Guest Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 . . Experts train rats to sniff out landmines . Giant rats are being trained to sniff out landmines in Tanzania . . . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hiding Bear Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Front page of NY Times We told you so, but the solution of one economist is even more FEED easing! Surge in Rates May Hurt Pillar of the Economy A little more than a month after the Federal Reserve reduced its overnight lending rate to just 1 percent, mortgage rates have shot up as investors have soured on the bond market ? in part because of confusion about the Fed's intentions in managing the economy. This has abruptly stalled plans by thousands of homeowners to refinance their houses at even lower rates than they already enjoy. The pace of home loan refinancing has fallen by half the last several weeks, according to bankers and anal cysts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrStool Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Golden Stool Ready For Download Good morning and Good Stool to all! As you know, in order to maintain physical, emotional, and financial health, it is very important that you download your Anals regularly. If you are unable to download your Anals, take a subscribatory and download them RIGHT NOW, and every day from now on.? When you download your Anals each day, you'll get Doc's latest unbiased Hurst cycle projections for both the short and long term, plus the opening and closing Anals update each day, along with one in mid afternoon. Other daily features are your Golden Stool, which no self-respecting stoolie should leave behind. And of course the Feed from Uncle Al Greasepan. How do you expect to know how things will come out unless you know what's going in! Then in the late PM, after the Treasury market close, get the latest on the Long Bong Hit and Uncle Buck. With the Long Bong Hit, yields get higher and Uncle Buck is feelin' low.? Your Golden Stool, including short and long term updated charts and price targets, is loaded each morning. Even if you are not a goldbug, you should check out the Golden Stool, a daily Anals release. Take a subscribatory and get the latest release of the Golden Stool from your Anals RIGHT NOW! Don't miss another Golden Stool! Wednesday is MoGauge Day, and then the Fed Releases Turds day! Once a week Doc will fill you in on the all important MoGauge, straight from the MoGauge Bankers Ass. Then Turdsday it's the all important Fed Turdsday releases, where Doc gives you his briefs, on the charts of the Fed's most important money and credit measures. Not quite Hypertiger stuff, (HT, we love you man!) but always pithy and insightful. The MoGauge reflects the source of most of the liquidity in the financial bubble world and may be a more important indicator of future market behavior than even the Feed. Lately The MoGauge has had a near flawless record of forecasting broad market movements weeks in advance. You knew that Dr. Stool is an egg spurt on Natural Gas. Doc assures you there is no finer gas than your Natural Gas. You can get the scent of your Natural Gas in today's Suctor Watch. Remember, it was Doc who warned you long ago not to hold your Gas when it was time to let go of your Gas. See for yourself in today's Natural Gas release in Suctor Watch.. If you are unable to get your release of Natural Gas, take a subscribatory to the Anals, and get the Gas release you're looking for RIGHT NOW! Look for trading opportunities and clues to the market's direction in Suctors and Stoolwethers. Doc presents cycle charts with price targets on the leading big crap stocks and hot market suctors on alternate days, for your viewing and listening pleasure. Updated Stoolwethers and Suctors are usually released in your Anals on alternate days around 9:30 AM NY time. Don't forget those great bookstore specials! Doc's bookstore carries virtually all of the great trading and investing books ever written, usually at the best prices on the web. When you have free time, please browse the bookstore and be sure to check out Dr. Stool's prescriptions.? In these difficult times, The American Society of Shortsellers needs your support. You can support your ASS by using the Pooper Scooper or Donate buttons located throughout the Stool. It's always good to leave a little behind to support Dr. Stool and your ASS, as he continues his humanitarian work on your behalf. If you are interested in fine tuning your timing, Stooltrading is the place for you. Doc gives commentary and illustrations of intraday cycles throughout the day with projections for highs, lows, and cycle time turns for the SPX and QQQ that are frequently right on the money. He also gives cmap targets for individual stocks by request. Many of your fellow stoolies share their charts and trading ideas as well. Each has a different style, and one may be just right for you. There are no superstars in Stooltrading, just Doc and a group of hard working Stoolies, honestly trying to help each other and themselves, constantly checking and balancing one another's views. Yes, it's always good to have checks and balances. The more checks the more the balances. So take a subscribatory to Stooltrading RIGHT NOW, and increase your checks and balances! Click Here Doc would like to see twenty stoolies take a one week trial subscribatory today! Be one of the twenty! Become a Stooltrader and join the fun! Many tanks for your support and have a Stool day!? See you in Stooltrading. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bearman Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 offset buy s-pe-pe 979 Tankyou bullyBears posistion sh s-p U Bet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThorAss Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Only significant support on the spee at 945. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
