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World Stock Markets Trading Discussion - Quality quandary


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The dog and I were strolling around the neighbourhood early this morning picking up litter when a young guy on a motorbike pulled up and tried to give me $10.  He thought I was a homeless bag lady fossicking for food.  I explained the situation and thanked him for caring.  Maybe I need to buy some new clothes... :rolleyes:

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Tough times for gold bugs! 

 

 

Markets are beyond all models oscillations to break all statistical models we have seen 3 sigma, 5 sigma, and even 10 sigma moves all within the past year in most markets....No sense.....Absolutely none......Dislocation and Distortion the new norm.......

 

Doc, if you can somehow bound this mess, I would be simply shocked, Dislocation and Distortion rule.....

 

My theory on this is pure mathematical unbound algorithms that run contrary to the natural law.......More later...

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Did the blackswan guy explain this as Once you distort a system by creating a false input i.e. QE, the normal curve becomes distorted and the tails at each side become hugely significant.

He also said the same principle applies to GM crops insisting trying to distort nature is going to create a huge problem one day.

 

In the scheme of world currency, the first one was the Roman Republic, then the Roman Empire. In the Roman republic they used dead people on the coins, in the Roman empire Julius Caesar started using his own image... So you should be able to tell when US becomes an empire the currency will have the current presidents picture.

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w?s=%5EAORD&lang=en-AU&region=AU

 

A fairly weak day overall for All Ords with the index closing -0.1%.  Sectors ranged from Financials, Gold and Telecomms all +0.5% down to REITS -1%.

Over in Asia, China +2.3%, Hong Kong +0.4%, India -0.2% and Japan -0.4%.

 

 

On to UK/Europe:

 

 

t?s=%5EFTSE&lang=en-AU&region=AU&width=3

 

t?s=%5EGDAXI&lang=en-AU&region=AU&width=

 

t?s=%5EFCHI&lang=en-AU&region=AU&width=3

 

https://au.finance.yahoo.com/

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Did the blackswan guy explain this as Once you distort a system by creating a false input i.e. QE, the normal curve becomes distorted and the tails at each side become hugely significant. He also said the same principle applies to GM crops insisting trying to distort nature is going to create a huge problem one day. In the scheme of world currency, the first one was the Roman Republic, then the Roman Empire. In the Roman republic they used dead people on the coins, in the Roman empire Julius Caesar started using his own image... So you should be able to tell when US becomes an empire the currency will have the current presidents picture.

 

The World Fed have attempted to model the entire global financial system as a sort of Damped response.  Done a "fine" job at controlling all the potential uncontrolled oscillations that could have surfaced.  Think of the financial system as an open boundary on a all sides (many sided).  The control through various financial engineering has been achieved by clamping side x creating a muted damped response.  There have been x raised to the y controls put in place for many years. 

 

Now if we can model this mathematically we can predict when the energy in the damped system will become unstable and uncontrollable, we have seen some dramatic breaks in the past year only to see side x get closed and return to muted damped respone.....

 

Doc take a shot......

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LATEST PRO TRADER REPORTS PRECIOUS METALS PRO Gold Back In The Weeds by Lee Adler •  December 2, 2015

Gold has again pulled back to just above the last line of defense, threatening to make a run at a 4 month cycle projection that is still well below current levels.

 

MARKET UPDATE PROMARKET UPDATE PRO DAILY Cycle Screening Numbers Bullish, But With Room For Doubt by Lee Adler •  December 2, 2015

Cycle screening measures were stronger Tuesday as the market responded to a report of weakness in the ISM Manufacturing index by rallying based on the idea that the Fed will not raise rates in December. Now the question is what the market will do when hit with a strong jobs report on Friday? 13 week…

 

MARKET UPDATE PROMARKET UPDATE PRO DAILY Gomer Pyle Market by Lee Adler •  December 1, 2015

The market obliterated any semblance of a short term downtrend today but stopped short of clearing key resistance at 2100-2110. Wednesday’s action will be a huge test. A big enough up day could take the 6 month cycle projection from a tentative state to “live.”

