEC in the recent time, however 3 DEC was a doji near the top in price (one day before top), so you can see the behavior IS distinctly different between the two periods.

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tanks for clarifying buskow.

 

I see what you mean about underlying differences.

 

Yet despite the doji in the current cycle, the 2 tops do in fact follow an almost identical pattern of up and down ripples....in terms of # of days up, then # down, etc..

 

tanks again for your feedback :D

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jickiss is back!

 

and

 

Hello Stoolville, Hello Marky Mark, Hello Doc, Hello Mr. Sinclair, Kenny, Dan

hi cramer

 

and

 

Dear Machine Head: Yup! if da horse can't win after 14 years, write another book or movie or screen play, or, Mr. Bull Grates, get some new Windowz!

 

at any rate, the idea that some useless nonsense should be protected for a 3 score of years, plus, is prima face insane, and proves how deep the corruption of common sense has become. dem supremes are a joke, too, all rear echelon mfers.

 

Zoe had mentioned how the rights to certain genetic elements that were initially found within certain individuals had been "taken" by certain scientists, who got particular patients to sign "boiler-plate" releases. Consult your attorney before you sign anything at all these days....you, da docktors be gettin coin today, HooHA!

 

Dear Shorty: ah-ha! you are getting the idea down real fine in re the Non-Recourse element of the finance game. as your jickiss had mentioned the other evening, he knows several that have made huge coin in Real Estate. Virtually NO ONE WHO EVER MADE ANY REAL MONEY IN REAL ESTATE DID IT WITH RECOURSE FINANCE. The winners always use the ultimate form of "da other guy's money" namely, Non-Recourse Money. Kali be da home of this, for sure.

Be an untouchable, if you wanna play at these prices. Go Kali, Go non-recourse, (built in by black letter Kali Law). Stash da coin in a Nevada Corporation, and to hell with everybody. Do like da Holywood Playerz, risk -0-. Take all for yourself, while the fruit hangs low, and, keep your friends close, but keep your enemies closer....

 

Dear Machine Head Again: For sure, 2.38 top in ratio of EBAY:TOL is worth studying again. your jickiss said that top, 2.38, should be watched Very Closely for a clue as to when the whole system is ready to Finally Witness Something Happening.

 

as Marky Mark said, EBAY is a true cult stock. your jickiss says that it is the ultimate cult stock, representing both the proclivity of "Happy Think" (as in we can all sell our stuff to each other and make good, possibly great, coin) to distort values, and, more importantly, as an actual "liquidity in the system" measure.

 

your jickiss feels strongly that when EBAY underperforms TOL, as is happening now, it is a sign of diminishing liquidity for the household sector. IF IF IF IF IF IF this happens and the 110 28/32 level gets hit (we have moved north and away in the past few sessions, as you know), then a STRONG SIGNAL OF TROUBLE will have been flashed. But we need the pair for this signal to have effect.

 

still long gg on margin!

still holding Fast

gotta get up real early on Sat.

bye for now

never let a friend down.

 

acres of diamonds are ahead in 2005 for the broads Bears and the Gold and Gold Miners Longs. The 10 years cycles with the "5" year strong makes about as much sense as the 8 week gold cycle or the election cycles. And here is why, by comparison, by extension and by 10 sigma parallel: They had a race once at Atlantic City were no horse finished....This is what is coming in 2005. In 2005, Mark it now, in 2005, a lot of horses will not finish....

 

Keep your eyes on the Wire, not your brains. your jickiss says, once the swearing is over, the cursing will begin!

 

how is that for a prediction?????everybody is smart here, so you know what it means in the Program...

 

regards to all!

jickiss

and the chart, Mr. Machine Head, welcome back to Merica, sir!

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oh, jickiss almost forgot....

 

Sheeple stopped by earlier, dejected, no friends, no exotic vacations, short of coin, ewe know, the ewesual.

 

So, your jickiss, ever hopeful, (in a bearsh sense) showed Sheeple the following chart, of gg versus $HUI, on da compuker.

 

"lookin' better to buy, Sheeple," said jickiss.

"jickiss, you are a Moron, and I will only believe you when gg is above 20!" said Sheeple.

 

ain't that the truth! :blink:

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I had a few cobalt blue bottles to sell at Ebay. I looked at a lot of listings in various antique categories and such and it appears there isn't a lot of bidding. Ebay must be raking in a bundle from all those listings and yet I didn't see much getting bid up to high prices. Oh I forgot to check out gold and silver coins.

