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All In The Family


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Finger pointing time

 

The Wall Street Journal reports former NYSE chairman Dick Grasso pressured a major big board floor firm to increase its purchases of shares of AIG after he received complaints from AIG chairman Maurice "Hank" Greenberg

Dick: "Ya."

 

Hank: "Dick, we gotta get dis ting moving. We doan tink yous guys are doing enough. Dere's udder exchanges out dere."

 

Dick: "Awright, I'll look into it."

 

Hank: "It's a pebble in my shoe."

 

Dick: "I tole you I'll look into. I'll torque to some people. I'll call a guy."

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You could actually hear Kudlow cheering in the background, as the reporter read the figures in front of the Labor Dept.

 

OK, so we gap up at the open. Three possibilities for the day:

 

1. Gap up and runaway to S&P 1040.

 

2. Gap up and flatline all day.

 

3. Gap up and then steadily erode and close the gap.

 

No. 3 would be a shocker at this point. Only if they don't believe the numbers.

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Kudlow going absolutely nuts.

 

Someone needs to pin him down and put him on some Prozac.

 

Animal spirits in the futures pits.

 

Can't wait to see Leslie and Maria on the open. Both should be primed and juicy, willing to provide thick necked spoos traders with obligatory slobber bobber.

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Kudlow going absolutely nuts.

 

Someone needs to pin him down and put him on some Prozac.

 

Animal spirits in the futures pits.

 

Can't wait to see Leslie and Maria on the open. Both should be primed and juicy, willing to provide thick necked spoos traders with obligatory slobber bobber.

wndy,

:D :D

 

Did you hear Kudlow espousing his new "theory" called "job hoarding"?

Un-frickin-believable!

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Kudlow going absolutely nuts.

 

Someone needs to pin him down and put him on some Prozac.

Funny Mark, I was thinking his dosage should be massively reduced.

. . . .Oh My! Mama San is next!

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I, for one, don't believe those numbers.

 

All from personal experience and anecdote, but these numbers are inconsistent with my reality.

 

Anybody else?

In my earlier post I pointed out that there could be a large upward adjustment to reconcile the payroll and household data. Apparently, people are losing payroll jobs and starting businesses. The previous numbers were not counting those correctly.

Average hourly earnings declined and the workweek did not expand.

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You could actually hear Kudlow cheering in the background, as the reporter read the figures in front of the Labor Dept.

 

OK, so we gap up at the open. Three possibilities for the day:

 

1. Gap up and runaway to S&P 1040.

 

2. Gap up and flatline all day.

 

3. Gap up and then steadily erode and close the gap.

 

No. 3 would be a shocker at this point. Only if they don't believe the numbers.

Nah. #3 is not an option. Too many people want to believe.

 

Such is the way of the masses.

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I closed my long yesterday as I go on holiday later today - been burnt before leaving positions open.

 

sods law eh!! :D

A profit is a profit, and if I had gambled I might have lost it...

 

However, if I WAS trading this I would be looking to fade it. This over-reaction is a definite gap-and-crap.

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Guest libertas

The separate household survey, which has indicated a stronger labor market over the past year, weakened in September, showing an employment loss of 52,000 and an increase of 68,000 in unemployment.

 

The government also published a preliminary revision to its payroll count based on more complete information from state unemployment offices. Rather than increasing by several hundred thousand as expected, the benchmark revision will reduce payroll estimates by 145,000 or 0.1 percent for March 2003.

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