Guest Posted June 1, 2004 Report Share Posted June 1, 2004 mjkst27: more than likely correct. Plunger: Tanks for the insight. Any way to incorporate that into tech analysis....there must be a way to measure the effects so as to offset/discount the effects. I didn't do well in stats..... LLD: Concur with B-4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brian4 Posted June 1, 2004 Report Share Posted June 1, 2004 Interesting-the Idiot Prince went out of his way to praise the new Head of Iraq who he said was chosen by Brahimi of the U.N. MSNBC is running an article which says the New Boy doesn't like Bush or the U.S. perhaps another pot-hole in the Road to Freedom is looming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted June 1, 2004 Report Share Posted June 1, 2004 The assumption is that a market either needs to be described as a "Bull" or a "Bear". My contention is that AG has figured out that the only way to ensure that the market remains right here at these levels while he works the levers to save the balance of the global economy is to create a THIRD OPTION that we have never before seen. We are in a Neutral Market for the foreseeable future. An artificially induced Neutral Market. Al is playing both sides for the middle. Time to update your thesoras, and forget about historical comparisons. THIS TIME IT REALLY IS DIFFERENT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mjkst27 Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 The assumption is that a market either needs to be described as a "Bull" or a "Bear". My contention is that AG has figured out that the only way to ensure that the market remains right here at these levels while he works the levers to save the balance of the global economy is to create a THIRD OPTION that we have never before seen. We are in a Neutral Market for the foreseeable future. An artificially induced Neutral Market. Al is playing both sides for the middle. Time to update your thesoras, and forget about historical comparisons. THIS TIME IT REALLY IS DIFFERENT. he'll get very very low volume markets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stained jeans Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 What seems likely to be true is that the behavior of the market must have changed quite substantially. Perhaps, but I don't think it has changed much since March. The p/c ratio popped in March after only a mild decline in stock prices and resulted in a 6% rally in stocks. This is atypical behavior for this indicator. However, an even larger spike in May after a similarly benign drop in stock prices has thus far led to a 4% rally. Ignore the p/c ratio at your own peril. Notice that the 9-day MA peaked and rolled over precisely at the March 24 and May 17 stock market bottoms. It wasn't until the 9-day MA crossed below the 50-day MA in early April that the market began to sell off. Why not expect a similar pattern this time around? Look folks, stocks are in a clear short-term uptrend and are trading above their 50-day and 200-day MAs. P/c is bullish, McClellan is bullish. Let the bulls have their fun, our turn is coming. Just not now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hypertiger Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 Churn and burn is not going to cut it for long...All I can think is a milking operation/ insiders bail then they pull the pin... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 The assumption is that a market either needs to be described as a "Bull" or a "Bear". My contention is that AG has figured out that the only way to ensure that the market remains right here at these levels while he works the levers to save the balance of the global economy is to create a THIRD OPTION that we have never before seen. We are in a Neutral Market for the foreseeable future. An artificially induced Neutral Market. Al is playing both sides for the middle. Time to update your thesoras, and forget about historical comparisons. THIS TIME IT REALLY IS DIFFERENT. he'll get very very low volume markets Yup, precisely. The big houses made plenty in the bubble, most through some criminal means. He has no qualms about making these boys bite the bullet on transaction revenues in order to save the retirements of all American's whose futures depend on the pension system. He got them 1/2 their money back, and that's as good as it's going to get. The whipsaws will be faster and more furious until speculators figure out that we are literally twitching-in-place...and stand pat. He has no reason to care if the big houses get richer. It is their excesses from the turn of the Century that he is fighting everyday to repair...to the extent possible. MER deserves a slow burn for their late-nineties behavoir, and AG is likely more than happy to oblige. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brian4 Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 Stain if you back up a page or two-I listed a lot of Heavyweights that are all trading below their 200 day M/A's-that isn't Bullish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrStool Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 New Concept in Technical Analysis Trend is Your Friend Your Anals are loaded. Take a subscribatory and download RIGHT NOW! 30 Day Intro Subscribatory. Just $16.99! Get In RIGHT NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 Plunger wrote: Yup, precisely. The big houses made plenty in the bubble, most through some criminal means. He has no qualms about making these boys bite the bullet on transaction revenues in order to save the retirements of all American's whose futures depend on the pension system. He got them 1/2 their money back, and that's as good as it's going to get. The whipsaws will be faster and more furious until speculators figure out that we are literally twitching-in-place...and stand pat. He has no reason to care if the big houses get richer. It is their excesses from the turn of the Century that he is fighting everyday to repair...to the extent possible. MER deserves a slow burn for their late-nineties behavoir, and AG is likely more than happy to oblige. ........................................................ Seems the Congress set the stage for present actions in 1980 when the financial sector was deregulated, allowing the explosion in MF numbers as well as other miscreant subtrafuges that have occured since 1987 and on AG watch. Re-regulation before a crunch will not be as effective now as re-regulation after a crunch....a Weimer type crunch in which fiat-money is only good for wallpaper and starting fires in cast-iron water heaters and stoves. :grin: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stained jeans Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 Brian, I'm having trouble downloading page 8. Get a blank most times. If heavyweights are selling off, that's good for the bears. But obviously they appear to be leading and the averages have yet to catch up. I am looking for one more burst up. We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brian4 Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 Stain you could of course be right but here they are all below their 200 day M/A's -softy, ibm, intc,csco,hpq, oracle, nokia, and texas instruments! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stained jeans Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 That's an excellent sign, Brian. Techs tend to fall first... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The End Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 I agree with Doc's anal's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wndysrf Posted June 2, 2004 Report Share Posted June 2, 2004 Brian, I'm having trouble downloading page 8. Get a blank most times. If heavyweights are selling off, that's good for the bears. But obviously they appear to be leading and the averages have yet to catch up. I am looking for one more burst up. We shall see. Brian4: You forgot the New Leaders: AMZN, YHOO, EBAY, SINA, SOHU, NTES, APOL, GILD, and all other Parabolas on the NDX............ I think we are going to get some selling tomorrow. How far it goes, I don't know. Ten up days in a row on the HHH is a record. I doubt it will continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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