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IDS World Markets Thurs 6th December 07


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The most popular option in last night's poll was "I will wait to go short." The least popular for a tie were "I will short the open," and "I will wait for a pullback to go long."

 

From a contrarian standpoint, the market should be shorted at the open, covered and reversed on the pullback, with the market finishing higher on the day.

 

:)

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This board has the best and brightest contrarian thinkers on it... if you want the contrarian standpoint to that just turn on Crapvision. :rolleyes:

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What is the purported reason for the reversal into the red? TOL? How is that news a surprise to anyone?

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Nice to see a bit of red. I had to scramble yesterday to get out of my FSLR short but I kept my AMZN short. Still short the Euro and the GBP here also.

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The few who are outraged know that nothing they do, say, or write their congresspeople about will stop the juggernaut from going ahead, so they are shrugging their shoulders and burning inside. Just something else to complain to their friends about.

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Isn't that the purpose of this site? How do we make money from the prevailing situation of which we have no input or control? :)

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Much ado about nothing. The deal will fall apart within days. It's unenforceable, will result in additional writedowns, trigger countless lawsuits, and the simple announcement of this deal will reduce the mortgage market to a shambles. The secondary mortgage market will cease to function. How do you price this stuff if the government can force a change of terms at will?

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I echo your sentiments, but you touched on a personal sore point for me.

 

My experience has been that the "government" can force a change of terms at will on many financial related contracts. It has happened to me several times when the other party to a contract either goes into bankruptcy or is bought out. The fine print on most sophisticated financial contracts is that the side with all the power can change terms with little or no notice to the other side. Banks can certainly jack up interest rates on credit cards when one bank takes out another, for example.

 

Knock on wood, as I said I have experienced these one sided changes, but have had the flexibility to dodge the bullets.

 

I do not in any way disagree with anything else you said and am not suggesting that they can do anything similar in this much larger situation.

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