Jump to content

World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Bleak blips


Recommended Posts

  • Replies 13
  • Created
  • Last Reply

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=AU%3AXAO&uf=

http://bigcharts.mar...com/default.asp

 

 

All Ords did a round trip, closing flat.  Healthcare +1.2% was the main gainer followed by Consumer Staples +0.4%.  Telecomms -1.5% was down the most with Energy -0.6% next.

Over in Asia, China +0.3%, Hong Kong +0.2%, Japan +0.1%, India currently +0.1%.

 

 

On to UK/Europe:

 

 

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=UK%3AUKX&uf=

 

 

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=DX%3ADAX&uf=

 

big.chart?nosettings=1&symb=FR%3APX1&uf=

http://bigcharts.mar...com/default.asp

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Hey Lee. Remember back in 10 when Bernanke pretended they were going to shrink the balance sheet. High comedy for sure.

 

$10bn a month is almost pretending. 

 

Who wants to bet the balance sheet never gets below $4TN

 

In 2010 Bernanke codified QE as being intended to inflate stock prices. He first talked about tapering QE in 2013. 

 

I've been commenting on this regularly at Sure Money, as well as in greater detail in WSE.  

 

This tightening is serious, starting small and accelerating to draconian in 12 months. It is the first real tightening since 2007. I would not take it lightly. It should cause a bear market. If it doesn't then I'm missing something.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I know it's serious but don't think the selling will last too long, but that's me.  I think there will be a sell off in the markets. Trump will go nuclear against Yellen, put in this GS guy Cohen, and the printing press will start up again, big time.

 

 

Which gets me to thinking. I suppose the dealers will be the conduit through which all sales are made. Right? The Fed has never sold long term paper have they? Wonder how it is going to work.  See below. Well I am sure you will be on it.

 

I remember it as in 10 they had that 'test' alphabet soup named mechanism in place and talked about it in terms of what they now call normalization.  Making a deal of the trading desk working with the dealers.  Was that in 13? Dang.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

I know it's serious but don't think the selling will last too long, but that's me.  I think there will be a sell off in the markets. Trump will go nuclear against Yellen, put in this GS guy Cohen, and the printing press will start up again, big time.

 

 

Which gets me to thinking. I suppose the dealers will be the conduit through which all sales are made. Right? The Fed has never sold long term paper have they? Wonder how it is going to work.  See below. Well I am sure you will be on it.

 

I remember it as in 10 they had that 'test' alphabet soup named mechanism in place and talked about it in terms of what they now call normalization.  Making a deal of the trading desk working with the dealers.  Was that in 13? Dang.

 

I think you are thinking about the 07 sterilization. They started QE2 in 2010. I can't remember either. Have to look it up all the time.    2013 was the selloff formerly known as Taper Tantrum (but really China credit crunch wealth fund margin calls that had to be met in world markets).

 

 

 

No sales. Redemptions only. Big piece coming tomorrow at Sure Money. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Tell a friend

    Love Stool Pigeons Wire Message Board? Tell a friend!
  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
  • ×
    • Create New...