machinehead Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Don't know how it is in this 'new era,' but there used to be an enduring pattern in the 20th century where the long bonds would sell off into the big refundings in Feb. and Aug. (that's when they used to sell the 30-years), and then rally from the auction forward. We've certainly had the pre-August sell-off. All the boo-hooing and hysterics (such as the New York Times article linked by Hiding Bear above) seem overdone. Long-term, bonds have probably entered a 20-year secular bear market. But short-term, I would fade these people, particularly the New York Times. When the poopular press starts putting financial subjects on the front page, whatever trend they're writing about is usually over for the time being. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrStool Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Follow Stoolwethers in Anals Now You know about the GM Stoolwether theory. As goes GM, so goes the market. Follow GM GE IBM MSFT and a dozen other Stoolwethers in today's Suctors and Stoolwthers update. Cycle charts and price targets. Know which way the stool's gonna fly! Keep your nose to the wind. Watch those Stoolwethers! Another regular feature in your Anals! Take a subscribatory and download your Anals RIGHT NOW! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strikerm3 Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Jerry, Wyndy, check out my long lost love LNUX up 15% premarket. This has become a good MSN virus play for sure it seems. My small play of LNUX in my Roth is a good long term gamble I think because MSFT viruses are getting more complex and taking longer to fix. Good trades can be made in LNUX immediately after. Today of course has nothing to do with MSN but just watch next time ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
richmtn Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Time and space Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wndysrf Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Bob Carver predicting one last jam job during OpEx week. Says the pros are not finished distributing to the schmoes. Time cycles call for a final top on August 15, which would allow sufficient time for the McClellan and the stochastics to correct itself to the upside and top out. Perfect time to use light summer trading volume to push things up and provide the illusion of a new leg to the upside. Sounds about right. In the meantime, blowups are accelerating. COST and EXPE getting hit. But XING is up 45% in the PreMarket. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rog Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Early signs of liquidity problems. AMR pulls $250m convertible bond deal announced on Monday. MWD & MER (co-managers) were only able to find $150m in demand and most of that was marginal. To get the deal done the managers estimated the bonds needed 60% more yield. AMR walked away, "to pursue other options" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strikerm3 Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 Don't know how it is in this 'new era,' but there used to be an enduring pattern in the 20th century where the long bonds would sell off into the big refundings in Feb. and Aug. (that's when they used to sell the 30-years), and then rally from the auction forward. We've certainly had the pre-August sell-off. All the boo-hooing and hysterics (such as the New York Times article linked by Hiding Bear above) seem overdone. Long-term, bonds have probably entered a 20-year secular bear market. But short-term, I would fade these people, particularly the New York Times. When the poopular press starts putting financial subjects on the front page, whatever trend they're writing about is usually over for the time being. Corporates bouncing for awhile I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fxfox Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 When the poopular press starts putting financial subjects on the front page, whatever trend they're writing about is usually over for the time being. I absolutely agree. Here is an example form germany's weekly magazine "Der Spiegel": - from mid 70s to early 80s they didnt have a "stcoks section", nothing was re?prted about stocks, they do this the tim before and since the early 80s. - in 1987 they had a cover "stock mania" or something, same in 2000 - in 1980 they had many adds about gold, gold funds, miners, bullion and so on. pretty good indicator. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strikerm3 Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 good set up for vix to fill the gap below here before rocketing later to fill that gap around 37 area....should be interesting Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soup Posted August 5, 2003 Report Share Posted August 5, 2003 machine: agree, they used to sell 30 4 times a year ( thus the quarterly refunding). WHat is the auction schedule this week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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