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richmtn

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Guest Bear Trap

Rising CRB isn't inflation, merely rising producer costs (expenses). Business runs into a problem when consumer prices (income) fall: Falling margins and debt-repayment abilty.

 

Simplistically, the unfolding deflationary pressures means "a rising CRB" isn't as useful a predictor (if ever) of bond prices, earnings, stock valuations, or inflation.

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