 

Certainly appears to be plenty of inventory to bid up in the stock market. Homebuilders got it. KBH, NVR, TOL, MTH

 

I must say they look like perfect cup and handle charts. Man, wouldn't it be something to see those charts collapse. Nah, forget it.

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I suspect that most creative artists would agree that 70 years past the death of the creator is too long for copyright protection. I have no love for the Mouse having manipulated the copyright laws so that they get to protect their franchise for another 20 years. If anything should be in public domain now, it's the Mouse -- it has become a recognizable part of world culture, and that's what the idea of public domain is intended to reflect. Most creators of artistic works hope that something they've created will survive past their deaths, and it is not in the long-term interest of creators to have long post-mortem copyright terms.

 

SHORT(ahem)-term, it is a different story.

 

There are a number of people here at the Stool who make at least part of their incomes in creative fields, who believe that when they create something for SALE to others, that they should get paid when others use it (by reading it, listening to it, looking at it, whatever the appropriate way of enjoying their work is). Why is it that the barrista at SBUX is entitled to compensation for "creating" the double latte, but the person who wrote the book you're reading while you drink it, is supposed to let you have the book for free, just because someone else decided to upload it onto a website without the permission of the creator?

 

This is the essence of anti-intellectualism. Brain work is unimportant. Only physical work matters. Who cares if someone spent years writing that novel, or play, or music, or creating that art -- why should they get money for it?

 

Maybe for the same reason that people are supposed to be compensated for other kinds of work they do.

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I suspect that most creative artists would agree that 70 years past the death of the creator is too long for copyright protection. I have no love for the Mouse having manipulated the copyright laws so that they get to protect their franchise for another 20 years. If anything should be in public domain now, it's the Mouse -- it has become a recognizable part of world culture, and that's what the idea of public domain is intended to reflect. Most creators of artistic works hope that something they've created will survive past their deaths, and it is not in the long-term interest of creators to have long post-mortem copyright terms.

 

SHORT(ahem)-term, it is a different story.

 

There are a number of people here at the Stool who make at least part of their incomes in creative fields, who believe that when they create something for SALE to others, that they should get paid when others use it (by reading it, listening to it, looking at it, whatever the appropriate way of enjoying their work is). Why is it that the barrista at SBUX is entitled to compensation for "creating" the double latte, but the person who wrote the book you're reading while you drink it, is supposed to let you have the book for free, just because someone else decided to upload it onto a website without the permission of the creator?

 

This is the essence of anti-intellectualism. Brain work is unimportant. Only physical work matters. Who cares if someone spent years writing that novel, or play, or music, or creating that art -- why should they get money for it?

 

Maybe for the same reason that people are supposed to be compensated for other kinds of work they do.

 

Word.

 

Material abiogenesis: the idea that innovation will "spontaneously generate" to the advantage of Humanity at a rate greater than or equal to the rate observed where temporary commercial protections are afforded inventors.

 

:lol: :lol: :lol:

 

And while I'm tweaking StoolieComrades who seem eager to dispossess others and share the proceeds:

 

Material abiogenesis

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At a minimum, the new wave of homebuilding and refi activity will further stimulate the Global Economy, create even bigger imbalances, and cause currency, commodity and asset bubble trends to remain transfixed even tighter along their established trends.

 

I expect to hear some "unheard of extremes" being reported by Noland over the next couple of months.

 

Wild speculations, huge moves ahead.

Yes, it's worldwide. Hong Kong, with its limited land area, has always been a hot market for property booms and busts. One of the leading sectors in HK stock bull markets is always the property developers.

 

This time, with help from the international banksters and financiers, Hong Kong has IPO'd its first big REIT, 28 times oversubscribed:

 

Dec. 11 (Bloomberg) -- The Hong Kong government is set to price shares in the city's first real estate investment fund at the top end of the range, raising $2.7 billion after a sale that drew 28 times more subscriptions than stock on offer, people familiar with the sale said.         

 

The world's biggest initial public offering of its kind drew $40 billion of demand from institutional and strategic investors and $36 billion from Hong Kong individuals, the people said, asking not to be identified. The Link Management Ltd., the REIT's manager, plans to seek government approval later today to sell 1.97 billion of the units at HK$10.83 each.

 

They aren't making any more of it

 

Why would individuals and institutionals desperately pile in to such an issue, when there are warning flags out for high property prices in cities throughout the world?

 

Simple -- yield hunger:

 

The REIT plans to pay individuals a dividend yield of as much as 6.85 percent, compared with the 0.01 percent paid on deposits at major banks in Hong Kong.

