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B4 The Bell Humpday September 15


Hiding Bear

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DOE:

crude oil inventories (7.1 mln) barrels vs (1.5 mln) barrels exp

gasoline inventories (1.6 mln) vs (1.0 mln) exp

distillate inventories 1.7 mln vs 1.0 mln exp

 

API:

crude oil inventories (2.3 mln) barrels

gasoline inventories +685k barrels

distillate inventories (136k) barrels

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Oil is rocketing - inventories down!

 

WOW!!!

let us see

 

people in FL ran north, than south, than north, than south

 

people in the gulf states are now running in all directions

 

all this take fuel

 

thesun's 2 cars are topped.

 

every car in this this part of FL is now topped.

 

inventory better be low.

 

can not wait to see the productivity report for Sept.

 

What do you think the productivity level is now in the gulf states.

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Oil is rocketing - inventories down!

 

WOW!!!

let us see

 

people in FL ran north, than south, than north, than south

 

people in the gulf states are now running in all directions

 

all this take fuel

 

thesun's 2 cars are topped.

 

every car in this this part of FL is now topped.

 

inventory better be low.

 

can not wait to see the productivity report for Sept.

 

What do you think the productivity level is now in the gulf states.

Damn near every car in the southeast has a full tank...that's where the inventories of gasoline went.

 

Wait until you get a load of the disruptions Ivan causes up the middle through Atlanta, etc. Roadways will be impassable, business will grind to a hault.

 

YELL will be hit.

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Funny article....here is the funny part....lol

 

Douglas Fabian, editor of the Douglas Fabian's Successful Investing newsletter, says "yes." He believes that surpassing the 39-week moving average significantly increases the likelihood that the market will continue to go up.

 

So on Monday he sold from his newsletter's model portfolio the mutual funds it previously had been holding -- Rydex Ursa (RYURX: news, chart, profile) and Rydex Tempest (RYTPX: news, chart, profile) funds, which make money when the market declines -- and replaced them with funds that will profit if the market rises.

 

Unfortunately, his newsletter's track record over the past 25 years provides little insight into whether we should follow Fabian's lead.

Link :D

Interesting article, jstrack.

 

This bit is important for technical traders:

 

In fact, the 39-week moving average portfolio has now lagged a buy-and-hold for 13 years in a row.

 

Blake LeBaron, a finance professor at Brandeis University ... speculates that the 39-week moving average might have been sabotaged by too many investors trying to follow it. Ownership of personal computers skyrocketed in the late 1980s and early 1990s, and coupled with cheap online databases, those PCs enabled a much larger group of investors than ever before to discover and quickly exploit the moving average. A dramatic lowering in transaction costs at about the same time made it very easier for investors to trade on signals generated by the 39-week moving average.

 

Too many punters on the same side of the moving average boat ... :(

I've mentioned before on this board and others that around the mid-90's just about nothing was working any longer, at least as well as it had in the past. This 39-period average was a good one that went south about that time. However, what I found was if you used a 24-period average you could front-run the 39 guys both on entry and exit up or down by about 3 to 5 periods. Since most of the pc-cowboys were newbies they held to 39-period average and other TA as if they were a religious doctrine. It never occurred to many of them that they could change a parameter or two and stay ahead of the game. :rolleyes: :lol:

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IMF rings the bell

 

In the recently published, Global Financial Stability Report

 

"markets at most resilient in 3 years"

 

"Short of a major and devastating geopolitical incident or

a terrorist attack undermining in a significant and lasting way

consumer confidence and hence financial asset valuation, it is

hard to see where systemic threats could come from in the short

term," the IMF said.

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You can get your TASER Stun Gun online as of today..

 

 

NEW YORK, Sept 15 (Reuters) - Taser International Inc. (TASR.O: Quote, Profile, Research) on Wednesday said it has launched a new stun gun which can be bought on its Web site.

The Taser X26C will cost $999 and can be bought at www.TASER.com, effective Sept. 15, the company said.

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I give Floridians full credit for getting the Hell out when the Canes come, watching CNN interview all those cracker barrel Mayors in Mississippi and Loosieana who say "we ain't leavin, we just gonna hunker down" is plain stupid-when a train comes you get off the track!

It's even worse for New Orleans. When you live 9 feet below sea level, and a 20 foot storm surge comes your way, it's time to get out of Dodge.

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