 

LIQUIDITY TRADER PRO COMPLETEMACRO LIQUIDITY PRO TRADERMACROLIQUIDITY MONTHLY The Kuroda Draghi Miracle of Levitation by Lee Adler •  December 1, 2015

I was expecting a Wile E. Coyote moment if the market did not buckle in the wake of the $100 billion in Treasury supply settling on November 27 and 30. It hasn’t happened yet. Instead the market rallied on December 1. It forces us to consider the idea that the money printing by the ECB…

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LATEST NEWS AND OPINION CONSTANTIN GURDGIEV BRIC Manufacturing PMI by Constantin Gurdgiev •  December 2, 2015

Screen-Shot-2015-12-02-at-08.39.53.png

In November, Russian Manufacturing posted a second monthly reading consistent with weak stabilisation, but virtually no signs of recovery.

 

CHARLES HUGH SMITH Look Out Below: the Real Economy Just Hit Stall Speed by Charles Hugh Smith •  December 1, 2015
healthcare11-15a-480x402.png

Look out below, for even with bloated federal spending, the real economy has hit stall speed. What do we mean when we say the U.S. economy is at stall speed? Stall speed refers to the air speed and angle of the wing (called the angl…

 

JESSE FELDER Media Bashing Buffett Again- Sign of Major Top? by Jesse Felder •  December 1, 2015

Once again, it’s becoming popular for the media to bash Warren Buffett’s lackluster performance.

 

DAVID STOCKMAN The Lull Before The Storm—–It’s Getting Narrow At The Top, Part 2 by David Stockman •  December 1, 2015
MW-EA077_Ever_n_20151129141702_NS-480x29

The danger lurking in the risk asset markets was succinctly captured by MarketWatch’s post on overnight action in Asia. The latter proved once again that the casino gamblers are incapable of recognizing the on-rushing train of global recession because they have become addicted to “stimulus” as a way of life: Shares in Hong Kong led a rally across…

 

MONEY MORNING Don’t Let the IMF Fool You – It Had No Choice But to Add China’s Yuan by Tara Clarke •  December 1, 2015

The IMF just approved inclusion of China’s yuan in its basket of global reserve currencies.

Of course, the IMF would have us believe it allowed the yuan into its basket, as though it was the one in control. Managing Director Christine Lagarde said the yuan’s inclusion was based on a clear indication of the reforms China has carried out.

But the truth is the IMF had to include China’s currency into its basket – sooner rather than later.

 

MUST READ Will OPEC Failure To Cut Oil Production Lead To Latin American Arab Spring? by Alex McGuire •  December 1, 2015

Will OPEC cut oil production?

That’s the biggest question on investors’ minds as oil ministers from OPEC’s 12 nations congregate in Vienna this week.

 

MONEY MORNING Silver Coin Sales Hit Record High in 2015 – Still Time to Buy by Diane Alter •  December 1, 2015

Silver bullion coin sales in November broke the previous annual record of 44,006,000 ounces sold in 2014.

 

ANTHONY SANDERS US Q4 GDP Falls To 1.4%. Very European-Like Economic Growth by Anthony B. Sanders •  December 1, 2015
gdpnow-forecast-evolution-1-480x334.gif

The Atlanta Fed’s GDP NOW real-time tracker of US GDP growth has lowered 4th quarter GDP growth to a very European-like 1.4% rate.

 

CONSTANTIN GURDGIEV US Mint Gold Coins Sales Show Strong Entrenched Physical Demand by Constantin Gurdgiev •  December 1, 2015
Screen-Shot-2015-12-01-at-18.32.26.png

Following October fall-off, sales of U.S. Mint gold coins rose strongly in November to 135,000 oz by weight (+86.2% y/y) and 237,500 units (+95.5% y/y). These figures include sales of both Eagles and Buffalo coins. Average weight of coin sold also rose…

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