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In Remembrance


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. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Columbia - February 1, 2003. . . . . .

 

sts107-s-002.jpg

 

........David M. Brown...............Laurel B. Clark................Michael P. Anderson...............Ilan Ramon........

 

..............................Rick D. Husband............Kalpana Chawla............William C. McCool..........................

 

 

If we die, we want people to accept it. We're in a risky business and we hope if anything happens to us it will not delay the program. The conquest of space is worth the risk of life.

Astronaut Gus Grissom, January 27, 1967

 

Our journey into space will go on....President George W. Bush, February 1, 2003

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bdaycake.gif Happy Birthday to Icharass Curve, who celebrates today.

 

 

And two of our people marked their anniversaries here yesterday:

an2.gifan2.gif The Doc himself, who is the first to reach the two year mark and who has recorded the highest number of postings in our community.

an2.gif And GregFokker, who is here one year and who has recorded the second highest number of postings in our community.

 

Happy Anniversary, Doc and Greg.

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SG dings

 

I dont expect the NDX to get past 992

 

I do expect the Q's to fall below 24 this week, and more likely 23.30 range this week, if not sub 23...

 

All rallies are to be sold and or shorted, shorts should be held.

 

22.45 remains my ST target for the Q's before I would even THINK of covering...

 

Good luck, back at ya. Be sure to check my Simple Guy Waves thread for some good weekend stuff I tossed up... its on stool pigeons wire somewhere.

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Doc, my voting in the Stool poll would not be fair...we all know I am a witch with magical powers. I have a crystal ball, so it gives me an unfair advantage... heh heh

 

Interesting snippet from a risk management firm about funds:

 

Having endured three down years in the stock market, mutual fund investors have understandably been shedding risk in their portfolios. The Investment Company Institute said stock funds last year had net redemptions for the first time since 1988, totaling $27 billion. Bond funds, meanwhile, took in $124 billion net of withdrawals in 2002, almost twice the amount in the previous year.

 

But even as stock fund investors have been reducing risk, managers of growth funds have been increasing theirs, according to RiskMetrics. Funds in the aggressive growth stock category have had net redemptions of $5.41 billion since May, according to AMG Data Services. But assets in stock funds that RiskMetrics measures as aggressive, based on the funds' past volatility levels, actually rose to $1.3 trillion today from $430 billion last May.

"When the market gets more risky, fund managers typically don't do much about it," explained Michael Thompson, global market commentator at RiskMetrics. "The increase in risk among aggressive growth funds shows a lack of discipline among these managers."

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For those who argue about Deflation, just read the chart and you tell me what has occured over the past few years.

 

Right now we are in the "protectionism" and "devaluation of currency" cycle... still washing out excessive debt loads. Japan is selling off their Yen. And they say Gold rising because of war... uh-huh....

 

Still time to buy stocks, the bull market starts today:

post-3-1044278331_thumb.gif

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From the boyz at Raptor Research Group (free comments)

 

On the daily chart: Index is has broken major support near 1320 and has also started to enter the void where there is little support over a large distance. First major support is near 1100.

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Perhaps this is a matter of definition of the word "major" but this is one of the rare cases when I disagree with the Raptor guys. There are plenty of serious support levels before 1100 - for instance, the gaps.

 

For the record, I think that the next major low will be in the 1200-1280 area for the COMPX. We are still far from a major low, according to the indicators I watch - but not that far; some of them are starting to look a bit less bearish.

 

If I am wrong and we do fall below the October lows, I don't think that it will be much below. And, of course, there is always the probability that I am spectacularly wrong and we shoot up in leg C to above the December highs. But the time for the latter scenario is running out; unless we rally strongly this week, it won't happen.

 

Regards,

Vesselin

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