 

The HK dollar has been rigidly pegged to the US dollah since 1983 via a currency board. Starved for income on their capital, the peeps are forced to speculate for all they're worth ... and more.

 

Sounds a lot like another country I know. Thank you, Easy Al ... :(

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The drop in oil price is obviously being USED to accomplish insider distribution of equities at these levels. For oil to have been crushed like that, and the markets to have remained flat...that sure feels like the "tell" that there are some major wheelbarrows of cash being rolled out the back door behind the facade of a flat market and lower oil prices. We've seen at least three days in the past week where oil has been down, yet the markets have also been flat or down. The Boys are exiting the arena. They know this oil and gold slam is temporary, and they know the whole thing was orchestrated to provide the appearance of low inflation and future prosperity through lower oil prices...and they know it's going to reverse with a vengence as soon as they get their winnings off the table.

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I suspect that most creative artists would agree that 70 years past the death of the creator is too long for copyright protection. I have no love for the Mouse having manipulated the copyright laws so that they get to protect their franchise for another 20 years. If anything should be in public domain now, it's the Mouse -- it has become a recognizable part of world culture, and that's what the idea of public domain is intended to reflect. Most creators of artistic works hope that something they've created will survive past their deaths, and it is not in the long-term interest of creators to have long post-mortem copyright terms.

 

SHORT(ahem)-term, it is a different story.

 

There are a number of people here at the Stool who make at least part of their incomes in creative fields, who believe that when they create something for SALE to others, that they should get paid when others use it (by reading it, listening to it, looking at it, whatever the appropriate way of enjoying their work is). Why is it that the barrista at SBUX is entitled to compensation for "creating" the double latte, but the person who wrote the book you're reading while you drink it, is supposed to let you have the book for free, just because someone else decided to upload it onto a website without the permission of the creator?

 

This is the essence of anti-intellectualism. Brain work is unimportant. Only physical work matters. Who cares if someone spent years writing that novel, or play, or music, or creating that art -- why should they get money for it?

 

Maybe for the same reason that people are supposed to be compensated for other kinds of work they do.

Fair point ... the original 1790 copyright law, which provided for a 14-year term, renewable for another 14 years, seemed like a good balance.

 

The human lifetime is a reasonable measuring stick. Letting artistic works from our childhood and early adulthood into the public domain by the time we're elderly seems appropriate ... as opposed to more than a century from now, when any contemporary relevance may have long since disappeared.

 

When it comes to works in digital format, though, there's a deep-seated problem because of the ease of copying. Either they have to be encrypted (an endless cat-and-mouse game with the decrypters) ... or simply turned loose as a "loss leader" for other, protected works or added features.

 

Currently the intellectual property elite are pursuing the first road with harsher and harsher criminal laws to protect their 'assets' (copyright infringement used to be viewed as a civil matter, subject to damages but not jail terms). An example would be the Digital Millennium Copyright Act (DMCA).

 

It seems that digitized content leads either to a broader cultural commons, or to a much harsher enforcement system for private ownership of digital property. Ideally there would be some middle ground, but it's hard to see where it is at the moment.

 

Some thoughts from John Perry Barlow:

 

Selling Wine Without Bottles On the Global Net

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Here we have Durban Roodeport. We see that basically it is a currency hedge, nothing else. The biggest move in DROOY came when USDZAR (means weaker South African Rand) went ballistic. Of course it doesnt follow USDZAR by the pip but look at the general direction. When USDZAR goes above the weekly 50 ema then one should consider to buy DROOY, until then i owuld leave it alone.

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RE: Copyrights matters-

 

Mrs. alceringa is a real foodie and frequents several of the recipe exchange web sites and has met several of the board owners. The board owners use simple "tricks" to get around copyright laws of published recipes.

 

The basic "trick" is to simply change a few of the words in the instructions, "preheat oven" becomes "turn oven on an wait until hot" or perhaps change one common name for an ingredient to another, "Graham flour" becomes "whole wheat flour", as an example.

 

One board owning couple, former mafiasoft engineers, have set up a program that continuously "google's" the recipes on both their own site and on other, competing sites. If they find a copyrighted recipe on their own site, they manually go in and use the tricks noted above to "fix" the recipe if it is deemed useful or simple get rid of it if is not.

 

On the other hand, if they find one of "their" recipes, which they claim copyrights to under "Digital Milleneum", on a competeing board, the board owner gets a threatening email, followed by further escalations, if needed.

 

This sort of behavior makes a mockery of the whole matter of copyright law, since board owners are clearly "stealing" the intellectual property contained in the recipe of professional chefs/publishers, yet technically avoiding the copyright infringement.

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