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Fasten your seatbelts....Atilla is predicting a crash.... :rolleyes: Hasn't this guy called 10 or 12 of the last 0 tops? :rolleyes:

 

Calling the crash of 2008 and covering below SPX=670 were not the end of this story. Since SPX=850, I was a bear despite I covered several times to re-short. :blink:

 

Most of the readers are aware of the fact that I was expecting the next possible intermediate term sell off to be a 2-sigma move, unlike what we had in Oct 2008. If the overall probability for a 4-sigma move in stock market is less than 1%, having two of them in a year may be less than Boltzmann's number. :huh:

 

However things are changed. It is becoming more clear that the coming sell off may be another unique move that may stretch your oscillators towards unmapped regions. There are unique developments under the current monetary situation and these conditions may be leading the financial markets towards another disaster of epic proportions. There are now significant similarities with those conditions we saw before the crash of 1987 and the only differences we have now are for the worse.

 

Boltzmann's number? Uh, that would be your IQ there Atilla...

 

http://www.xtrends.blogspot.com/

 

:lol:

Talk about douches....

 

Also, by coincidence, Boltzman's number is the number of dollars that all of Atilla's followers have left in their trading accounts by now.

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Never? Short A Dull Market- Professional Edition

by Lee Adler, Tuesday, June 9, 2009, in Professional Edition, Today's Markets | Permalink |Comments (0) Edit If the old adage, “Never short a dull market still holds true,” then this is one market you really do not want to short, it makes watching grass grow look like fun. But we actually saw a similarly quiet period for the last 3 weeks of August last year, and I don’t need to remind you of what happened after that. Click here to download complete report in pdf format (Professional Edition Subscribers). Try the Professional Edition risk free for thirty days. If, within that time, you don’t find the information useful, I will give you a full refund. It’s that simple. Click here for more information.

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told ya so -- books, school buildings, and paid local teachers are all completely obsolete and not needed

 

FIRE 'EM ALL AND SHUT 'EM ALL DOWN, NOW!

 

save $50 Billion per year in CA currently flushed down the public screwel rathole, sell off all the buildings and land, distribute the proceeds to taxpayers only (no parasites)

 

let kids learn for free on the web at their own pace from the best of the best of the best world class teachers in every subject

 

this is inevitable, it cannot be stopped

 

luckily the fired public employees can be retrained to work at productive jobs in the private sector picking strawberries and changing tires, etc.

 

Arnold Schwarzenegger has unveiled a plan to terminate conventional textbooks in schools and switch to online learning aids.

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THE PROBLEM WITH RULES

 

 

Rule One....... never short a dull market

 

Rule Two........never say never

 

Rule Three .....If two rules conflict ignore both of them

 

Rule four....If your confused then so am I.

 

 

The problem with rules is that their actually not rules... their probabilities and often they are not even that they are just behaviours.

 

Behaviours change like the weather .... and so does the probability that a rule will be correct and make you money.

 

The weather changes and changes and changes....

 

So how do you know if a rule is robust or weak.....by studying the weather...by studying the context in which the rule is embeded......which changes and changes

 

So a good rule one week will become bad while a bad rule will become good....and so on and so on.......a seething sea of changing probabilities......

 

Like a penny stock chart :blink:

 

Its not easy being a rule

 

Lots here want this pig to role over...but it wont till it will.

 

In a normal bear market say like 2000-2003 the tops were sharper ..... and the down would already have commenced???

 

Is this longer top merely a base for a further rally????....it doesnt look like a normal bear top???.

 

But just because it doesnt look like a normal top....... doesnt necessarily mean it isnt a top.

 

Maybe its a black swan unusual type top...

 

 

Questions which need answers. Time of course will tell.

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