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LATEST PRO TRADER REPORTS PRECIOUS METALS PRO Gold- The Consolidation Phase Begins by Lee Adler •  February 16, 2016

The 4 week cycle turned down on Friday after cycle projections were met on all other cycles up to 9-12 months duration.

 

LIQUIDITY TRADER PRO COMPLETETREASURY SUPPLY AND DEMAND PRO TRADER WEEKLY Best of All Worlds Treasury Market Conditions End Now by Lee Adler •  February 15, 2016

The Treasury market has had a lot of help lately. Supply was light, dealers were buying, banks were buying, and foreign central banks were buying. Then to top it off, the Fed started its regular monthly round of MBS purchase settlements last week.  The gravy train is about to come to an end.

 

MARKET UPDATE PROMARKET UPDATE PRO DAILYMARKET UPDATE PRO WEEKLY EDITION Cycle Screens Present A Mixed But Not Incoherent Message by Lee Adler •  February 15, 2016

Cycle screening measures surged along with the market averages on Friday. All 9 measures gained ground as did the aggregate measure. However, 6 of the 9 measures remained on the sell side on balance and the rebound in the aggregate measure left it still deep in negative territory. It sounds messy but the message was…

 

LIQUIDITY TRADER PRO COMPLETEUS FEDERAL REVENUES PRO TRADER WEEKLY REPORT Negative Trends In Tax Collections Persist by Lee Adler •  February 14, 2016

The annual rate of change in withholding taxes has been falling since October. It turned negative in inflation adjusted terms in late December and has grown increasingly negative since then. This is a clear sign that the US has entered recession. The question now becomes when weakening economic data will begin to trigger Fed talk…

 

MARKET UPDATE PROMARKET UPDATE PRO DAILYMARKET UPDATE PRO WEEKLY EDITION Bots Saw Bottom So Bought by Lee Adler •  February 12, 2016

The market averages made a picture perfect double bottom about 4 weeks apart. The bots bought. The media found a perfect reason du jour for the action, and so off they went. It looks good but…

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LATEST NEWS AND OPINION CHARLES HUGH SMITH 2016: The Year Wishful Thinking Fails by Charles Hugh Smith •  February 15, 2016

If we collectively choose wishful thinking, catastrophic consequences are guaranteed.

 

ALAN TONELSON Why Carrier’s Manufacturing Offshoring to Mexico Matters by Alan Tonelson •  February 15, 2016

The decision of United Technologies (UT) to move 2,100 heating equipment jobs and the related production from Indiana to Mexico is a major indictment of America’s longstanding approach to global economic challenges

 

MUST READ Simply Unaffordable! Less Than 1 Out Of 3 California Families Can Afford To Purchase A Home by Anthony B. Sanders •  February 15, 2016
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According to Dr Housing Bubble, less than 1 out of 3 California families can afford to purchase a home.

 

MUST READ Musical Chairs: China Spurs Biggest Yuan Rally Since 2005, Draghi Emotes, Markets Rally by Anthony B. Sanders •  February 15, 2016
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Global Central Banks are engaged in a game of musical chairs where each takes turns pumping money into the global system in an attempt to never let markets correct.

 

MUST READ The Empire Strikes Out … Again! Empire Manufacturing Business Conditions Drop Almost 20 In January by Anthony B. Sanders •  February 15, 2016
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I know, I know. Media talking heads will blame the horrible Empire State Manufacturing Survey of Business Conditions on Snowzilla.

 

JAMES HOWARD KUNSTLER Repricing Reality by James Howard Kunstler •  February 15, 2016

It ought to be a foregone conclusion that Mr. Obama’s replacement starting January 20, 2017 will preside over conditions of disorder in everyday life and economy never seen before. For the supposedly thinking class in America, the end of reality-optional politics will come as the surprise of their lives.

 

MUST READ Why Higher Gold Prices Today Are Just the Start of 2016’s Climb by Peter Krauth •  February 15, 2016

There’s really no better way to say it: Gold is hot.

Why? Because plunging global markets have made investors jittery, nearly every day. Central banks are turning increasingly to negative rates as desperation to kick-start inflation is setting in.

 

MUST READ America’s Low Velocity Recovery by Anthony B. Sanders •  February 14, 2016
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The United States is experiencing a low or no velocity economic recovery. The primary reason? Real median household income peaked in 1999 and again in 2007 .. and its been all downhill since then.

 

MUST READ Ifo World Economic Climate Index Posts Storm Warning by Constantin Gurdgiev •  February 14, 2016
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Global growth leading indicators are screaming it, Baltic Dry Index is screaming it, PMIs are screaming it, BRICS are living it, and now Ifo surveys are showing it: global economy is heading into a storm.

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