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The Jolly Green Giant


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The dollar is probably the most critical component of the bear case. While intermarket analysis is often a slippery slope the dollar is so closely combined with everything else it seem crucial.

 

The chart isn't pretty. The fundamentals are daunting. What currency is any better?

 

 

On a sentiment basis nobody expects a strong dollar. That might not mean much because no matter the sentiment, everybody is long. The organized interests looking to support it probably overbalance speculative interests looking to weaken it. I have this nagging hunch that if the attack on Iraq goes well, as defined by the image makers, that the dollar may go up.

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